Core Viewpoint - Recent reports of "memory price flash crash" in the domestic market have attracted significant attention from the capital market and the industry, although investigations indicate that current spot prices for memory have shown slight declines, the extent is limited and has not led to a systematic industry downturn [1][4]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - In the North American market, some leading storage companies have experienced high-level stock price corrections, and rumors of price softening at the channel level have intensified discussions about an "early cycle turning point" [1]. - Some subcategories have even seen a phase of "rebound" in prices [2]. - Channel feedback indicates that market speculation has cooled, but the overall supply-demand structure has not fundamentally reversed [3]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Analysis - The current "flash crash" rumors are primarily concentrated in the channel spot market rather than the original factory contract market, with inventory management and cash flow needs among channel vendors contributing to short-term price fluctuations [4]. - On the supply side, major manufacturers like Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, and Micron Technology are maintaining a cautious capacity strategy, focusing on high-end product lines driven by AI computing demand, while traditional DRAM and NAND capacity expansions remain controlled [4][5]. - The absence of significant supply increases is a key reason for the industry's belief that a "flash crash" is unlikely [5]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Valuation - The high-level adjustments in the North American capital market for storage stocks have amplified market sentiment, with previous AI narratives driving significant valuation recovery in the storage sector [6]. - Short-term profit-taking and cautious sentiment ahead of the holiday season have led to the rapid spread of "flash crash" narratives, but from a fundamental perspective, there are no signs of significant inventory accumulation or proactive price cuts by manufacturers to gain market share [6].