Core Viewpoint - The heavy truck industry showed slight growth in production, wholesale, and export in May, exceeding initial expectations [2][15][28] Volume Tracking - In May, heavy truck production reached 84,000 units, with year-on-year and month-on-month growth of 18.8% and 6.8% respectively [2][15] - Wholesale sales for May were 89,000 units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 13.6% and a month-on-month increase of 1.3% [2][15] - Terminal sales totaled 63,000 units, with a year-on-year increase of 17.6% but a month-on-month decrease of 8.2% [2][15] - Export sales were 26,500 units, showing a year-on-year decline of 6.4% but a month-on-month increase of 3.5% [2][15] - The total industry inventory is currently at 144,000 units, which is considered a reasonable level [2][15] Structural Tracking - New energy heavy trucks saw significant growth, with sales of 15,000 units in May, representing a year-on-year increase of 192% [2][15] - The penetration rate for new energy trucks reached 23.8%, up 14.2% year-on-year [2][15] - Natural gas heavy truck sales were 14,000 units, down 33.6% year-on-year, with a penetration rate of 22.1% [2][15] Market Share Tracking - In May, the market share for major manufacturers in terminal sales was as follows: Jiefang 19.8%, Dongfeng 21.9%, Heavy Truck 16.5%, Shaanxi Heavy Truck 11.2%, and Foton 12.9% [3][14] - For exports, the market shares were: Jiefang 15.1%, Dongfeng 7.6%, Heavy Truck 47.9%, Shaanxi Heavy Truck 16.1%, and Foton 9.0% [3][14] Engine Market Tracking - Weichai maintained the highest market share at 18.4%, despite a decline from previous months [4][18] - In May, Weichai's terminal matching volume was 12,000 units, down 33.4% year-on-year [4][18] - The market share for Weichai's diesel and natural gas engines was 13.7% and 49.8% respectively [4][18] Investment Recommendations - The company is optimistic about the heavy truck sector's recovery driven by the National IV policy, projecting domestic sales to reach 700,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 16% [5][18] - Recommended stocks include leading heavy truck manufacturers with high market share and good profit realization, specifically China National Heavy Duty Truck Group and Weichai Power [5][18]