Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8] Core Views - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.053 billion yuan in Q2 2025, representing a quarter-on-quarter increase of 40.91%. The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 1.058 billion yuan, also up 41.12% quarter-on-quarter. The interim dividend was approximately 1.569 billion yuan, accounting for 87% of the net profit for the first half of 2025 [2][4] Summary by Sections Copper Segment - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a copper production of 92,800 tons and sales of 92,700 tons, generating revenue of 7.562 billion yuan and a net profit of 4.166 billion yuan. The company’s investment income from its 30.78% stake in Giant Dragon Copper was 1.264 billion yuan, contributing 70.22% to the net profit attributable to shareholders, with a year-on-year increase of 4.09 billion yuan, or 47.82% [5] Lithium Segment - The company produced 5,170 tons of lithium carbonate in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 11%, with sales of 4,470 tons, down 41% year-on-year. The average selling price (including tax) was 67,470 yuan per ton, while the average sales cost was 41,478 yuan per ton. The revenue from lithium carbonate was 267 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 57.90%, with a gross margin of 30.53%, down 19.75 percentage points year-on-year [5] Potassium Segment - The company produced 485,200 tons of potassium chloride in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 7%, with sales of 535,900 tons, down 1% year-on-year. The average selling price (including tax) was 2,845 yuan per ton, an increase of 25.57% year-on-year. The average sales cost was 996 yuan per ton, a decrease of 7.36% year-on-year. Consequently, the revenue from potassium chloride was 1.399 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.60%, with a gross margin of 61.84%, up 13.56 percentage points year-on-year [6] Future Outlook - Looking ahead, the development potential of the three major business segments—copper, lithium, and potassium—remains promising. The second phase of the Giant Dragon project is expected to commence production by the end of 2025, with projected copper production reaching 92,000 to 108,000 tons. The long-term plan for the Giant Dragon project aims for a capacity of 600,000 tons, significantly enhancing profitability. Additionally, the accelerated development of the Tibet salt lake project is anticipated to inject potential lithium resources into the company’s future growth [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 31.79 CNY based on a PE ratio of 17X for comparable companies in 2025 [5][2]. Core Insights - The company's copper and gold business is expected to continue experiencing growth in both volume and price, which is anticipated to drive performance upward. The company achieved a net profit of 23.29 billion CNY in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 54.41% [9]. - The company is actively pursuing resource exploration and acquisition strategies to enhance its resource base, with significant increases in copper, gold, and lithium resources reported [9]. - The planned spin-off of the overseas gold segment is expected to facilitate further expansion in the gold business and potentially lead to a revaluation of the company's overall value [9]. Financial Forecasts - The company forecasts revenue growth from 293.4 billion CNY in 2023 to 461.9 billion CNY in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 7.6% [3]. - Net profit is projected to increase from 21.12 billion CNY in 2023 to 74.19 billion CNY in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of about 18.8% [3]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to rise from 0.79 CNY in 2023 to 2.79 CNY in 2027, indicating strong growth potential [3]. Key Financial Metrics - The gross margin is expected to improve from 15.8% in 2023 to 27.8% in 2027, while the net margin is projected to increase from 7.2% to 16.1% over the same period [3]. - The return on equity (ROE) is anticipated to reach 31.6% in 2025, reflecting the company's effective use of equity capital [3]. - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is expected to decrease from 30.7 in 2023 to 8.7 in 2027, indicating a potentially attractive valuation as earnings grow [3].

