Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 31.79 CNY based on a PE ratio of 17X for comparable companies in 2025 [5][2]. Core Insights - The company's copper and gold business is expected to continue experiencing growth in both volume and price, which is anticipated to drive performance upward. The company achieved a net profit of 23.29 billion CNY in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 54.41% [9]. - The company is actively pursuing resource exploration and acquisition strategies to enhance its resource base, with significant increases in copper, gold, and lithium resources reported [9]. - The planned spin-off of the overseas gold segment is expected to facilitate further expansion in the gold business and potentially lead to a revaluation of the company's overall value [9]. Financial Forecasts - The company forecasts revenue growth from 293.4 billion CNY in 2023 to 461.9 billion CNY in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 7.6% [3]. - Net profit is projected to increase from 21.12 billion CNY in 2023 to 74.19 billion CNY in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of about 18.8% [3]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to rise from 0.79 CNY in 2023 to 2.79 CNY in 2027, indicating strong growth potential [3]. Key Financial Metrics - The gross margin is expected to improve from 15.8% in 2023 to 27.8% in 2027, while the net margin is projected to increase from 7.2% to 16.1% over the same period [3]. - The return on equity (ROE) is anticipated to reach 31.6% in 2025, reflecting the company's effective use of equity capital [3]. - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is expected to decrease from 30.7 in 2023 to 8.7 in 2027, indicating a potentially attractive valuation as earnings grow [3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [3][5][35] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 167.71 billion yuan for the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 11.50%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 23.29 billion yuan, up 54.41% year-on-year. The second quarter saw a revenue of 88.78 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.38% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12.49% [1][9] - The company plans to implement a mid-term dividend, distributing 2.2 yuan per 10 shares, totaling approximately 5.847 billion yuan, which accounts for 25.10% of the net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of the year [2][25] - The strategic move to spin off the overseas gold segment into Zijin Gold International is expected to enhance the company's valuation and facilitate rapid expansion of its overseas gold business [2][30] Financial Performance - The company achieved a net cash flow from operating activities of 28.83 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 41.00% [9] - The core mineral product output for the first half of the year included gold production of 41.19 tons, a year-on-year increase of 16.3%, and copper production of 566,900 tons, a year-on-year increase of 9.3% [1][13] - The unit operating cost for gold was 261.97 yuan per gram, up 15.41% year-on-year, while the unit cost for copper was 24,256 yuan per ton, up 8.21% year-on-year [2][16] Earnings Forecast - The company has adjusted its earnings forecast for 2025-2027, expecting revenues of 365.1 billion, 381.7 billion, and 400.5 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 20.2%, 4.5%, and 4.9% respectively. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 46.06 billion, 52.66 billion, and 58.48 billion yuan, with growth rates of 43.7%, 14.3%, and 11.1% respectively [3][35]