主动适应市场，推进新项目提升产能。公司深度挖掘产销联动价值，凝聚优质客户，深耕终端市场。化 肥板块应政策机遇优化调整，化工板块以市场为导向优化渠道调整价格，核心产品市场占有率均保持高 位，巩固了行业领导地位与话语权。同时公司高效推进两地项目投产，夯实产业链延伸基础。截止2025 中报，公司拥有尼龙6、己内酰胺、己二酸、异辛醇、碳酸二甲酯、尿素、DMF、醋酸产能分别为20、 30、52.66、20、60、307、48、150 万吨。酰胺原料优化升级项目已建成投产，20 万吨/年二元酸项 目、荆州恒升BDO 和NMP 一体化项目均已接近收尾阶段。同时，多个储备项目已启动前期准备工作， 为公司高质量发展积极争取资源要素。 投资建议：华鲁恒升为煤化工行业龙头公司，具有一头多线柔性联产和低成本优势，基于自身产业链协 同随下游市场变化持续拓展产品线，随经济复苏周期回暖带来业绩弹性。我们维持盈利预测， 预计公 司2025-2027 年收入分别为366.10/388.02/409.59 亿元，同比分别增长7.0%/6.0%/5.6%，归母净利润分别 为43.68/48.87/53.09 亿元，同比分别增长11.9%/11.9 ...

证券代码：600426 证券简称：华鲁恒升 编号：临 2025-048 山东华鲁恒升化工股份有限公司 2025 年半年度主要经营数据的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或 者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 根据上海证券交易所《关于做好主板上市公司 2025 年半年度报告披露工作的通 知》、《上市公司自律监管指引第 3 号—行业信息披露第十三号—化工》的要求，山 东华鲁恒升化工股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）现将 2025 年半年度主要经营数 据披露如下： 注：新能源新材料相关产品生产量与销售量差距较大，主要原因是部分中间产品 自用。 二、主要产品及原材料的价格变动情况 （一）主要产品的价格变动情况 | 主要产品 | 单位 | 价格变动情况 （不含税） | 价格变动情况说明 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 尿素 | 元/吨 | 1450-2060 | 报告期内，国内尿素价格先扬后抑，始终处于偏低 | | | | | 水平震荡。 | | 异辛醇 | 元/吨 | 6280-7080 | 报告期内，受新增产能及终端出口 ...

Group 1: Company Performance Highlights - Jiangfeng Electronics (300666.SZ) achieved a revenue of 3.605 billion CNY in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 38.57%[9] - Lianhua Holdings (600186.SH) is expected to see a revenue growth of 35.09% from 2025 to 2027, with net profits projected at 335 million CNY in 2025[19] - Meige Intelligent (002881.SZ) forecasts revenues of 3.786 billion CNY in 2025, with net profits of 229 million CNY[22] - Foxit Software (688095.SH) anticipates a net profit of 33 million CNY in 2025, with a significant increase in subscription revenue[25] - Lanjian Intelligent (688557.SH) expects net profits of 162 million CNY in 2025, with a projected EPS of 1.59 CNY[34] - Western Mining (601168.SH) reported a revenue of 31.619 billion CNY in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 26.59%[36] Group 2: Market Trends and Opportunities - The global market for semiconductor precision components is projected to reach approximately 428.8 billion CNY by 2025, with China's market growing faster than the global average[12] - The AI and big data sectors are driving rapid growth in computing power demand, with the Chinese intelligent computing market expected to reach 1,037.3 EFLOPS by 2025[17] - The smart connected vehicle market is projected to grow from 2.3 billion CNY in 2020 to 5 billion CNY by 2024, with a compound annual growth rate of 21%[21] - The Chinese seasoning market is expected to continue expanding due to the rise of pre-packaged meals and digital marketing strategies[15]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company [2][4]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 7.772 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 2.59%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 707 million yuan, down 33.65% year-on-year. The decline in product prices has negatively impacted overall revenue growth [3]. - Despite the challenges, the company is actively advancing project construction, which is expected to provide new momentum for future development. Key projects include the melamine resin optimization project and the nylon 66 high-end new materials project, which are set to enhance production capacity [4]. - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 4.008 billion yuan, 4.587 billion yuan, and 5.351 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.89 yuan, 2.16 yuan, and 2.52 yuan. The current stock price corresponds to P/E ratios of 11, 9, and 8 times for the same years [4]. Financial Performance Summary - In Q1 2025, the company's main products, including urea, isooctanol, nylon 6, and others, experienced a decline in prices, leading to a comprehensive gross margin decrease of 5.54 percentage points to 16.35% [3]. - The company’s revenue and profit forecasts for 2025-2027 indicate a gradual recovery, with revenue expected to grow from 36.405 billion yuan in 2025 to 45.073 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a growth rate of 6.37% and 12.01%, respectively [5]. - The company’s net profit is projected to grow at rates of 2.71%, 14.44%, and 16.65% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [5].

