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减持债券 增持基金 低利率周期银行理财配置变局
Core Viewpoint - The banking wealth management sector is adjusting its asset allocation strategies in response to declining interest rates, shifting away from bonds and equity assets towards public funds, cash, bank deposits, and non-standardized debt assets [1][4]. Asset Allocation Changes - As of the end of June, the asset allocation of wealth management products remains predominantly in fixed-income assets, while the proportion of bonds and equity assets has decreased. Specifically, the balance of investments in bonds and equity assets was 13.78 trillion yuan and 0.78 trillion yuan, accounting for 41.8% and 2.38% of total investment assets, respectively [2][3]. - The allocation to public funds has significantly increased, with a balance of 1.38 trillion yuan, representing 4.2% of total investment assets, an increase of 0.45 trillion yuan compared to the end of the first quarter [3]. Challenges in Fixed-Income Asset Returns - The average annualized return of wealth management products has declined to 2.12% in the first half of the year, down from 2.65% in 2024, indicating a 0.53 percentage point decrease. The difficulty in obtaining returns from fixed-income assets has increased, with a notable differentiation between allocation and trading strategies [4][5]. - Credit bonds continue to dominate the allocation, comprising 90% of bond investments, with a total holding of 12.79 trillion yuan, which is 38.79% of total investment assets [4]. Market Trends and Future Outlook - The total scale of the banking wealth management market reached 30.67 trillion yuan by the end of June, reflecting a 2.4% increase from the beginning of the year and a 7.54% year-on-year growth. However, the growth rate may slow down in the medium to long term due to declining returns on wealth management products [5][6]. - The pressure on the expansion of wealth management product scales is expected to increase as the advantages of returns, particularly for cash management products, diminish compared to deposits [6].
低利率周期银行理财配置变局
● 本报记者 李静 在利率持续走低的背景下,银行理财正悄然调整资产配置策略。 银行业理财登记托管中心近日发布的《中国银行业理财市场半年报告(2025年上)》显示,上半年,理 财产品减配债券及权益类资产,转而增持公募基金、现金及银行存款、非标准化债权类资产。 业内人士表示,今年固收资产挖掘收益难度加大,随着底层资产收益率持续下行,上半年理财产品平均 年化收益率已跌至2.12%,未来直投获取较高收益率的难度将持续增大,理财公司与基金业的合作有望 加强。 减配债券和权益类资产 从资产配置结构来看,截至6月末,理财产品资产配置仍以固收类资产为主,同时理财产品在增配公募 基金、现金及银行存款、非标准化债权类资产及金融衍生品的同时,减少了对债券和权益类资产的配置 比例。 国盛证券首席宏观固收分析师杨业伟认为,随着底层资产债券收益率的下降,以及此前配置的相对高收 益率资产陆续到期,预计未来理财产品收益率将进一步下降。同时,高票息品种供给越来越少,理财公 司可能更加依靠利率债交易和委托公募基金投资来获取高收益率。 中金公司发布的研报也表达了类似观点:"随着银行理财与信托合作走向规范化以及低票息状况持续, 具体来看,截至6月末 ...