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纯苯苯乙烯日报:周中苯乙烯港口库存小幅回升-20251127
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-11-27 05:16
纯苯苯乙烯日报 | 2025-11-27 周中苯乙烯港口库存小幅回升 纯苯与苯乙烯观点 市场要闻与重要数据 下游硬胶方面:EPS生产利润31元/吨(-74元/吨),PS生产利润-69元/吨(-74元/吨),ABS生产利润-553元/吨(-60 元/吨)。EPS开工率56.27%(+4.64%),PS开工率55.90%(+0.50%),ABS开工率72.40%(+0.60%)。 市场分析 纯苯方面,随着欧美炼厂秋检峰值已过,开工逐步回升,汽油最紧张时期或已过;到港方面,纯苯节奏性到港压 力大,周初港口库存进一步上升,压制纯苯加工费表现。下游开工仍低位运行,苯酚开工回升,但苯胺及己二酸 开工回落,苯乙烯仍处于检修期等待月底恢复。 苯乙烯方面。海外,韩国大山,乐天和现代官宣合并,关闭110万吨乐天的裂解装置,关注后续韩国乐天苯乙烯装 置会否停车。而国内,港口库存周中再度回升,到港节奏性回升;苯乙烯仍处于检修低开工阶段,复工计划有所 推迟,后续关注点回到下游。目前下游开工仍偏低,季节性明显的EPS开工年底开工进一步下降预期,ABS、PS 则开工低位微幅回升,PS及ABS库存压力仍存。 策略 单边:无 基差及跨期:EB ...
中国多举措加强工业领域氧化亚氮控排工作
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-11-26 08:05
中国多举措加强工业领域氧化亚氮控排工作 编辑:陈俊明 广告等商务合作,请点击这里 《工业领域氧化亚氮排放控制行动方案》明确,到2030年,工业领域氧化亚氮排放控制政策进一步完 善,减排技术创新能力显著提高,排放管理能力明显加强,氧化亚氮回收利用和排放控制水平有效提 高。 据介绍,该联盟由国家应对气候变化战略研究和国际合作中心、中国化工节能技术协会等共同发起,下 一步将加快研究制定工业氧化亚氮排放监测标准,推动产学研协同攻关,研究利用市场机制鼓励减排, 全方位助力国家工业领域氧化亚氮控排工作。(完) 来源:中国新闻网 中新社北京11月26日电 (记者 阮煜琳)"工业领域氧化亚氮控排产学研联盟成立仪式暨氧化亚氮减排技术 研讨会"26日在北京举行。中国生态环境部应对气候变化司相关负责人表示,希望联盟凝聚产学研用各 方力量,协同攻关工业氧化亚氮核心减排技术,推动建立科学、规范、统一的工业氧化亚氮监测标准体 系。 氧化亚氮是全球第三大温室气体,是重要的非二氧化碳温室气体,其增温潜势约为二氧化碳的300倍, 化学性质较为稳定,大气寿命在百年以上。根据最新的国家温室气体清单数据,2021年中国氧化亚氮排 放总量为210.2 ...
纯苯苯乙烯日报:苯乙烯检修仍持续-20251126
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-11-26 02:55
纯苯苯乙烯日报 | 2025-11-26 苯乙烯检修仍持续 纯苯与苯乙烯观点 市场要闻与重要数据 纯苯方面:纯苯主力基差-111元/吨(-1)。纯苯港口库存16.40万吨(+1.70万吨);纯苯CFR中国加工费101美元/吨 (-10美元/吨),纯苯FOB韩国加工费89美元/吨(-9美元/吨),纯苯美韩价差179.8美元/吨(-10.1美元/吨)。华东纯 苯现货-M2价差-100元/吨(+5元/吨)。 纯苯下游方面:己内酰胺生产利润-850元/吨(+275),酚酮生产利润-415元/吨(+0),苯胺生产利润499元/吨(+3), 己二酸生产利润-1245元/吨(+23)。己内酰胺开工率88.23%(+2.18%),苯酚开工率79.00%(+12.00%),苯胺开工 率75.68%(-4.49%),己二酸开工率55.50%(-6.50%)。 苯乙烯方面:苯乙烯主力基差64元/吨(+0元/吨);苯乙烯非一体化生产利润-223元/吨(+30元/吨),预期逐步压缩。 苯乙烯华东港口库存164200吨(+15900吨),苯乙烯华东商业库存94200吨(+6900吨),处于库存回建阶段。苯乙 烯开工率69.0%(-0.3 ...