Core Viewpoint - Gold prices have surged, with COMEX gold futures surpassing $3600, reflecting a year-to-date increase of over 30% [2] - Zijin Mining, a major player in the gold sector, has seen its stock rise by 61.44% year-to-date as of September 2 [3] Financial Performance - Zijin Mining reported a revenue of 167.7 billion yuan and a net profit of 23.3 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing year-on-year growth of 11.5% and 54.4% respectively [5] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 2.2 yuan per 10 shares, totaling approximately 5.847 billion yuan, which accounts for 25.1% of its net profit for the first half of the year [5] - Gold revenue is approaching that of copper, with gold sales reaching 2.645 billion yuan, nearly matching copper sales of 2.726 billion yuan [5] Operational Highlights - Zijin Mining's overall gross margin for mineral products increased by 3 percentage points to 60.23% [6] - The company produced 570,000 tons of copper, a year-on-year increase of over 9%, and 41 tons of gold, a 16% increase [6] - The contribution of gold to the company's gross profit rose from 30% in 2024 to 38.6% in 2025, nearly equal to copper's contribution of 38.5% [6] Market Position and Institutional Interest - Zijin Mining ranked first among global gold companies and fourth among global metal mining companies in the 2025 Forbes Global List [4] - As of June 30, 2025, Zijin Mining (A-shares) was held by 1,233 funds, while its H-shares were held by 117 funds [11] - Institutional interest remains strong, with significant increases in holdings from various funds, indicating a preference for Zijin Mining among active fund managers [8][12] Fund Manager Activities - Notable fund managers, such as Deng Xiaofeng and Zhou Weiwen, have significantly increased their positions in Zijin Mining, reflecting confidence in the company's prospects [13][19] - Deng Xiaofeng's funds increased their holdings by 9 million shares, while Zhou Weiwen's funds have consistently added to their positions over multiple quarters [13][22] - Wu Guoqing has maintained a long-term position in Zijin Mining, emphasizing its importance in his portfolio [50][56]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expectation that the stock will outperform the market index by more than 15% in the next six months [6]. Core Insights - The company, Zijin Mining (601899.SH), reported a significant increase in both revenue and profit for the first half of 2025, with total revenue reaching 167.71 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 11.50%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 23.29 billion yuan, up 54.41% year-on-year [2][4]. - The company's operational performance in Q2 2025 showed a revenue of 88.78 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 17.38% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12.49%. The net profit for the same quarter was 13.13 billion yuan, up 48.75% year-on-year [4]. - Zijin Mining's production of key minerals increased, with copper production at 570,000 tons (up 9% year-on-year), gold at 41 tons (up 16%), and silver at 224 tons (up 6%) [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved a gross margin of 23.75%, an increase of 4.6 percentage points year-on-year, and a net margin of 17.08%, up 4.8 percentage points year-on-year [4]. - The overall gross margin for mineral products increased by 3 percentage points to 60.23% due to rising production and price optimization [4]. Resource Development - The company has strengthened its resource base through exploration and acquisitions, adding 2.049 million tons of copper resources and 888 tons of gold resources in the first half of 2025 [4]. - Significant exploration results were reported, including the discovery of 1.33 million tons of copper and 90,000 tons of molybdenum in Fujian, marking the largest discovery in the region in 20 years [4]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to continue its growth momentum, with projected earnings per share of 1.70 yuan and 1.98 yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 13.60 and 11.64 times based on the closing price on August 29 [5].

Core Viewpoint - Zijin Mining has achieved record-breaking operating performance in the first half of 2025, with significant increases in both revenue and net profit, driven by rising product prices and sales volume [1][2][4]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Zijin Mining reported revenue of 167.71 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.50%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 23.29 billion yuan, up over 50% [1][2][4]. - This marks the first time in the company's history that net profit exceeded 20 billion yuan in the first half of the year [2]. - The company's operating cash flow net amount reached 28.83 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of approximately 41% [2]. - The asset-liability ratio stood at 56.36% as of June 30, 2025 [2][9]. Sales and Production - Sales prices for gold, silver, copper, and zinc all saw year-on-year increases, with gold and silver prices rising over 20% [2][6]. - The production volumes for copper, gold, zinc, and silver were 570,000 tons, 410 tons, 200,000 tons, and 2,230 tons respectively, with significant increases in copper and gold production [7]. Asset Growth and Dividends - As of June 30, 2025, the total assets of Zijin Mining reached 439.74 billion yuan, an increase of 70.87 billion yuan from the previous year [2][9]. - The company plans to distribute cash dividends of 5.847 billion yuan, which is 2.2 times the amount distributed in the same period last year [2][9]. Market Performance - Zijin Mining's stock price has surged over 50% year-to-date, reflecting strong investor interest [3][10]. - The company's market capitalization has increased by 211.5 billion yuan this year, reaching 613.4 billion yuan [10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Zijin Mining [7] Core Views - Zijin Mining's revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 167.7 billion, a year-on-year increase of 11.5%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 23.3 billion, up 54.4% year-on-year [1] - The company is positioned as a global leader in copper and gold production, with significant growth in both output and profitability [5] Summary by Sections Copper Production - In H1 2025, copper production was 570,000 tons, ranking fourth globally, with a year-on-year growth of 9% [2] - The revenue from copper reached 27.3 billion, a 12.7% increase year-on-year, with a gross profit of 16.6 billion, representing a gross margin of 41.7% [2] Gold Production - Gold production in H1 2025 was 41 tons, ranking fifth globally, with a year-on-year increase of 16.3% [3] - The revenue from gold was 26.5 billion, a significant increase of 62.2% year-on-year, with a gross profit of 16.4 billion, yielding a gross margin of 41.3% [3] Exploration and Mergers - The company has made substantial progress in self-exploration, with notable discoveries in Serbia, Australia, and other regions [4] - Zijin Mining completed a significant acquisition of control over Cangge Mining, enhancing its resource portfolio and strategic positioning in the market [4] Future Guidance - The company projects copper and gold production targets of 1.15 million tons and 85 tons respectively for 2025, with long-term plans to reach 1.5-1.6 million tons of copper and 100-110 tons of gold by 2028 [5] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are estimated at 364.4 billion, 400.8 billion, and 440.9 billion respectively, with net profits expected to be 45.9 billion, 53.1 billion, and 57.3 billion [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, with a target price of 15.27 CNY [7]. Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and profit for the first half of 2025, with revenue reaching 35.067 billion CNY, a year-on-year growth of 22.90%, and net profit attributable to shareholders at 2.695 billion CNY, up 54.64% [3]. - The increase in gold prices has positively impacted the company's profitability, with an average gold price of 3,077 USD/ounce in the first half of 2025, representing a 39.8% increase year-on-year [4]. - The company is expected to benefit from the upcoming production of the Sayling Gold Mine, which is anticipated to significantly boost gold production capacity [5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved gold production and sales of 9.13 tons and 8.87 tons, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 2.35% and 5.97% [4]. - The company’s copper production and sales decreased by 8.63% and 7.62%, respectively, with current copper inventory at approximately 0.11 million tons [4]. - The gross profit margin for H1 2025 was 18.63%, an increase of 2.10 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 9.66%, up 2.19 percentage points [4]. Production and Projects - The company plans to achieve gold production of 18.17 tons and smelting gold production of 35.30 tons in 2025, along with copper production targets of 7.94 million tons and 39.62 million tons for mined and electrolytic copper, respectively [4]. - The company is progressing well with key projects, including the Sayling Gold Mine, which is expected to significantly enhance gold production capacity once operational [5]. Future Outlook - The report forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 5.758 billion CNY, 7.281 billion CNY, and 8.936 billion CNY, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 13, 10, and 8 [5][6]. - The company is actively pursuing a "resource lifeline" strategy, which is expected to further enhance its production capabilities and profitability in the coming years [5].

