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南网科技(688248):公司动态研究报告:技术服务和智能设备双驱动,全面受益新型电力系统建设
Huaxin Securities· 2025-10-08 11:12
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [8]. Core Insights - The company is expected to benefit from the construction of a new power system, driven by its dual business segments of technical services and smart devices [4][8]. - The company has shown a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, with revenue at 1.405 billion yuan, down 9.66% year-on-year, and net profit at 175 million yuan, down 5.38% year-on-year [5]. - The long-term outlook for large-scale energy storage in China is positive, with the company positioned to benefit from evolving economic drivers in the energy storage market [6]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company is a subsidiary of the Southern Power Grid, focusing on technical services and smart devices, including energy storage system services and smart monitoring equipment [4]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 3.29 billion yuan from energy storage services, a decrease of 42.88% year-on-year, primarily due to project completion cycles [5]. - The testing and commissioning services generated 4.50 billion yuan, a 24% increase year-on-year, with a stable gross margin of 45.72% [5]. - Smart power distribution equipment revenue was 3.02 billion yuan, down 14.87% year-on-year, while smart monitoring equipment saw a significant increase of 92.18% in revenue [5]. Revenue Forecast - The company forecasts revenues of 3.805 billion yuan in 2025, 4.819 billion yuan in 2026, and 6.011 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding EPS of 0.84, 1.09, and 1.33 yuan [8][9]. - The projected growth rates for revenue are 26.3% in 2025, 26.6% in 2026, and 24.7% in 2027 [9]. Profitability Metrics - The report anticipates a net profit of 476 million yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 30.4% [9]. - The company's return on equity (ROE) is expected to improve from 12.1% in 2024 to 18.8% in 2027 [9]. Market Position - The company is recognized as a leading energy storage integrator in China, likely to benefit from supportive policies and a shift towards economic drivers in energy storage projects [6].