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工业气体-有望筑底回升-电子特气景气持续
2026-02-24 14:16
工业气体:有望筑底回升,电子特气景气持续 20260223 摘要 中国工业气体市场规模预计将达 2000 亿元,受益于宏观经济增长、外 包供气比例提升及新领域需求拓展。行业竞争格局向头部集中,国内前 六大公司市场集中度达 72%,龙头企业如杭氧股份市占率有望提升。 全球半导体销售额同比增长 30%(2025 年 11 月数据),国内集成电 路产量预计在"十五五"期间保持快速增长,驱动电子特气需求。集成 电路国产替代比例仍较低,提升空间巨大,国产电子特气厂商有望切入 海外先进制程。 2025 年工业气体板块整体业绩良好,AI 驱动的特种气体公司营收显著 增长。电子特种气体板块公司归母净利润实现高增,而空分设备相对承 压。凯美特气全年股价涨幅显著,远超国际巨头如林德、法液空。 液氧、液氮和液氩价格处于近七年底部区域,截至 2025 年底,均价分 别位于历史 3%、2%和 41%分位数左右,相较最高点跌幅显著,表明 大宗工业用汽价格筑底明显。液氧价格同比跌幅收窄,液氮价格持续环 比下降,液氩价格四季度加速上涨。 Q&A 2026 年工业气体行业的整体投资策略和市场前景如何? 2026 年,工业气体行业整体呈现筑底回 ...
2026年工业气体行业年度投资策略:工业气体:有望筑底回升,电子特气景气持续
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2026-02-24 01:00
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is optimistic [1] Core Insights - The industrial gas market is expected to reach 1.3 trillion yuan by 2026, with a CAGR of 6.8% over the next four years [3] - The competitive landscape is becoming more concentrated, with the top four companies holding 54% of the global market share and the top six in China holding 72% [3] - Growth drivers include increased outsourcing of gas supply, accelerated demand from sectors like semiconductors and new energy, and short-term benefits from macroeconomic recovery and gas price elasticity [3] Market Space - The global industrial gas market is valued at over 1 trillion, while the domestic market is around 200 billion [3] - The market is projected to grow to 284.2 billion yuan in China by 2026, with a CAGR of 9.68% from 2022 to 2026 [21] - The market is characterized by high concentration, with the top five companies holding approximately 69% of the market share [21] Equipment Market - The domestic air separation equipment market is valued at 34.1 billion yuan in 2022, with a growth rate of 25% year-on-year [4] - The market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 22% from 2019 to 2024, driven by larger equipment sizes and increased export demand [4] Electronic Specialty Gases - The semiconductor market is expected to remain strong, with a projected 30% year-on-year increase in global semiconductor sales by November 2025 [5] - There is significant potential for domestic electronic specialty gas manufacturers to replace imports and expand into global markets [5] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on leading companies in the industrial gas sector, such as Hangyang Co., and key players in electronic specialty gases like China Shipbuilding Gas and Guanggang Gas [6]