Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs reports that Wynn Macau's Q3 property EBITDA is $308 million, benefiting from an increase in VIP win rate to 4.26% compared to 2.97% in the previous quarter [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The adjusted property EBITDA, assuming a theoretical VIP win rate of 3.4%, would be $285 million, reflecting a quarterly growth of 7% and an annual growth of 9%, aligning with market expectations [1] - The market share of gaming revenue increased by 1.1 percentage points to 13.1% quarter-over-quarter [1] Group 2: Management Outlook - Management remains optimistic about the Macau gaming industry and the company's business prospects, highlighting strong performance in the high-end market, which supports a double-digit year-on-year growth in gaming volume for October [1] Group 3: Future Projections - Goldman Sachs assumes a market share of 12.6% and anticipates additional costs due to more events at year-end, projecting Q4 property EBITDA to be $280 million, with an annual EBITDA forecast of $1.1 billion [1] - The firm has adjusted EBITDA forecasts for 2025 to 2027 down by 4% to an increase of 1%, with a slight decrease in target price from HKD 7.5 to HKD 7.4, maintaining a "Neutral" rating due to expected market share decline in October and higher costs in Q4 limiting EBITDA and stock price upside [1]

Core Viewpoint - Sands China reported 3Q25 results that met market expectations, with net revenue of $1.906 billion, an 8% year-on-year increase and a 6% quarter-on-quarter increase, recovering to 90% of 3Q19 levels [1] Financial Performance - Adjusted property EBITDA for 3Q25 was $601 million, up 3% year-on-year and 6% quarter-on-quarter, aligning closely with Bloomberg's consensus estimate of $596 million [1] - The increase in gaming revenue market share from 22.6% in 2Q25 to 23.7% in 3Q25 was driven by rebate incentive policies [1] Development Trends - Management reiterated a full-year Macau gross gaming revenue assumption of $33-34 billion, maintaining a short-term EBITDA target of $2.7-2.8 billion for the year, equating to $675 million per quarter [1] - Despite intense competition in the high-end mass segment, Sands China aims to remain competitive to achieve its short-term EBITDA goals while adjusting reinvestment plans and sales team resource allocation across properties [1] - The company plans to re-enter the intermediary VIP business as high-end VIP customer visits increase, although the mass market is expected to contribute the majority of revenue [1] - Strong passenger traffic driven by same-day round trips continued in 3Q25, with ordinary mass market growth lagging behind high-end mass business; ordinary mass traffic recovered to 119% of 3Q19 levels (7% quarter-on-quarter growth), while high-end mass recovered to 106% of 3Q19 levels (10% quarter-on-quarter growth) [1] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its adjusted EBITDA forecasts for 2025 and 2026, with the current stock price corresponding to 10 times 2025 and 9 times 2026 EV/EBITDA [1] - The company maintains an outperform rating and a target price of HKD 23.80, which corresponds to 12 times 2025 and 11 times 2026 EV/EBITDA, indicating a 29% upside potential from the current stock price [1]

Core Viewpoint - UBS report indicates that Wynn Macau (01128) significantly increased its market share in September, rising approximately 200 basis points month-over-month, contributing to a quarterly increase of 150 basis points in Q3 [1] Group 1: Market Share Changes - Wynn Macau's market share in September rose significantly, leading the market with a 200 basis points increase month-over-month and a 150 basis points increase quarter-over-quarter [1] - The second highest market share increase was observed in SJM Holdings (00880), which saw a month-over-month rise of about 50 basis points in September, but a decline of 30 basis points in Q3 [1] - Sands China (01928) and Galaxy Entertainment (00027) experienced declines in market share in September, with decreases of approximately 100 basis points and 150 basis points, respectively, although both companies saw quarterly increases of about 70 basis points and 40 basis points in Q3 [1] - Melco Resorts (MLCO.US) and MGM China (02282) maintained their market share in September, but both experienced declines of 120 basis points and 100 basis points, respectively, in Q3 [1] Group 2: Market Expectations - Compared to market expectations, the market shares of Galaxy Entertainment and Wynn Macau were higher than anticipated, while those of MGM, Sands China, and SJM Holdings were lower than expected [1]