证券研究报告 2026年1月9日 行业：基础化工 增持 （维持） 分析师：于庭泽 SAC编号：S0870523040001 分析师：郭吟冬 SAC编号：S0870525110001 主要观点 周期有望回暖，新兴需求成长可期 ——化工行业2026年度投资策略 u 建议关注： 风险提示：原油价格波动、需求不达预期、宏观经济下行。 2 u 化工行业景气回升，周期有望回暖。行业供给增速预期放缓，补库周期已经开启，国家层面持续强化政策 引导，新一轮供给侧改革蓄势待发。关注制冷剂、钾肥、有机硅、磷化工等景气上行板块。 u 关注新材料成长性机会。（1）锂电材料：固态电池产业化进程加速，利好相关材料；（2）光刻胶：下游 半导体需求旺盛，光刻胶作为产业链关键材料，国产替代加速。 行情回顾：2025年基础化工指数回升，化工品价格弱势运行 图1 2024年至今基础化工指数走势 图2 CCPI化工品价格指数 资料来源：iFinD，上海证券研究所 资料来源： iFinD，上海证券研究所 1. 制冷剂：金石资源、巨化股份、三美股份、永和股份； 2. 钾肥：亚钾国际、盐湖股份； 3. 有机硅：东岳硅材、兴发集团、新安股份、鲁西化工； 4. ...

Core Insights - The report emphasizes a positive outlook for the mechanical industry in 2026, driven by structural transformation and a rebound in external demand [3][4] - The report introduces a "risk排雷" manual to proactively identify potential market misjudgments and challenges within various sectors [3][4] Industry Overview - The mechanical industry is expected to experience a cyclical reversal, with growth in engineering machinery, industrial gases, shipbuilding, photovoltaic equipment, and lithium battery equipment [6][8] - Key assumptions include continued government support for emerging technology industries and a stable macroeconomic recovery [11][16] Engineering Machinery - The engineering machinery sector is witnessing a cyclical upturn, with increased overseas market share and a gradual domestic renewal cycle [17] - Key growth drivers include global market expansion, improved domestic demand due to favorable macro policies, and a stabilizing domestic infrastructure and real estate market [17] Shipbuilding - The shipbuilding industry is on an upward trend, with demand supported by a variety of vessel types and improving profitability for shipyards [19] - The sector is expected to benefit from supply constraints driving up ship prices and a focus on high-end, large-scale, dual-fuel vessels [20] Export Chain - The export chain is optimistic about demand recovery, particularly in the U.S. market, with a focus on strategic exports and emerging markets [22] - Key assumptions include a favorable trade environment and ongoing industrial shifts towards resource-rich countries [22] Industrial Gases - The industrial gases sector is viewed positively, with expectations of volume and price increases leading to improved valuations [27] - The report highlights the importance of leading companies in the sector and recommends focusing on those with operational highlights in niche markets [30] Lithium Battery Equipment - The lithium battery equipment sector is expected to emerge from a downturn, with solid-state battery technology creating significant market opportunities [51] - The report anticipates a substantial increase in market size, projecting a growth from 2.06 billion in 2025 to 33.62 billion by 2030 [51] Wind Power Equipment - The wind power industry is projected to maintain high growth, particularly in offshore wind projects, with significant investments expected [63] - The report recommends focusing on leading manufacturers and components that support the offshore wind market [64] Testing and Inspection - The testing and inspection sector is expected to see upward momentum, driven by increasing demand and a trend towards consolidation among leading firms [71] - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on emerging fields and the long-term growth potential of comprehensive testing companies [71] Rail Transit Equipment - The rail transit equipment sector is expected to benefit from steady investment in fixed assets and high demand for passenger and freight transport [75] - The report highlights the potential for continued growth in the high-speed train sector and recommends key players in the industry [76] Oil Service Equipment - The oil service equipment sector is anticipated to thrive due to sustained demand driven by oil prices and energy security concerns [79] - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong technical barriers and those benefiting from domestic and international market opportunities [80]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "B" rating for the new materials sector, indicating a stable outlook with potential for recovery in the carbon fiber industry [2]. Core Insights - The carbon fiber industry is experiencing a price increase, confirming a bottoming out of the market and a potential recovery in demand. High-end carbon fiber demand is expected to rise significantly, particularly in wind power and aerospace applications, with actual consumption in China projected to reach 96,446 tons in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 71.89% [5][7]. - The new materials sector index decreased by 0.23% recently, outperforming the ChiNext index by 2.03%. Key segments such as industrial gases and biodegradable plastics showed positive growth, while semiconductor materials faced a decline [2][19]. Summary by Relevant Sections 1. Market Performance - The new materials sector index fell by 0.23%, while the ChiNext index dropped by 2.03%. Over the past five trading days, the synthetic biology index rose by 1.76%, industrial gases increased by 3.86%, and battery chemicals decreased by 2.87% [2][19]. 2. Price Tracking - Key prices include: - Valine: 13,700 CNY/ton (+4.98%) - Arginine: 20,950 CNY/ton (unchanged) - Methionine: 17,850 CNY/ton (-0.56%) - PLA (injection grade): 17,800 CNY/ton (unchanged) [3]. 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in the carbon fiber sector, such as Jilin Chemical Fiber, Zhongfu Shenying, Zhongjian Technology, and Guangwei Composites, as they are expected to benefit from the recovery in high-end carbon fiber demand [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "B" rating for the new materials sector, indicating a leading position in the market [2]. Core Insights - The central economic work conference emphasizes a comprehensive green transition, suggesting a focus on upstream raw material opportunities in the wind power sector. The wind power industry is expected to maintain a high prosperity pattern, with annual new installed capacity projected to be no less than 120 million kilowatts during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, reaching a cumulative installed capacity of 1.3 billion kilowatts by 2030 and 5 billion kilowatts by 2060 [5][4]. Market Performance - The new materials sector saw an increase of 0.66%, underperforming compared to the ChiNext Index, which rose by 2.08%. Over the past five trading days, the synthetic biology index fell by 1.58%, while semiconductor materials increased by 6.21%, electronic chemicals by 7.05%, industrial gases by 4.48%, and battery chemicals decreased by 1.88% [2][18][13]. Price Tracking - Amino acids: Valine at 13,050 CNY/ton (up 3.57%), Arginine at 20,950 CNY/ton (down 1.87%), Tryptophan at 30,500 CNY/ton (unchanged), Methionine at 17,950 CNY/ton (down 2.45%) [3]. - Industrial gases: UPSSS grade hydrofluoric acid at 11,000 CNY/ton (unchanged), EL grade hydrofluoric acid at 6,160 CNY/ton (up 0.98%) [3]. - Degradable plastics: PLA (FY201 injection grade) at 17,800 CNY/ton (unchanged), PLA (REVODE 201 blow film grade) at 16,800 CNY/ton (down 1.18%) [3]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on wind blade manufacturers such as "Shidai New Materials" and "Maijia Xincai" due to the anticipated growth in the wind power upstream materials market [5].

