境外黄金板块分拆上市

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紫金矿业(601899):半年报点评:金矿量价齐增推升业绩,黄金分拆上市有望带来估值重估
Guoxin Securities· 2025-08-27 13:35
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [3][5][35] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 167.71 billion yuan for the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 11.50%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 23.29 billion yuan, up 54.41% year-on-year. The second quarter saw a revenue of 88.78 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.38% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12.49% [1][9] - The company plans to implement a mid-term dividend, distributing 2.2 yuan per 10 shares, totaling approximately 5.847 billion yuan, which accounts for 25.10% of the net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of the year [2][25] - The strategic move to spin off the overseas gold segment into Zijin Gold International is expected to enhance the company's valuation and facilitate rapid expansion of its overseas gold business [2][30] Financial Performance - The company achieved a net cash flow from operating activities of 28.83 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 41.00% [9] - The core mineral product output for the first half of the year included gold production of 41.19 tons, a year-on-year increase of 16.3%, and copper production of 566,900 tons, a year-on-year increase of 9.3% [1][13] - The unit operating cost for gold was 261.97 yuan per gram, up 15.41% year-on-year, while the unit cost for copper was 24,256 yuan per ton, up 8.21% year-on-year [2][16] Earnings Forecast - The company has adjusted its earnings forecast for 2025-2027, expecting revenues of 365.1 billion, 381.7 billion, and 400.5 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 20.2%, 4.5%, and 4.9% respectively. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 46.06 billion, 52.66 billion, and 58.48 billion yuan, with growth rates of 43.7%, 14.3%, and 11.1% respectively [3][35]