Investment Rating - The investment rating for Hisense Home Appliances is maintained at "Buy" [1] Core Views - The domestic sales market is under pressure in 2025, while the overseas sales show a steady improvement. The company is expected to achieve revenue of 879.3 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 5.2%, with a net profit attributable to the parent company of 31.9 billion yuan, down 4.8% [1] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2026-2027 and added a new forecast for 2028, expecting net profits of 32.1 billion yuan, 35.3 billion yuan, and 38.2 billion yuan for 2026, 2027, and 2028 respectively [1] - The company maintains a good profitability despite rising raw material prices, and the overseas business continues to perform well [1] Financial Performance Summary - In 2025, the HVAC business generated revenue of 388.3 billion yuan, down 3.6%, with a gross margin of 27.4%, a decrease of 2.1 percentage points. The company holds over 23% market share in the central air conditioning sector [2] - The ice washing business achieved revenue of 312.0 billion yuan, an increase of 1.2%, with a gross margin of 17.6%, up 1.1 percentage points. The retail market share for Hisense refrigerators reached 17.0% [2] - Domestic revenue was 454.1 billion yuan, down 5.4%, primarily due to the low prosperity of the domestic real estate industry and price wars. In contrast, overseas revenue was 379.2 billion yuan, up 6.4%, with significant growth in various regions [2] Profitability and Cost Structure - The overall gross margin for 2025 was 21.3%, an increase of 0.5 percentage points, while the expense ratio rose to 16.7%, up 0.7 percentage points. The net profit margin for 2025 was 5.4%, a slight decrease of 0.1 percentage points [3] - In Q4 2025, the gross margin improved to 22.3%, while the expense ratio increased to 19.5%, leading to a net profit margin of 4.0% [3] - The company implemented a dividend of 1.75 billion yuan in 2025, accounting for 54.9% of the annual net profit attributable to the parent company [3] Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2026-2028 are as follows: 94.4 billion yuan in 2026, 99.9 billion yuan in 2027, and 105.9 billion yuan in 2028, with corresponding net profits of 32.1 billion yuan, 35.3 billion yuan, and 38.2 billion yuan [4] - The expected EPS for 2026, 2027, and 2028 are 2.31 yuan, 2.55 yuan, and 2.76 yuan respectively, with the current P/E ratios at 11.9, 10.8, and 10.0 times [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Hisense Home Appliances is maintained at "Buy" [1] Core Views - The domestic sales market is under pressure in 2025, while the overseas sales show a steady improvement. The company is expected to achieve revenue of 87.93 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 5.2%, with a net profit attributable to the parent company of 3.19 billion yuan, down 4.8% [1] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2026-2027 and added a new forecast for 2028, expecting net profits of 3.21 billion yuan, 3.53 billion yuan, and 3.82 billion yuan for 2026-2028, respectively [1] - The company maintains a good profitability despite rising raw material prices, and the overseas business continues to perform well [1] Financial Performance - In 2025, the HVAC business generated revenue of 38.83 billion yuan, down 3.6%, with a gross margin of 27.4%, a decrease of 2.1 percentage points [2] - The ice washing business achieved revenue of 31.20 billion yuan, an increase of 1.2%, with a gross margin of 17.6%, up 1.1 percentage points [2] - The company’s total revenue from domestic sales was 45.41 billion yuan, down 5.4%, while overseas revenue reached 37.92 billion yuan, up 6.4% [2] Profitability Metrics - The overall gross margin for 2025 was 21.3%, an increase of 0.5 percentage points, while the expense ratio rose to 16.7%, up 0.7 percentage points [3] - The net profit margin for 2025 was 5.4%, a slight decrease of 0.1 percentage points [3] - The company implemented a dividend of 1.75 billion yuan in 2025, accounting for 54.9% of the net profit attributable to the parent company [3] Valuation Metrics - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2026-2028 are 2.31 yuan, 2.55 yuan, and 2.76 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 11.9, 10.8, and 10.0 [4] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is expected to decline from 26.5% in 2025 to 17.7% in 2028 [4] - The price-to-book (P/B) ratio is projected to decrease from 2.5 in 2025 to 1.5 in 2028 [4]

Group 1 - The company, Aifenda, indicated that its main export markets are in Europe and other countries or regions, with a relatively small revenue contribution from its Russian operations [1]