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小菜园(00999):2025H1归母净利润增长36%,预计下半年门店扩张提速
Guoxin Securities· 2025-08-20 03:11
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][4][19] Core Views - The company achieved a 36% year-on-year growth in net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of 2025, with total revenue reaching 2.714 billion yuan, an increase of 6.5% [1][7] - The growth in revenue was primarily driven by the takeout business, which saw a 13.7% increase, while dine-in revenue grew by 2.2% [1][7] - The company is expected to accelerate store openings in the second half of 2025, maintaining a target of a net increase of 130 stores for the year [3][10] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company reported a total revenue of 2.714 billion yuan, up 6.5%, and a net profit of 382 million yuan, up 35.7% [1][7] - Adjusted net profit for the same period was also 382 million yuan, reflecting a 44.6% increase [1] - The gross margin improved to 70.5%, a year-on-year increase of 2.6%, attributed to enhanced supplier negotiation capabilities and reduced procurement costs [2][15] Operational Efficiency - The average dine-in customer spending decreased by 5.5% year-on-year, impacting same-store sales, which fell by 7.2% [2][11] - The overall table turnover rate remained stable at 3.1 times, with variations across city tiers [2][11] - Employee cost ratio improved by 4.0 percentage points to 24.6%, due to the adoption of cooking robots and optimized staffing models [2][15] Expansion Plans - As of June 30, 2025, the company operated 672 stores, a net increase of 55 stores year-on-year, with plans to accelerate openings in the latter half of the year [3][10] - The company has already added over 30 new stores in July and August 2025, indicating a ramp-up in expansion efforts [3][10] Dividend Policy - The company declared a dividend of 0.2112 yuan per share for the first half of 2025, with a payout ratio of 65%, suggesting a dividend yield of 4.2% based on the latest closing price [3][17] Future Projections - The company forecasts net profits of 770 million yuan, 940 million yuan, and 1.12 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, representing year-on-year growth rates of 32%, 22%, and 19% [4][17]