供需弱化与成本变量共振,芳烃震荡运行
Tong Hui Qi Huo· 2025-11-25 11:14
能源化工 纯苯&苯乙烯日报 通惠期货•研发产品系列 2025 年 11 月 25 日 星期二 供需弱化与成本变量共振,芳烃震荡运行 一、 日度市场总结 通惠期货研发部 (1)基本面 价格:11 月 24 日苯乙烯主力合约收跌 1.09%,报 6436 元/吨,基 差 64(+11 元/吨);纯苯主力合约收跌 1.33%,报 5435 元/吨。 成本:11 月 24 日布油主力收盘 58.1 美元/桶(-0.9 美元/桶), WTI 原油主力合约收盘 61.9 美元/桶(-0.9 美元/桶),华东纯苯现货报 价 5320 元/吨(-40 元/吨)。 苯乙烯港口库存 14.8 万吨(-2.7 万吨),环比去库 15.2%,苯乙烯 延续去库但仍高于往年。纯苯港口库存 14.7 万吨(+3.4 万吨),环比累 库 30.1%。 供应:苯乙烯开工率及供应环比小幅波动。目前,苯乙烯周产量 34.3 万吨(-0.1 万吨),工厂产能利用率 69.0%(-0.3%)。 需求:下游 3S 开工率整体需求回暖,EPS 产能利用率 56.3% (+4.6%),ABS 产能利用率 72.4%(+0.6%),PS 产能利用率 55.9 ...
纯苯苯乙烯日报:纯苯库存继续累积-20251125
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-11-25 05:11
纯苯方面:纯苯主力基差-110元/吨(+28)。纯苯港口库存16.40万吨(+1.70万吨);纯苯CFR中国加工费111美元/ 吨(-1美元/吨),纯苯FOB韩国加工费98美元/吨(-2美元/吨),纯苯美韩价差189.9美元/吨(+25.1美元/吨)。华东 纯苯现货-M2价差-105元/吨(+40元/吨)。 纯苯下游方面:己内酰胺生产利润-1125元/吨(+70),酚酮生产利润-415元/吨(+0),苯胺生产利润499元/吨(+3), 己二酸生产利润-1268元/吨(+41)。己内酰胺开工率88.23%(+2.18%),苯酚开工率79.00%(+12.00%),苯胺开工 率75.68%(-4.49%),己二酸开工率55.50%(-6.50%)。 苯乙烯方面:苯乙烯主力基差64元/吨(+11元/吨);苯乙烯非一体化生产利润-252元/吨(-21元/吨),预期逐步压缩。 苯乙烯华东港口库存164200吨(+15900吨),苯乙烯华东商业库存94200吨(+6900吨),处于库存回建阶段。苯乙 烯开工率69.0%(-0.3%)。 下游硬胶方面:EPS生产利润115元/吨(-41元/吨),PS生产利润-35元/吨(+ ...
需求低迷拖累欧洲尼龙市场
Zhong Guo Hua Gong Bao· 2025-11-25 03:11
中化新网讯 近期,受供应过剩及进口竞争压力,欧洲尼龙6现货价持续下跌,尼龙66价格企稳。市场人 士称,受累于汽车、建筑行业尼龙需求持续疲软且2026年难有改善,欧洲尼龙市场恐难好转。 此外,巴斯夫近期宣布比利时安特卫普、德国路德维希港工厂己内酰胺、硫酸铵及尼龙6生产遭遇不可 抗力,但分销商称对供应无影响。买家表示市场供应充裕,库存可满足年末需求。亚洲原产料已进入欧 洲市场,更多货物在途,将进一步施压尼龙6价格。 上游市场,己内酰胺现货价当周持稳于1600欧元/吨,自8月28日从1800欧元/吨下跌后未再变动。因采 购疲软、来自亚洲进口量有限,欧洲尼龙66现货价持平,供需基本面未变。11月12日,普氏监测数据 称,工程级尼龙66树脂现货价格为2200欧元/吨,自9月16日后未变,较4月2450欧元/吨的全年峰值有回 落。上游原料己二酸受供需疲软拖累持续下跌,11月12日西北欧完税交付价收于1230欧元/吨,周跌20 欧元,较1月份1400欧元/吨的高点跌70欧元。 市场预计,尼龙供应过剩将持续至2026年一季度,欧盟11月14日对中国己二酸征反倾销税,或推动欧洲 买家明年二季度转向欧洲供应商。 11月12日,普 ...
