Core Viewpoint - The report from Citi indicates an accelerated trend of original research drugs moving from "in-hospital" to "out-of-hospital" markets, leading to an upward revision of Alibaba Health's (00241) adjusted net profit forecasts for fiscal years 2026 and 2027 by 8% and 12% respectively, reflecting a more optimistic outlook on drug sales [1] Group 1: Financial Projections - Alibaba Health has raised its revenue growth guidance for fiscal year 2026 to 10% to 20%, up from the previous range of 5% to 10% [1] - The adjusted net profit growth guidance has also been increased to 20% to 30%, compared to the earlier forecast of 10% to 20% [1] - The strong sales performance of original and innovative drugs, particularly GLP-1 medications, has contributed to these positive adjustments [1] Group 2: Market Trends - The robust sales data from Alibaba Health and JD Health (06618) confirms the accelerating and sustainable trend of prescription drug outflow [1] - As original and innovative pharmaceutical companies expand new sales channels, online platforms like Alibaba Health and JD Health emerge as the biggest beneficiaries [1] Group 3: Target Price Adjustment - The target price for Alibaba Health has been raised from HKD 4.8 to HKD 6.5, while maintaining an "outperform" rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - Alibaba Health (00241) shares rose over 5%, currently up 5.14% at HKD 6.14, with a trading volume of HKD 14.52 billion, following a report from Citi that raised revenue and profit growth guidance for FY2026 due to better-than-expected sales of innovative drugs, particularly GLP-1 drugs [1] Revenue Growth Guidance - Alibaba Health has increased its revenue growth guidance for FY2026 to 10% to 20%, up from the previous 5% to 10% [1] - The adjusted net profit growth guidance has also been raised to 20% to 30%, from the earlier 10% to 20% [1] Sales Performance - Strong sales data from Alibaba Health and JD Health confirm the accelerating trend of prescription drug outflow, which is deemed sustainable [1] - The shift of original and innovative drugs from "in-hospital" to "out-of-hospital" markets benefits online platforms like Alibaba Health and JD Health [1] Profit Forecast Adjustments - Citi has adjusted its net profit forecasts for Alibaba Health for FY2026 and FY2027 upwards by 8% and 12% respectively, reflecting a more optimistic outlook on drug sales [1] - The target price for Alibaba Health has been raised from HKD 4.8 to HKD 6.5, maintaining an "outperform" rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - Alibaba Health (00241) shares rose over 5%, reaching HKD 6.14, with a trading volume of HKD 14.52 billion, following an upgrade in revenue and profit growth guidance by Citi [1] Group 1: Financial Guidance - Citi raised Alibaba Health's revenue growth forecast for FY2026 to 10%-20% from the previous 5%-10% [1] - The adjusted net profit growth guidance was also increased to 20%-30% from 10%-20% [1] Group 2: Market Trends - The strong sales performance of original and innovative drugs, particularly GLP-1 medications, exceeded expectations [1] - The trend of prescription drug outflow is accelerating and appears sustainable, with Alibaba Health and JD Health being the primary beneficiaries [1] Group 3: Profit Forecast Adjustments - Based on the accelerated shift of original drugs from "in-hospital" to "out-of-hospital" markets, Citi adjusted Alibaba Health's net profit forecasts for FY2026 and FY2027 upwards by 8% and 12% respectively [1] - The target price for Alibaba Health was raised from HKD 4.8 to HKD 6.5, maintaining an "outperform" rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Citi highlights that Alibaba Health has raised its revenue growth guidance for the fiscal year 2026 to 10%-20% and adjusted net profit growth guidance to 20%-30%, primarily driven by better-than-expected sales performance of innovative drugs, particularly GLP-1 medications [1] Company Summary - Alibaba Health's strong sales data, along with that of JD Health, confirms the acceleration and sustainability of the trend of prescription drug outflow [1] - The online platforms are identified as the biggest beneficiaries for innovative pharmaceutical companies in expanding new sales channels [1] - Citi has revised its adjusted net profit forecasts for Alibaba Health for fiscal years 2026 and 2027 upwards by 8% and 12% respectively [1] - The target price for Alibaba Health has been increased from HKD 4.8 to HKD 6.5, while maintaining an "Outperform" rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - Credit Suisse reports that Alibaba Health has raised its revenue growth guidance for the fiscal year 2026 to 10% to 20% (previously 5% to 10%) and adjusted net profit growth