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2025年全国GDP50强城市预测:30城超万亿,厦门第32,宜昌抢眼
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-07 12:39
2025年中国城市经济格局将迎来显著变迁,基于最新预测数据,全国GDP前50强城市榜单已浮出水面。在这份榜单中,一个引人注目的现象是"万亿俱乐 部"快速扩容——30座城市GDP将突破万亿元大关,标志着区域经济集中度进一步提升。同时,厦门作为东南沿海经济重镇,以GDP预测9182.34亿元稳居第 32位,而宜昌则以6.91%的增速成为中西部地区唯一上榜的非省会、非资源型普通地级市,这一亮点尤为耀眼,凸显了地方经济新势力的崛起。相比之下, 传统强市如洛阳、襄阳意外落选,反映了城市竞争力分化加剧的趋势。 整体来看,这50强城市预测GDP总额超过50万亿元,占全国经济比重进一步攀升。其中,"30城超万亿"成为核心标签,上海以57,073.36亿元蝉联榜首,北京 紧随其后,深圳、广州、重庆等一线城市均稳居前十。这些头部城市不仅是经济引擎,更是创新驱动高地,上海、深圳增速均超5.8%,体现了科技与开放 政策的持续红利。万亿级城市群从东部沿海向中西部延伸,成都、武汉、郑州等内陆省会表现强劲,增速普遍在5%以上,预示着区域平衡战略初见成效。 在前十名阵营中,竞争格局稳固但暗流涌动。上海GDP增量高达3146.65亿元,增速5 ...
56%暴跌后,土地市场变天:重点城市吃肉,非重点城市喝汤?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-29 00:14
Core Insights - The national land sales revenue for the first four months of 2025 reached 934 billion, a 56% decrease compared to the same period in 2021 [1] - Major cities like Beijing and Hangzhou are experiencing a reversal in trends, with Hangzhou's land sales increasing by 40% to 59.6 billion in Q1 2025, and Chengdu seeing a staggering 543% increase [3][4] - The strategy of "hunger marketing" is being adopted by local governments, focusing on selling fewer but higher-quality land parcels, leading to increased revenue despite reduced supply [3][4] Land Market Dynamics - Developers are now prioritizing core cities, with high demand for premium land in areas with good schools and transportation, as seen in Beijing's Haidian district where land prices reached 78,400 per square meter [4] - Non-core areas are becoming less attractive, with frequent land auctions resulting in unsold parcels, indicating a shift in developer focus [4][5] Housing Market Trends - The introduction of the 2025 Residential Project Standards will phase out high-rise buildings, making low-density housing the new norm, further concentrating demand in core urban areas [5] - The new housing market is experiencing a stark divide, with new homes either offering exceptional quality or extreme cost-effectiveness, while the second-hand market struggles with declining values [6][7] Implications for Homeowners - Homeowners in non-core cities face significant challenges, with many forced to sell at steep discounts, reflecting a broader trend of population outflow and economic stagnation [7][8] - The market is pushing ordinary buyers towards core cities, emphasizing the importance of location and quality in property investment decisions [9][10] Conclusion - The land market's transformation reflects a broader competition among cities, where the quality of urban offerings is becoming paramount, and developers must adapt to this new reality to remain viable [10]