重要内容提示： ●案件所处的诉讼阶段：撤销仲裁裁决。 ●公司控股二级子公司所处的当事人地位：湖南郴电国际发展股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）控股二 级子公司包头市天宸中邦工业气体有限公司（以下简称"包头天宸"）为被申请人。 ●涉案金额：1,209.32万元及利息、仲裁费、律师费。 ●是否会对上市公司损益产生负面影响：本次裁定结果不会对公司本期利润或期后利润产生负面影响。 一、本案基本情况 因包头市吉宇钢铁有限责任公司（以下简称"吉宇钢铁"）拖欠包头天宸供气款，包头天宸向北京仲裁委 员会提起仲裁，请求裁决吉宇钢铁向包头天宸支付供气款12,093,191.45元及逾期利息等款项。2024年7 月11日，北京仲裁委员会立案受理，案号为（2024）京仲案字第06962号。2024年11月，吉宇钢铁对包 头天宸仲裁申请提出异议，向北京市第四中级人民法院提起诉讼，请求法院确认2017年6月16日吉宇钢 铁、包头天宸、包头市闽航工贸有限公司三方签订的《包头市吉宇钢铁有限责任公司、包头市闽航工贸 有限公司联合经营期间继续履行与包头市天宸中邦工业气体有限公司供气合同的协议书》约定的北京仲 裁委员会仲裁管辖条款无效。2024年1 ...

