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中国油价就是个笑话?其实是你没想明白,国内油价锚定的到底是啥
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-08 09:13
大家伙儿老爱吐槽国内油价,说它涨得快跌得慢,简直像个笑话。国际油价一掉,它就装没看见,涨价时候倒追得紧。 可仔细想想,这事儿真没那么简单。很多人没搞懂国内油价到底锚定啥,以为就是随心所欲。实际上,这套机制有来头,牵扯国际市场、国家调控和民生平 衡。 油价这事儿,很多人觉得国内油价不跟国际同步,涨多跌少。其实,国内成品油价格形成机制从2009年就开始逐步完善,核心就是锚定国际原油价格。 不是随便定的,而是挂靠三种国际原油基准:北海布伦特原油、阿联酋迪拜原油和印尼米纳斯原油。这三种油价的平均变化,直接决定国内汽柴油零售价的 调整。 为什么选这三种?因为中国进口原油来源多样,布伦特代表欧洲市场,迪拜是中东的,米纳斯偏亚洲,能覆盖全球主要供需。 国家发改委每天监测这些油价的移动平均值,每10个工作日作为一个调价周期。周期内,如果国际原油均价变化导致国内成品油价变动超过每吨50元,就调 整;不到50元,就累加到下个周期,不动。 调价生效在发布日24时,汽柴油分开算,标准品为基础。2013年3月,这套机制进一步完善,把原先22个工作日的周期缩短到10个,取消了4%的幅度限制, 让调整更灵敏。 那时候正好徐绍史刚上任发改委 ...
3700多点并不高!林园:4500点是真正的牛市启动点!放眼未来 当下A股仍是“地板价”
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-08-21 06:32
Group 1 - The Shanghai Composite Index is reaching new highs and is approaching the 3800-point mark, raising questions about the sustainability of the current market trend [1] - Lin Yuan, a prominent investor, emphasizes the importance of selecting high-certainty stocks within one's understanding and holding them long-term to withstand market fluctuations [1] - Lin Yuan's investment philosophy is centered around the idea that "money sleeps," advocating for a consistent strategy without frequent changes [1] Group 2 - Lin Yuan believes that the true bull market will only start at the 4500-point level, and the current market is moving in that direction with an accelerating trend [1] - He notes that many investors are still at a loss, indicating that the market is still at a low point in terms of individual stock numbers and total market capitalization [1] - Lin Yuan asserts that the current market position can be considered a "floor price," although he acknowledges that his predictions may not be 100% accurate [1]