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国债等债券利息收入增值税政策调整
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【广发宏观钟林楠】对国债等债券利息收入恢复征收增值税的理解
郭磊宏观茶座· 2025-08-02 03:40
Group 1 - The core point of the article is the adjustment of the value-added tax (VAT) policy on interest income from government bonds, which will be implemented starting August 8, 2025, affecting new issuances of national, local government, and financial bonds [1][2] - The VAT rate for financial institutions' proprietary trading will be 6%, while for public funds and other broad fund products, it will be 3% [1][2] - Existing bonds issued before August 8, 2025, will continue to enjoy the existing tax exemption until maturity, creating a distinction between old and new bonds [2] Group 2 - The adjustment aims to implement a tax system conducive to high-quality development, social equity, and market unification, as outlined in the Central Committee's decisions [3] - It seeks to improve the price formation mechanism in the bond market and enhance the benchmark interest rate role of government bonds [4][5] - The adjustment also aims to expand the tax base to maintain fiscal balance and support the real economy, especially given the negative growth rates in tax revenue in early 2024 [6] Group 3 - The impact on the financial market includes a potential widening of the yield spread between existing bonds (old bonds) and new bonds due to the tax advantages of old bonds [7] - The credit spread may slightly decrease as the tax premium on interest income from government bonds is eliminated, aligning it with that of credit bonds [7] - The attractiveness of bonds may diminish for financial institutions, leading to a relative increase in the appeal of equities and loans, although the overall impact is expected to be limited due to bonds' inherent advantages [8] Group 4 - Future attention should be given to the central bank's policy direction, particularly regarding liquidity provision in response to the decreased attractiveness of new bond issuances [9] - The potential for further changes in tax incentives for bond investments, especially concerning capital gains tax exemptions for public funds, should also be monitored [9]