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天胶早报-20251029
Da Yue Qi Huo· 2025-10-29 01:34
Report Industry Investment Rating - The investment rating for the natural rubber industry is neutral [4][9] Report's Core View - The supply of natural rubber is increasing, the spot is strong, domestic inventories are decreasing, and tire operating rates are at a high level. The market has support below, and it is recommended to buy on dips [4] Summary by Directory Daily Tips - The fundamentals of natural rubber show that supply is increasing, the spot is strong, domestic inventories are starting to decrease, and tire operating rates are at a high level, with a neutral outlook. The basis is -610 with the spot at 14750, showing a bearish signal. Exchange and Qingdao region inventories are decreasing week - on - week, with the former also decreasing year - on - year and the latter increasing year - on - year, presenting a neutral situation. The price is running above the 20 - day line while the 20 - day line is downward, also neutral. The main positions are net short with a reduction in short positions, showing a bearish sign. The market has support below, and it is advisable to buy on dips [4] Fundamental Data Spot Price - The spot price of 23 - year full - latex (non - deliverable) remained flat on October 28 [8] Inventory - Exchange inventories have been continuously decreasing recently, and Qingdao region inventories are also continuously decreasing [14][17] Import - Import volume has rebounded [20] Downstream Consumption - Automobile production and sales are seasonally rebounding, tire production is at a record high for the same period, and tire industry exports are also at a record high for the same period [23][29][32] Basis - The basis strengthened on October 28 [35] Multi - Empty Factors and Main Risk Points - **Likely to Rise Factors**: High downstream consumption, resistant spot prices, and domestic anti - involution [6] - **Likely to Fall Factors**: Increasing supply, bearish domestic economic indicators, and trade frictions [6]
【期货热点追踪】市场多空因素交织,铁矿石期价走低,未来需关注哪些方面?
news flash· 2025-06-09 09:29
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent decline in iron ore futures prices, highlighting the interplay of various market factors and the need for future attention on specific aspects of the industry [1] Group 1: Market Factors - Iron ore futures prices have decreased due to a combination of supply and demand dynamics [1] - The market is currently influenced by both bullish and bearish factors, creating a complex trading environment [1] Group 2: Future Considerations - Future monitoring should focus on key elements such as global demand trends, production levels, and geopolitical influences that may affect iron ore prices [1] - The article suggests that investors should remain vigilant regarding changes in market sentiment and external economic indicators [1]