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【老铺黄金(6181.HK)】做深做精、铸就典范,古法金赛道引领者——投资价值分析报告(姜浩/朱洁宇/吴子倩)
光大证券研究· 2025-12-10 23:03
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the growth and market positioning of Laopu Gold as a leader in the ancient gold concept in China, highlighting its high-end positioning and significant revenue growth driven by rising gold prices and changing consumer preferences towards luxury and collectible gold products [4][5]. Group 1: Company Performance - Laopu Gold achieved a revenue of 8.506 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 167.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.473 billion yuan, up 253.9% [4]. - For the first half of 2025, the company expects revenue and net profit to grow by 251.0% and 285.8% year-on-year, respectively [4]. Group 2: Market Trends - The market size for gold products in China reached 568.8 billion yuan in 2024, with the ancient gold segment's market share increasing from 4% in 2018 to 30% in 2023, projected to reach 52% by 2028 [5]. - The consumption of gold is evolving beyond traditional occasions, becoming a fashionable item for younger consumers, with various designs carrying emotional significance [5]. Group 3: Competitive Advantage - Laopu Gold differentiates itself in the high-end ancient gold market, achieving a consumer overlap rate of 77.3% with luxury brands like LV and Cartier, and has approximately 480,000 members [6]. - The company boasts superior craftsmanship in ancient gold, leading to higher product premiums and profitability, with gross and net profit margins of 38.1% and 18.4% in the first half of 2025 [6]. Group 4: Product and Design Strategy - Laopu Gold's product design incorporates elements from both Eastern and Western cultures, appealing to the trend of modern Chinese aesthetics and making gold a staple in daily fashion [8]. - The company focuses on high-end retail locations with exquisite store displays, achieving significant same-store revenue growth in 2023, 2024, and the first half of 2025 [8]. - Online sales strategies include offering lower-priced, lightweight products to attract younger consumers, which also support offline growth [8].
光大证券:首次覆盖老铺黄金予“买入”评级 目标价804.64港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-10 07:34
差异化入局古法金,设计工艺具领先性 光大证券发布研报称,老铺黄金(06181)为中国古法金概念开创者与引领者,其定位高端,并长期深 耕。2023年以来金价加速上涨,消费者对黄金的投资保值需求增加,而古法金蕴含内敛具备收藏价值, 景气度持续提升,相对应的老铺业绩不断创历史新高。综合相对和绝对估值法,给予公司目标价804.64 港元,2025~2027年目标PE为27/20/15倍,首次覆盖给予"买入"评级。 光大证券主要观点如下: 古法金持续景气,金饰消费年轻化 随着金价快速上涨,黄金首饰整体消费量疲弱,而细分赛道如古法金、国潮等概念机会涌现,实现逆势 增长。2024年中国黄金(600916)产品市场规模为5688亿元,其中,古法金规模占比由2018年的4%提 升至2023年的30%,2023年规模为1573亿,预计到2028年占比将达到52%,规模将达到4214亿元。黄金 消费不再局限于婚庆、亲子、生日等传统场景,而成为消费者穿搭的时尚单品,黄金消费正在走向年轻 化,且不同的黄金产品设计亦承载各类寓意,成为消费者的一种情感载体。 2024年公司实现收入85.06亿元,同比增长167.5%,实现归母净利润14. ...