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交运2026:时代的红利,趋势的力量
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-11-12 07:16
Group 1: Aviation and Airports - The number of visa-free foreign visitors to China has increased by 52%, which is expected to drive the recovery of aviation and gradually restore airport profitability [2][5][7] - International passenger traffic is projected to grow by 25% in 2025, with a significant contribution from visa-free foreign visitors [16][18] - Major airports have seen passenger throughput recover to 2019 levels, with international passenger volume at Pudong Airport increasing by 23% year-on-year [28][26] Group 2: Shipping and Ports - Exports to ASEAN and Africa have increased by 15% and 28% respectively, benefiting regional shipping and port companies [3][44] - The new land-sea corridor in the western region has seen container volume grow by 70%, indicating strong demand for shipping services [3][44] - The global shipping demand is expected to grow slowly in 2026, with supply pressures potentially leading to lower freight rates [33] Group 3: Highways and Logistics - There is a potential for toll increases on existing highways, with some provinces already raising rates by over 30% [45][47] - The express delivery sector is showing signs of recovery, with price increases expected as competition stabilizes [58][60] - The logistics supply chain is expected to benefit from the monetization of traffic and new business growth, with significant revenue increases projected [61][64] Group 4: New Energy Vehicles and Smart Driving - Sales of electric heavy trucks have surged by 198%, with freight costs reduced by 16%, indicating a shift towards electrification in logistics [4][73] - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles is rapidly increasing, with significant implications for road transport efficiency and cost [80][79] - Companies in the smart driving sector are expected to see substantial growth, driven by technological advancements and increased market demand [81]