Core Viewpoint - The market for butanol and isobutanol has experienced significant price declines since January 2024, with butanol prices dropping over 40% and isobutanol prices down approximately 4% year-to-date, indicating ongoing supply-demand challenges in the second quarter [1][2][3]. Group 1: Butanol Market Analysis - Since January 2024, the price of industrial-grade butanol in Shandong has decreased to 6350-6400 RMB per ton, a decline of 9.5% from the beginning of the year [1]. - The first quarter of 2024 saw butanol prices fall from 7025 RMB in early January to around 6600 RMB by the end of March, reflecting a cumulative decline of over 6% [2]. - The butanol market is expected to continue its weak consolidation in the second quarter, with prices projected to fluctuate between 6000-6700 RMB, driven by high operating rates and slow inventory digestion [4]. Group 2: Isobutanol Market Analysis - The isobutanol market also faced downward pressure, with prices fluctuating significantly due to factors such as downstream stocking rhythms and factory inventory strategies [3]. - In early April, isobutanol prices fell below the first quarter's low, indicating a cautious market sentiment and intensified supply-demand negotiations [3]. - The second quarter may see isobutanol prices initially decline before potentially recovering, with projected prices in the range of 7300-7800 RMB, influenced by seasonal demand and supply adjustments [4]. Group 3: Impact of Tariff Wars - The ongoing US-China tariff conflict has had a limited direct impact on the butanol and isobutanol markets due to the relatively small volume of trade between the two countries [5]. - However, the tariff situation has adversely affected exports of certain PVC products, such as gloves, which could indirectly suppress demand for isobutanol, as these products are significant in the downstream consumption of plasticizers [6]. - The export volume of PVC gloves to the US reached 215,300 tons, accounting for over 47% of total exports, which may impact domestic consumption of dioctyl terephthalate (DOTP) and subsequently affect isobutanol demand [6].

根据上海证券交易所《关于做好主板上市公司 2025 年第一季度报告披露工作的 重要提醒》、《上市公司自律监管指引第 3 号—行业信息披露第十三号—化工》的要 求，山东华鲁恒升化工股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）现将 2025 年一季度主要 经营数据披露如下： | 本年主要产品 | 生产量（万吨） | 销售量（万吨） | 收入（亿元） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 新能源新材料相关产品 | 114.89 | 66.41 | 37.54 | | 化学肥料 | 145.46 | 145.33 | 18.98 | | 有机胺系列产品 | 12.61 | 13.51 | 5.61 | | 醋酸及衍生品 | 35.91 | 33.72 | 8.20 | 一、主要产品的产量、销量及收入实现情况 证券代码：600426 证券简称：华鲁恒升 编号：临 2025-025 山东华鲁恒升化工股份有限公司 2025 年一季度主要经营数据的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或 者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 注：新能源新材料相关产品生 ...