互联互通机制开通以来，北上资金交投持续活跃，累计成交额首次突破196万亿元。 （文章来源：证券时报网） 证券时报·数据宝统计显示，11月21日当日陆股通成交额2334.02亿元，互联互通机制开通以来累计成交 额196.14万亿元，首次突破196万亿元整数关。（数据宝） ...

Core Insights - The northbound capital trading has remained active since the launch of the interconnection mechanism, with cumulative trading volume exceeding 195 trillion yuan for the first time [1] Trading Activity - On November 14, the trading volume of the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect reached 209.82 billion yuan [1] - The cumulative trading volume since the launch of the interconnection mechanism has reached 195.09 trillion yuan, marking a significant milestone [1]

Group 1: Macro Liquidity - The US dollar index has declined, and the degree of "inversion" in the China-US interest rate spread has narrowed. Inflation expectations have decreased [1][12]. - Offshore dollar liquidity has generally loosened, while domestic interbank liquidity remains balanced and slightly loose [1][18]. Group 2: Market Trading Activity - Overall market trading activity has decreased, with major indices also showing a decline in volatility. However, over half of the sectors still maintain trading activity above the 80th percentile [2][28]. - The volatility of major indices has decreased, while the volatility of the communication and electronics sectors remains above the 80th historical percentile [2][30]. Group 3: Institutional Research - The electronic, pharmaceutical, non-ferrous metals, electric new energy, and food and beverage sectors have seen high research activity, with steel, electric new energy, media, textile and apparel, and construction sectors experiencing a rise in research activity [3][41]. Group 4: Analyst Forecasts - The net profit forecasts for the entire A-share market for 2025 and 2026 have been adjusted, with increases in the transportation, construction, non-bank financials, military, computer, and banking sectors [4][21]. - The net profit forecasts for the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 index for 2025 and 2026 have been raised, while the forecasts for the CSI 500 and ChiNext indices have been lowered [4][23]. Group 5: Northbound Trading Activity - Northbound trading activity has decreased, with a slight net sell-off in A-shares. The trading volume ratio in sectors like electric new energy, home appliances, and computers has increased [5][32]. - Northbound trading has shown net buying in sectors such as electronics, machinery, and chemicals, while net selling has occurred in pharmaceuticals, food and beverages, and non-bank financials [5][33]. Group 6: Margin Financing Activity - Margin financing activity has significantly decreased to the lowest level since mid-August 2025, with a slight net buying of 6.736 billion yuan last week, primarily in electric new energy, chemicals, and pharmaceuticals [6][35]. - The proportion of financing purchases in sectors like steel, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and petrochemicals has increased [6][38]. Group 7: Fund Activity - The positions of actively managed equity funds have decreased, with net redemptions in ETFs, particularly among institutional ETFs. Active equity funds have mainly increased positions in non-ferrous metals, automobiles, and home appliances [8][45]. - The correlation of actively managed equity funds with large-cap growth and mid/small-cap value has increased, while the correlation with mid/small-cap growth and large-cap value has decreased [8][48].

Core Insights - The northbound capital trading has remained active since the opening of the interconnection mechanism, with cumulative trading volume exceeding 194 trillion yuan for the first time [1] Trading Activity - On November 10, the trading volume of the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect reached 243.637 billion yuan [1] - The cumulative trading volume since the opening of the interconnection mechanism has reached 194.21 trillion yuan, marking a significant milestone [1]

