Core Insights - The report emphasizes the potential for investment opportunities in commodities driven by geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, which may lead to rising prices for oil and precious metals in 2026 [2][5][6] - The A-share market is expected to experience short-term volatility due to geopolitical factors, but will likely refocus on domestic fundamentals and policy expectations in the medium term [3][15] - The report highlights a significant investment in AI applications by major domestic internet companies, indicating a competitive landscape focused on user habit formation and commercial viability [9][12] Market Overview - The report lists a "March Gold Stock Portfolio" featuring companies such as Poly Real Estate Group, CITIC Hanzhong, and Mindray Medical, indicating a focus on sectors like real estate, transportation, and healthcare [1][7] - The A-share market indices showed mixed performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 4162.88, up 0.39%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.06% [1] - The report notes that the steel industry performed well, with a 3.37% increase, while sectors like construction materials and telecommunications saw declines [1] Commodity Insights - The report anticipates that geopolitical events will significantly impact oil and certain petrochemical product prices, with a focus on the implications of the closure of the Strait of Hormuz [5][29] - It is projected that Brent crude oil prices could exceed $80 per barrel due to potential supply disruptions from Iran, with historical comparisons to the 2022 Ukraine conflict [5][29] - The chemical industry is advised to focus on low-valuation leading companies and sectors benefiting from price increases under the "anti-involution" policy [28][33] AI Industry Developments - Major domestic internet companies invested over 4.5 billion yuan in promoting AI applications during the Spring Festival, marking a shift towards practical applications and user engagement [9][12] - The report highlights the rapid evolution of domestic AI models, with significant advancements in performance and market application, indicating a dual development path towards general models and vertical industry applications [10][12] - Concerns about AI replacing human jobs are noted, but the report emphasizes that current AI capabilities are more about enhancement rather than replacement [11][12] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies in the AI sector and those involved in the development of general models and industry-specific AI agents, such as MINIMAX-WP and iFLYTEK [13][12] - It also recommends monitoring traditional chemical leaders that are adapting to new materials and benefiting from improving industry conditions [33]

计算机 | 证券研究报告 — 行业点评 2026 年 3 月 1 日 AI 应用持续落地 计算机行业事件点评 国内互联网大厂于春节期间投入超 45 亿元推广 AI 应用，标志着 AI 竞争已进入应用 生态争夺与用户习惯培养阶段。国内大模型在性能与市场应用端也不断加速追赶。尽 管市场对 AI 取代人类产生阶段性担忧，但行业转向理性务实，更关注商业化落地。 我们认为，未来行业有望向"通用大模型"与"垂直行业应用"双线发展。 支撑评级的要点 投资建议 建议关注大模型及细分行业 AI Agent 领域企业，包括智谱、MINIMAX-WP、科 大讯飞、拓尔思、汉得信息、中控技术、宝信软件、索辰科技、万兴科技、金山 办公、合合信息、用友网络、道通科技、石基信息、税友股份、安恒信息等。 评级面临的主要风险 产业推进不及预期，技术研发进展不及预期，国际合作难以推进。 证券分析师：杨思睿 (8610)66229321 sirui.yang@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300518090001 证券分析师：郑静文 jingwen.zheng@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1 ...