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电动车10月报:动储产销两旺,量利双升,继续强推锂电和储能
2025-10-09 02:00
Summary of Electric Vehicle and Energy Storage Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The electric vehicle (EV) industry is projected to see global sales exceed 21 million units in 2025, representing a 24% year-on-year growth, and 25 million units in 2026, with a 17% increase [1][3] - The demand for power batteries is expected to rise correspondingly, with energy storage installations anticipated to surpass 300 GWh in 2025, marking a 60%-70% growth [1][3] Key Insights Demand and Sales Growth - Domestic EV sales in China are expected to reach approximately 16.5 million units in 2025, reflecting a nearly 30% increase, and around 10% growth in 2026 [1][2] - The European market is projected to sell between 3.8 to 4 million units in 2025, with at least a 30% year-on-year growth, and maintain over 30% growth in 2026 [1][2][7] - Other regions, including Southeast Asia and South America, are expected to see significant growth, with sales projected at 1.5 million units in 2025, a 46% increase [1][3] Supply and Production Capacity - The supply-demand relationship in the power battery and energy storage sectors is tight, with most new production capacity expected to come online by the end of 2026 [4][6] - First-tier manufacturers are operating at full capacity, while second and third-tier manufacturers are also increasing their utilization rates [4][9] - Material prices, such as lithium hexafluorophosphate, have seen significant increases, with prices rising by several thousand yuan per ton [4][8] Market Trends and Future Outlook - The energy storage market is anticipated to grow by 30%-40% domestically in 2025, with the U.S. market expected to exceed 40% growth due to the OBB Act [5][6] - Global energy storage installations and shipments are projected to grow by 60%-70% in 2025 and around 40% in 2026 [1][6] - The solid-state battery sector is witnessing advancements, with new interface solutions and electrolytes being developed, which are expected to catalyze industry growth [10] Investment Recommendations - The lithium battery sector is recommended for investment, with specific companies highlighted, including CATL, Yiwei Lithium Energy, and others in the materials and solid-state battery fields [11][30] - Upstream resources, particularly lithium carbonate stocks, are also noted as worthy of attention due to their expected performance [11][34] Additional Insights - The profitability of the lithium battery industry is currently low, but there is potential for price recovery in materials like separators and lithium carbonate [8][34] - The production capacity utilization across various segments is improving, with overall utilization rates exceeding 70% [26] - The demand for energy storage batteries remains high, with orders extending into 2026, indicating a sustained tight supply situation [27] This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call regarding the electric vehicle and energy storage industries, highlighting growth projections, supply dynamics, and investment opportunities.
固态电池最新进展
数说新能源· 2025-06-10 03:16
9月进行中期验收、验收指标较为严苛。工信部9月对六家单位进行中期审查,电芯尺寸要求60Ah级别,从至 少300支电芯中随机选取100支进行检测,验收指标和方式较为严苛,能量密度要求350Wh/kg+,叠加其他电 芯测试数据,各家性能要求或略有区别。此外,工信部项目或有淘汰机制,不排除有新中标单位进入。产业 链进展快于项目预期,头部厂商已建立超低露点车间,单次进行公斤级投料,单次生产电芯30-50支,其余电 池厂均在全力推进。 往期推荐 主机厂电芯采购:兼顾性能和成本 加入社群 添加半仙微信,备注"进群",邀请你加入锂电行业社群,获得行业最新动态、行业干货 报告和精准人脉。 比亚迪出海:发力东南亚 CATL : 储能市场增长高于动力 本公众号基于分享的目的转载,转载文章的版权归原作者或原公众号所有,如有涉及侵权请及时告知,我们将予以核实并删除 ...
固态电池进展
数说新能源· 2025-06-06 09:47
1、性能上,循环寿命,90%SOC内已经达到300-400次,按80%SOC测算已经可以达到商用目的,能量密度达 到350Wh/kg-350Wh/kg; 加入社群 添加半仙微信,备注"进群",邀请你加入锂电行业社群,获得行业最新动态、行业干货 报告和精准人脉。 比亚迪出海:发力东南亚 CATL : 2、材料选择上,电解质选用硫化物路线,正极选用高镍体系,负极采用人造石墨+硅碳负极,少部分采用无 负极技术; 往期推荐 主机厂电芯采购:兼顾性能和成本 3、工艺上,选用等静压设备解决固固界面问题,目前采用湿法工艺,后续可能采用干法工艺; 4、进展上,目前中试线已搭建完成, 储能市场增长高于动力 本公众号基于分享的目的转载,转载文章的版权归原作者或原公众号所有,如有涉及侵权请及时告知,我们将予以核实并删除 ...