Group 1 - The company reported a significant increase in net profit for H1 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 54.41%, reaching approximately 23.29 billion yuan [1] - The company's revenue for H1 2025 was 167.71 billion yuan, reflecting an 11.5% increase compared to the previous year [1] - The company has raised its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 46.45 billion yuan, 51.33 billion yuan, and 57.12 billion yuan respectively [1] Group 2 - In H1 2025, the company saw a 9% increase in copper production to 567,000 tons and a 16% increase in gold production to 41.2 tons [2] - The average selling price of copper increased by 6.21% and gold by 42.51% in H1 2025 [2] - The sales costs for copper and gold rose by 8.85% and 37.34% respectively in Q2 2025, primarily due to declining ore grades and increased operational distances [2] Group 3 - The company signed an agreement to acquire 100% equity of the Raygorodok gold mine in Kazakhstan, enhancing its resource base in Central Asia [3] - The RG gold mine has a resource estimate of 241 million tons with an average gold grade of 1.01 grams per ton, totaling 242.1 tons of gold [3] - This acquisition is expected to strengthen the company's regional control by linking it with existing mines in Central Asia [3]

有色金属/工业金属 紫金矿业（601899.SH） 金铜齐驱，有色龙头再创佳绩 2025 年 08 月 29 日 投资评级：买入（维持） | 日期 | 2025/8/28 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 22.52 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 23.30/13.94 | | 总市值(亿元) | 5,985.27 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 4,636.40 | | 总股本(亿股) | 265.78 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 205.88 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 48.81 | 股价走势图 数据来源：聚源 -16% 0% 16% 32% 48% 2024-08 2024-12 2025-04 紫金矿业 沪深300 相关研究报告 《受益于铜金量价齐升，单季归母净 利创新高 —公司信息更新报告》 -2025.4.15 《三季度业绩表现稳健，并购优质项 目培厚资源储备—公司信息更新报 告》-2024.10.21 孙二春（分析师） 冯伟珉（联系人） sunerchun@kysec.cn fengweimin@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790525060001 证书编 ...

Core Viewpoint - Zijin Mining's stock price increased by over 5% during trading, reflecting positive market sentiment following the release of its interim results for the six months ending June 30, 2025, which showed significant revenue and profit growth [2] Financial Performance - The company reported operating revenue of RMB 167.71 billion, a year-on-year increase of 11.5% [2] - Net profit attributable to shareholders reached RMB 23.29 billion, marking a 54.41% increase compared to the previous year [2] - Basic earnings per share were RMB 0.877, with a proposed cash dividend of RMB 2.2 per 10 shares (tax included) [2] Production Metrics - The production of copper reached 570,000 tons, up 9% year-on-year [2] - Gold production was 41 tons, reflecting a 16% increase [2] - Silver production totaled 224 tons, a 6% increase [2] - Zinc (lead) production was 200,000 tons, and lithium carbonate equivalent production was 7,315 tons [2] Profitability and Cost Management - The overall gross profit margin for mineral products increased by 3 percentage points to 60.23% year-on-year, attributed to rising prices and cost optimization [2] - HSBC Global Research noted that the company expects annual cost increases for copper and gold to be controlled between 5% and 8% [2] - The management believes there is potential for cost reductions in the Akyem gold mine in Ghana and the Zijin Gold project in Xinjiang [2] Future Outlook - HSBC maintains a positive outlook on Zijin Mining, anticipating stable production and profit growth [2] - The gold business's gross profit contribution is expected to increase with rising sales and potential price surges due to interest rate cuts [2]