纯苯&苯乙烯周报:海外汽油裂差走强,纯苯苯乙烯震荡偏强-20251124
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-11-24 09:23
投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 【纯苯&苯乙烯周报】 海外汽油裂差走强,纯苯苯乙烯震荡偏强 国贸期货 能源化工研究中心 2025-11-24 国贸期货研究院 能源化工研究中心:陈胜 从业资格证号:F3066728 投资咨询证号:Z0017251 本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务,其中的观点和信息仅供参考,不构成任何投资建议;期市有风险,投资需谨慎 01 PART ONE 主要观点及策略概述 苯乙烯:乙苯调油推动纯苯苯乙烯价格上行 | 影响因素 | 驱动 | 主要逻辑 | | --- | --- | --- | | 供给 | 偏多 | 关于苯乙烯的经济性,苯乙烯与石脑油的价差约为200美元,苯乙烯与苯的价差为125美元/桶,价差小幅扩张,非一体化的生产利润依然是负值。 | | 需求 | 偏空 | 截至2025年11月17日,江苏纯苯港口样本商业库存总量:14.7万吨,较上期库存11.3万吨累库3.4万吨,环比上升30.09%;较去年同期库存11.77万吨累库 2.93万吨,同比上升24.89%。供给端检修传闻有所增加,海外由于衍生品的低开工率,需求依然不佳。 | | 库存 | 中性 | 截至202 ...
基本面短期内无明显利好支撑 纯苯或走入震荡区间
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-11-24 06:10
正信期货:预计短期纯苯延续震荡格局 库存方面,截至2025年11月17日,江苏纯苯港口样本商业库存总量14.7万吨,较上期累库3.4万吨,环比 上升30.09%;较去年同期累库2.93万吨,同比上升24.89%。需求方面,在缺乏终端需求实质性回暖信号 的背景下,需求端对价格的支撑有限。现货方面,苯乙烯基差整体走强5~10块,换货月差走缩。现货 EB12+50~65商谈,11下EB12+55~+65成交;换货方面,11换12升水30成交。现货商谈区间6520-6630, 11下6520-6630。总结来看:11月多套供应装置传出检修计划,进口货到船数量维持低位,总供应有缩 量预期。苯乙烯、己内酰胺、苯胺、己二酸对纯苯需求下降,苯酚对纯苯需求稳定,下游总体需求下 降。策略:基本面短期无明显利好支撑,但成品油强势叠加歧化减产预期,预计短期纯苯延续震荡格 局。 新湖期货:纯苯价格或走入震荡区间 供给端,最新石油苯开工在76.67%,相较前一周下滑1.31%,新增部分检修装置,实际到港仍偏多,进 口远端下滑幅度暂不确定,但强预期为价格提供支撑。需求端,下游加权开工率在73.52%,环比小幅 提升,终端需求表现仍一般,纯 ...