guidance to 20% to 30% (previously 10% to 20%), primarily due to better-than-expected sales performance of original and innovative drugs, particularly GLP-1 drugs [1] Group 1 - Alibaba Health and JD Health's strong sales data confirm the accelerating and sustainable trend of prescription drug outflow [1] - The acceleration of original drug sales from hospitals to external markets has led to an 8% and 12% upward adjustment in Alibaba Health's adjusted net profit forecasts for fiscal years 2026 and 2027, respectively [1] - The target price for Alibaba Health has been raised from HKD 4.8 to HKD 6.5, maintaining an "outperform" rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - The pharmaceutical e-commerce giants, such as Alibaba Health and JD Health, are experiencing significant growth in their performance, contrasting sharply with the struggles faced by offline pharmacies amid a wave of store closures [1][4]. Group 1: Company Performance - Alibaba Health reported a revenue of 30.598 billion yuan for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 13.2%, with a net profit of 1.432 billion yuan, up 62.2% [1]. - JD Health achieved a revenue of 16.645 billion yuan in the first quarter of 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 25.5%, with an operating profit of 1.071 billion yuan, up 119.8% [2]. - Both companies have achieved profitability for three consecutive years, with JD Health also reporting a net profit of 934 million yuan in the first quarter of 2025, a 4.6% increase year-on-year [3][2]. Group 2: Industry Trends - Offline pharmacies are facing challenges, with five out of eight A-share pharmacy companies reporting a decline in net profit for 2024, and half of the companies continuing to see profit declines in the first quarter of 2025 [4]. - The total number of pharmacies in China decreased by 0.5% at the end of 2024 compared to the third quarter, marking the first quarterly decline in recent years, with a net reduction of 3,395 stores in the fourth quarter [4]. - The shift towards online pharmaceutical retail is accelerating, with the drug sales scale in China's retail market reaching 501.9 billion yuan in 2024, a slight increase of 0.8%, while e-commerce drug sales grew by 4.6% [5]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - Pharmaceutical companies are increasingly focusing on e-commerce channels due to changing patient purchasing habits and the rise of online consultations [6]. - JD Health has solidified its position as a leading platform for the online launch of new specialty drugs, introducing several innovative medications in the first quarter of 2025 [7]. - Alibaba Health continues to leverage its platform for the launch of new drugs, collaborating with well-known pharmaceutical companies to enhance its market presence [7].

Core Viewpoint - The performance of online pharmaceutical giants like Alibaba Health and JD Health continues to grow, contrasting sharply with the struggles faced by offline pharmacies in the current market environment [2][4]. Company Performance - Alibaba Health reported a revenue of 30.598 billion yuan for the fiscal year 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 13.2%, with a net profit of 1.432 billion yuan, up 62.2% [2][3]. - JD Health achieved a revenue of 16.645 billion yuan in the first quarter of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 25.5%. The operating profit was 1.071 billion yuan, up 119.8%, and the net profit was 934 million yuan, a 4.6% increase [3]. Industry Trends - Offline pharmacies are experiencing a downturn, with five out of eight listed pharmacy companies reporting a decline in net profit for 2024. In the first quarter of 2025, half of these companies continued to see a drop in net profit [4]. - The total number of pharmacies in China decreased by 0.5% at the end of 2024 compared to the third quarter, marking the first quarterly decline in recent years. In the fourth quarter of 2024, 10,700 new stores opened while 14,100 closed, resulting in a net decrease of 3,395 stores [4]. - The online penetration of pharmaceutical retail is accelerating, with the drug sales scale in China's retail market reaching 501.9 billion yuan in 2024, a slight increase of 0.8%. Online drug sales accounted for 64.5 billion yuan, growing at a rate of 4.6%, surpassing the growth of physical pharmacies [5]. New Product Launches - JD Health has solidified its position as the "first station for online launch of new specialty drugs," introducing several innovative drugs in the first quarter of 2025 [6]. - Alibaba Health continues to leverage its platform for the launch of new drugs, collaborating with well-known pharmaceutical companies to facilitate the introduction of multiple new products [6].