Group 1 - Northbound capital activity has rebounded, with a net buying of A-shares, particularly in the computer, food and beverage, and non-ferrous metal sectors, while there was net selling in the machinery sector [1][10] - Margin trading activity has also slightly increased, reaching a three-week high, with net buying mainly in the electric new energy, communication, and machinery sectors, and net selling in food and beverage, oil and petrochemicals, and coal sectors [16][39] - The trading heat and volatility in the market have risen, with sectors like communication, electronics, electric new energy, chemicals, machinery, and real estate showing trading heat above the 80th percentile [2][5] Group 2 - The ETF market has seen net subscriptions, primarily in institutional ETFs, with significant net buying in sectors such as electronics, non-bank financials, and pharmaceuticals, while there was net selling in electric new energy, chemicals, and banking sectors [31][32] - The buy-sell ratio of the top 10 active northbound stocks compared to the overall northbound trading has shown a slight increase, indicating a shift in trading dynamics [13] - The buy consensus for ETFs and northbound trading has decreased, while the buy consensus for margin trading and the dragon and tiger list has increased, suggesting a mixed sentiment among market participants [39]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that market trading activity has declined, with volatility across major indices also decreasing [1] - Consensus on buying through ETFs and northbound capital has continued to fall, alongside a decrease in margin trading and the buying consensus from the "Dragon and Tiger" list [1] - Margin trading has become a primary source of incremental capital in the market, while fluctuations in northbound capital remain a significant source of market volatility [1]

Core Insights - The northbound capital trading has remained active since the opening of the interconnection mechanism, with cumulative trading volume exceeding 192 trillion yuan for the first time [1] Trading Activity - On October 28, the trading volume of the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect reached 237.13 billion yuan [1] - The cumulative trading volume since the opening of the interconnection mechanism has reached 192.17 trillion yuan, marking a significant milestone [1]

Core Insights - The northbound capital trading has remained active since the opening of the interconnection mechanism, with cumulative trading volume exceeding 191 trillion yuan for the first time [1] Trading Activity - On October 21, the trading volume of the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect reached 246.87 billion yuan [1] - The cumulative trading volume since the opening of the interconnection mechanism has reached 191.02 trillion yuan, marking a significant milestone [1]

Macro Liquidity - The US dollar index has declined, and the degree of "inversion" in the China-US interest rate spread has narrowed [2][13] - The nominal and real yields of 10-year US Treasuries have decreased or remained unchanged, with inflation expectations also falling [2][19] - Offshore dollar liquidity has tightened, while domestic interbank liquidity remains balanced and slightly loose [2][19] Market Trading Activity - Overall market trading activity has decreased, with the volatility of major indices showing mixed trends [3][25] - Trading heat in sectors such as non-ferrous metals, electric vehicles, steel, electronics, automotive, and real estate remains above the 80th percentile [3][25] - The volatility of the communication and electronics sectors remains above the 80th historical percentile [3][31] Analyst Predictions - Analysts have continued to raise net profit forecasts for the entire A-share market for 2025 and 2026 [4][43] - The proportion of stocks with upward revisions in net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 has increased [4][43] - Sectors such as retail, finance, light industry, and public utilities have seen upward revisions in net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 [4][43][44] Northbound Trading Activity - Northbound trading activity has decreased, with overall net selling of A-shares [5][29] - In the top 10 active stocks, the trading volume ratio for sectors like non-ferrous metals, electronics, and banking has increased [5][32] - Northbound trading has shown net buying in sectors such as electronics, automotive, and electric vehicles, while net selling occurred in computing, pharmaceuticals, and communications [5][33] Margin Financing Activity - Margin financing activity has dropped to its lowest point since mid-September 2025 [6][35] - The main net buying in margin financing has been in sectors like non-ferrous metals, military, and pharmaceuticals [6][38] - The proportion of financing purchases in sectors such as oil and petrochemicals, steel, and public utilities has increased [6][38] Fund Activity - The positions of actively managed equity funds have continued to rise, with net subscriptions in ETFs persisting [8][45] - Actively managed equity funds have mainly increased positions in sectors like electronics, automotive, and media [8][46] - New fund establishment has seen a rebound, with both actively and passively managed funds experiencing growth [8][50]

Core Insights - The northbound capital trading has remained active since the opening of the interconnection mechanism, with cumulative trading volume exceeding 190 trillion yuan for the first time [1] Summary by Categories - **Trading Activity** - On October 15, the trading volume of the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect reached 296.472 billion yuan [1] - The cumulative trading volume since the opening of the interconnection mechanism has reached 190.02 trillion yuan, marking a significant milestone [1]