纯苯苯乙烯日报:淡季下游开工仍偏低-20251121
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-11-21 02:46
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Views - For pure benzene, low US gasoline inventory supports Asian aromatics through gasoline blending. The arbitrage spread from South Korea to the US has been significantly repaired, potentially easing long - term Chinese arrival pressure, but short - term arrival pressure still exists, with rising port inventory and a weak basis. Domestic production has not further increased after an earlier rise, and downstream开工 remains low. Phenol开工 has increased significantly, while aniline and adipic acid开工 have declined, and styrene is in the maintenance period waiting for recovery at the end of the month [3]. - For styrene, port inventory continues to decline due to export boost and low domestic开工, but there is a resumption expectation at the end of November. Downstream开工 remains low, with EPS开工 rising from a low level but still in the off - season, and ABS and PS开工 slightly rising from a low level, with inventory pressure still existing for PS and ABS [3]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Pure Benzene and EB's Basis Structure, Inter - Period Spreads - Figures related to pure benzene basis and inter - period spreads include the pure benzene main contract basis, pure benzene spot - M2 paper cargo spread, and pure benzene consecutive first - to - third contract spread [1][15]. - Figures related to EB basis and inter - period spreads include the EB main contract basis and EB consecutive first - to - third contract spread [20]. 2. Pure Benzene and Styrene Production Profits, Domestic - Foreign Spreads - Production profit and spread figures for pure benzene and styrene include naphtha processing fee, pure benzene FOB South Korea - naphtha CFR Japan spread, styrene non - integrated device production profit, and various international price spreads of pure benzene and styrene, as well as their import profits [22][25][34]. 3. Pure Benzene and Styrene Inventory, Operating Rates - For pure benzene, the inventory figure is the East China port inventory, and the operating rate figure is the pure benzene operating rate. For styrene, inventory figures include East China port inventory, East China commercial inventory, and factory inventory, and the operating rate figure is the styrene operating rate [40][42][45]. 4. Styrene Downstream Operating Rates and Production Profits - Downstream products of styrene include EPS, PS, and ABS. Figures cover their operating rates and production profits [51][53][54]. 5. Pure Benzene Downstream Operating Rates and Production Profits - Downstream products of pure benzene include caprolactam, phenol - ketone, aniline, adipic acid, and other related products. Figures cover their operating rates and production profits [60][63][72]. Strategies - Unilateral: None [4]. - Basis and Inter - Period: Conduct long - short inter - period positive arbitrage for EB2512 - EB2601 at low prices [4]. - Cross - Variety: Expand the spread of EB2512 - BZ2603 at low prices [4].
纯苯苯乙烯日报:纯苯基差再度走弱-20251120
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-11-20 03:15
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - In the short term, the concentrated arrival of pure benzene in China has led to a rapid increase in port inventories and a weakening of the basis. The domestic production start - up continues to rise, while the downstream start - up is weak. For styrene, port inventories continue to decline due to export boosts and low domestic start - up, but there is a resumption expectation at the end of November. Recently, the increase in pure benzene inventory and the decrease in styrene inventory are conducive to the short - term expansion of the EB - BZ spread [3] Summary by Directory 1. Pure Benzene and EB's Basis Structure and Inter - period Spreads - Figures include pure benzene's main basis, main futures contract price, main contract basis, spot - M2 paper cargo spread, and the spread between the first and third contracts. Also, EB's main contract trend and basis, main contract basis, and the spread between the first and third contracts are presented [7][10][15] 2. Production Profits and Internal - External Spreads of Pure Benzene and Styrene - Figures cover naphtha processing fees, the difference between pure benzene FOB Korea and naphtha CFR Japan, styrene non - integrated device production profits, the difference between pure benzene FOB US Gulf and FOB Korea, the difference between pure benzene FOB US Gulf and CFR China, the difference between pure benzene FOB Rotterdam and CFR China, pure benzene import profits, styrene import profits, the difference between styrene FOB US Gulf and CFR China, and the difference between styrene FOB Rotterdam and CFR China [18][21][36] 3. Inventories and Start - up Rates of Pure Benzene and Styrene - Figures show pure benzene's East China port inventory, start - up rate, styrene's East China port inventory, start - up rate, East China commercial inventory, and factory inventory [38][40][43] 4. Start - up and Production Profits of Styrene's Downstream - Figures present the start - up rates and production profits of EPS, PS, and ABS [49][51][52] 5. Start - up and Production Profits of Pure Benzene's Downstream - Figures include the start - up rates and production profits of caprolactam, phenol - ketone, aniline, adipic acid, PA6 regular spinning bright, nylon filament, bisphenol A, PC, epoxy resin E - 51, pure MDI, and polymer MDI [58][64][82]