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化工行业2025年一季报综述:基础化工盈利能力边际好转,石油石化业绩随油价短期波动
Bank of China Securities· 2025-05-22 06:37
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the chemical industry, indicating a positive outlook based on current valuations and expected demand recovery [1]. Core Insights - The basic chemical industry showed a year-on-year recovery in profitability in Q1 2025, with revenue and net profit increasing by 5.58% and 13.33%, respectively [4][45]. - The oil and petrochemical sector's performance remains stable despite short-term fluctuations in oil prices, with a slight decline in revenue and net profit [27][33]. - The report highlights that the construction projects in the basic chemical sector experienced a negative growth for the first time in five years, indicating potential challenges ahead [20]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - In Q1 2025, the basic chemical industry achieved total revenue of 534.57 billion yuan and a net profit of 34.26 billion yuan, marking the first year-on-year growth in nearly three years [4][5]. - The oil and petrochemical sector reported total revenue of 1,931.83 billion yuan, a decrease of 6.78% year-on-year, with net profit declining by 6.35% [27][30]. Profitability Metrics - The basic chemical industry's gross margin and net margin improved to 16.91% and 6.63%, respectively, with a return on equity (ROE) of 1.85% [11][45]. - The oil and petrochemical sector maintained a gross margin of 19.19% and a net margin of 5.74%, with a slight decrease in ROE to 2.82% [33][38]. Sub-industry Performance - Among 33 sub-industries in the basic chemical sector, 22 reported revenue growth, with significant increases in other chemical raw materials (+29.08%) and compound fertilizers (+25.84%) [4][10]. - The oilfield services segment within the oil and petrochemical sector saw a robust net profit growth of 29.82% [27][31]. Construction and Investment Trends - The basic chemical sector's construction projects totaled 363.16 billion yuan, reflecting a 6.04% year-on-year decrease, the first negative growth in five years [20][23]. - The oil and petrochemical sector's construction projects increased by 8.23% to 582.72 billion yuan, indicating ongoing investment despite revenue declines [40][41]. Market Valuation - As of May 11, 2025, the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for the basic chemical sector was 21.92, and for the oil and petrochemical sector, it was 10.58, both indicating low historical valuations [1][23].
化工行业2024年年报综述:基础化工静待复苏,石油石化保持稳健
Bank of China Securities· 2025-05-19 09:10
基础化工 | 证券研究报告 — 行业点评 2025 年 5 月 19 日 强于大市 化工行业 2024 年年报综述 基础化工静待复苏,石油石化保持稳健 2024 年基础化工行业盈利能力降至近年低位,部分子行业业绩改善;石油石化行业收 入、业绩保持稳健。随着经济复苏、需求端持续向好,行业景气度有望回升,当前板 块估值较低,维持行业 强于大市 评级。 支撑评级的要点 投资建议 评级面临的主要风险 油价异常波动风险;国际贸易摩擦风险;周期持续下行风险;行业竞争加剧风险; 项目进展不及预期风险;汇率变动风险。 《化工行业周报 20250511》20250512 《化工行业周报 20250505》20250506 《2025 年 4 月中共中央政治局会议化工行业相 关要点及解读》20250505 中银国际证券股份有限公司 具备证券投资咨询业务资格 相关研究报告 基础化工 证券分析师:余嫄嫄 (8621)20328550 yuanyuan.yu@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号:S1300517050002 联系人:赵泰 基础化工:2024 年营收略改善,盈利能力或底部企稳 营收同比略提升,归母净利润 ...