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俄经济突变?财政部拟大规模抛售人民币与黄金
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-06 09:08
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses Russia's financial struggles, particularly the depletion of its National Welfare Fund (NWF), which is being used to cover increasing military and operational costs due to the ongoing conflict in Ukraine and sanctions from Western nations. The reliance on selling off assets like gold and yuan indicates a dire economic situation for Russia, raising concerns about its financial stability and future. Group 1: Financial Situation - Russia is withdrawing from its National Welfare Fund at a rate of 56 billion rubles per day, indicating severe financial distress [6] - The NWF, originally a reserve for economic emergencies, is now being depleted due to a lack of conventional financial solutions [11] - The fund's composition has shifted significantly, with approximately 60% in yuan and 40% in gold, as Western sanctions have frozen around $300 billion of Russia's foreign reserves [12] Group 2: Economic Challenges - The G7 has imposed a price cap of $60 per barrel on Russian oil, severely limiting revenue from oil exports [15] - Russia's oil is being sold at a discount of $20 to $30 per barrel compared to Brent crude, leading to a significant drop in fiscal income [16][18] - The ongoing military operations in Ukraine are estimated to cost Russia billions daily, further straining its finances [20][22] Group 3: Strategic Implications - The sale of yuan and gold is a strategic move to inject liquidity into the economy while managing inflation risks [26] - The actions taken by the Central Bank of Russia, led by Elvira Nabiullina, reflect a delicate balancing act to stabilize the economy amidst crisis [28] - The increased reliance on the yuan for trade and reserves highlights its growing importance and acceptance as a credible currency in international markets [30][32]