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【机构策略】A股市场整体运行偏弱 本阶段需要保持耐心
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-12-05 01:50
财信证券认为,周四,A股市场活跃度偏低迷,大盘延续缩量震荡。当日资金观望情绪仍较为浓厚,成 交量缩量明显。盘面上,摩尔线程概念走强,商业航天板块延续活跃,机器人板块迎来反弹,而大消费 方向普遍调整。短期内,耐心等待放量长阳或者其他明确的回暖信号出现。中期来看,随着机构资金逐 步开始布局2026年方向、美联储降息靴子落地、"AI投资泡沫"担忧阶段性消退,A股市场或将迎来新一 轮做多窗口期。 (文章来源:证券时报网) 东吴证券认为,周四,A股主要指数延续震荡。目前A股市场整体运行偏弱,资金参与度下降明显,本 阶段需要保持耐心,后续政策储备还比较充裕,市场流动性方面有望在美联储降息后获得改善。 招商证券认为,12月增量资金有望整体保持平稳净流入,外资活跃度或有望继续回升。宏观流动性方 面,11月的货币市场资金面在央行的呵护下整体保持平稳。展望12月,年末季节性因素可能会增加资金 面的波动,考虑到央行货币政策支持性立场明确,资金面大概率将继续保持合理充裕。外部流动性方 面,美联储官员11月末连续放"鸽",美国经济数据同样显示降息可能性增加,美联储12月降息预期再度 升温。11月股票市场可跟踪资金转为净流出,资金供给端 ...
财信证券袁闯:A股市场正处于蓄势待发与等待验证并存的阶段
Zhong Zheng Wang· 2025-09-30 11:17
Core Insights - The A-share market's performance relies on four key conditions: liquidity easing, economic improvement, policy support, and low valuations, which are currently showing significant imbalance [1][2] Group 1: Policy Support - Policy support is fully in place, with strong determination and efforts evident in industrial policies and capital market reforms, providing a solid policy foundation for the market [1] Group 2: Valuation and Market Expectations - Overall valuations reflect optimistic expectations for future growth but also impose higher requirements for earnings realization [1] Group 3: External Liquidity - Positive changes in external liquidity have emerged following the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, alleviating global liquidity tightening pressures and supporting the RMB exchange rate, which may attract foreign capital back to emerging markets, benefiting A-shares, particularly in interest-sensitive technology growth sectors [1] Group 4: Economic Recovery - The current economic situation is on a weak recovery path, with a need to boost effective social demand; the sustainability of corporate earnings recovery from localized to widespread levels is fundamental for market confidence [1][2] Group 5: Market Outlook - The reduction of external constraints and proactive internal policies suggest that a structural market trend may continue, but a comprehensive market rally awaits stronger and broader profit growth driven by economic fundamentals [2]