郴电国际公告，公司控股二级子公司包头市天宸中邦工业气体有限公司涉及诉讼。因包头市吉宇钢铁有 限责任公司拖欠供气款，包头天宸向北京仲裁委员会提起仲裁，请求裁决吉宇钢铁支付供气款1209.32 万元及逾期利息等款项。2024年7月11日，北京仲裁委员会立案受理。2024年12月，北京市第四中级人 民法院作出裁决，认定仲裁条款合法有效，驳回吉宇钢铁关于主张仲裁条款无效的申请。2025年6月23 日，北京仲裁委员会作出仲裁裁决书，裁决吉宇钢铁向包头天宸支付所欠供气款、逾期利息、律师费及 仲裁费。吉宇钢铁不服，向北京市第四中级人民法院申请撤销仲裁裁决。近日，北京市第四中级人民法 院裁定驳回吉宇钢铁的申请。本次裁定结果不会对公司本期利润或期后利润产生负面影响。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Dongwu Securities report highlights Hangyang Co., Ltd. as a leading domestic manufacturer of air separation equipment, with gas business contributing to new growth drivers [1] Group 1: Business Overview - The company's core business consists of air separation equipment and gas sales, collectively contributing nearly 90% of revenue in 2024 [1] - Hangyang Co., Ltd. started with air separation equipment and held a market share of 43% in 2020, establishing itself as the leading domestic producer [1] Group 2: Growth Drivers - The revenue contribution from gas sales has increased from 2% in 2007 to 59% in 2024, marking it as the company's second growth driver [1] - The industrial gas sector is characterized as a cyclical industry with trends towards localization, increased outsourcing of gas supply, and exploration of new fields [1] Group 3: Competitive Advantages - The company benefits from its manufacturing capabilities in equipment and continuously expanding channel capabilities as it transitions from equipment to gas sales [1] - Hangyang Co., Ltd. is also investing in emerging industries such as controlled nuclear fusion, providing high-quality low-temperature equipment [1] Group 4: Market Outlook - Given the growth potential across multiple business segments and the expectation that gas prices will rise with the macroeconomic recovery, the company has been assigned an "Accumulate" rating [1]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking the first coverage of the stock [1]. Core Insights - The company, Hangyang Co., Ltd., is a leading domestic manufacturer of air separation equipment, with its gas sales business emerging as a new growth driver. The core business segments are air separation equipment and gas sales, which together are expected to contribute nearly 90% of revenue by 2024 [7][13]. - The air separation equipment market is experiencing a trend towards larger-scale production, with significant demand from the petrochemical and coal chemical industries, which are expected to drive future growth [7][40]. - The industrial gas market is a cyclical industry with a current market size of over 200 billion yuan in China, and the company is positioned to benefit from the ongoing trend of domestic production and increasing outsourcing of gas supply [7][19]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - Hangyang Co., Ltd. has a long history in air separation equipment, starting from the development of China's first oxygen generator in 1956. The company has since evolved into a leader in the domestic market, with a market share of 43% in 2020 [13][16]. - The gas sales business has grown significantly, increasing its revenue contribution from 2% in 2007 to 59% in 2024, indicating strong growth potential [16][19]. 2. Air Separation Equipment - The air separation equipment industry is characterized by a clear trend towards larger equipment, with average production capacity increasing from 0.5 million m³/h in 2011 to 2.4 million m³/h in 2020. The demand is concentrated in the steel, petrochemical, and coal chemical sectors [40][44]. - The company is expected to benefit from the increasing demand for large-scale air separation equipment, particularly from new projects in the coal chemical sector in Xinjiang, which are projected to require substantial investment [46][47]. 3. Industrial Gas Market - The industrial gas market is a vital component of modern industrial production, with major applications in steel, petrochemicals, and electronics. The market is expected to grow significantly, with the company poised to capture a larger share as domestic production increases [19][37]. - The report highlights the potential for the company to expand its market share in the industrial gas sector, where it currently holds about 6% of the market, compared to over 60% for leading foreign competitors [7][19]. 4. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve a net profit of 1.16 billion yuan in 2025, with a corresponding dynamic P/E ratio of 24 times. The expected growth in gas prices alongside macroeconomic recovery is anticipated to support profitability [1][7].

Core Viewpoint - Shudao Equipment plans to establish a gas industry equity investment fund with a total scale of 2 billion yuan, focusing on hydrogen energy, liquefied natural gas (LNG), and industrial gases, aiming for deep synergy between industry and capital [1] Group 1 - The fund will target high-growth sectors such as hydrogen energy, LNG, and industrial gases, benefiting from the transformation of the energy structure and the demand for high-end manufacturing upgrades [1] - The establishment of the fund aligns with national strategies for energy structure transformation and the optimization of state-owned capital [1] - The fund aims to help Shudao Equipment accelerate the construction of a comprehensive platform for industrial gases, clean energy, and hydrogen energy, expanding its business boundaries and investment landscape [1] Group 2 - The investment is expected to cultivate new profit growth points and enhance the company's core competitiveness [1] - As the fund gradually invests and projects are implemented, Shudao Equipment is likely to strengthen its competitive advantage in high-end equipment manufacturing and clean energy [1] - The company aims to create an industrial ecosystem of "high-end manufacturing + energy operation + capital empowerment," forming a new development pattern characterized by technological leadership, capital support, and industrial synergy [1]

证券研究报告 | 浙商早知道 报告日期：2025 年 12 月 03 日 浙商早知道 2025 年 12 月 03 日 ：王禾 执业证书编号：S1230512110001 ：021-80105901 ：wanghe@stocke.com.cn 市场总览 重要推荐 重要观点 http://www.stocke.com.cn 1/6 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 ❑ 大势：12 月 2 日上证指数下跌 0.42%，沪深 300 下跌 0.48%，科创 50 下跌 1.24%，中证 1000 下跌 1%，创业板 指下跌 0.69%，恒生指数上涨 0.24%。 ❑ 行业：12 月 2 日表现最好的行业分别是石油石化（+0.71%)、轻工制造（+0.55%)、家用电器（+0.43%)、建筑材 料（+0.32%)、通信（+0.27%)，表现最差的行业分别是传媒（-1.75%)、有色金属（-1.36%)、计算机（-1.34%)、 医药生物（-1.23%)、电力设备（-1.18%)。 ❑ 资金：12 月 2 日全 A 总成交额为 16073 亿元，南下资金净流入 41.01 亿港元。 ❑ 【浙商通信 张建民/邢艺凡】银轮 ...