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11.24:小幅度反弹后,周二A股震荡,为日线级别的反弹做铺垫
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-24 09:06
周一,沪深A股主要的大盘指数企稳回升,这是周末以及今天中午分析到的。盘面上看,绝大多数个股上涨,人气大幅度回升,但是仍有34家跌停,盘面 分化明显。小幅度反弹后,周二A股震荡,为日线级别的反弹做铺垫。 一、大盘指数分析 中午,重点分析了上证50指数和创业板指数,指出午后企稳回升。接下来,重点分析上证指数和科创50指数。 科创50指数,六十分钟级别的走势来看,最近一段下跌,到早盘第二个小时为止,走了十个有效的调整周期,到了变盘节点。今天早盘两个小时的K线, 又构成了企稳型K线,引发了午后的上涨。今天最后一个小时的K线,上影线比较长,释放了调整信号。从该级别走势来看,明天早盘科创50指数有调 整。 日线级别的走势来看,今天探底回升,日K线下影线比较长,释放了明显的企稳信号。但是,今天的下影线长,明天大概率有回补下影线的动作。周期面 来看,最近几个交易日的调整,到今天为止,走了三个有效的周期,明天是第四个有效周期,所以,周二和周三都是变盘节点,这两个交易日科创50指数 最有可能企稳回升。结合六十分钟级别走势来看,明天早盘调整之后,午后大概率有回升。 不荐股,只客观记录本人的分析,不作为买卖依据! 上证指数,今天高开 ...
10.28:4000点得而复失,周三A股能否重新收复四千点?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-28 08:50
Market Index Analysis - The major A-share indices in Shanghai and Shenzhen experienced a rise followed by a decline, with most stocks falling and low market sentiment observed. The index struggled to maintain the psychological level of 4000 points, raising questions about whether it can recover on Wednesday [1] Shanghai Composite Index - The Shanghai Composite Index showed a small real body with a long upper shadow and a short lower shadow, indicating significant upward pressure in the short term. The 4000-point level is a crucial psychological and integer barrier. As of yesterday, five effective cycles have been completed, marking a small turning point, suggesting a need to test the five-day moving average. The index is expected to slightly dip and then recover after testing this moving average [4] STAR 50 Index - The STAR 50 Index adjusted as expected, with the closing K-line indicating a low opening that filled the long lower shadow from the previous day, correcting technical flaws. The adjustment is considered normal as it coincides with the fifth effective cycle, which is a turning point. The five-day moving average is rising quickly, and the index is likely to stabilize and rebound on Wednesday. The K-line pattern released a stabilization signal, indicating that the short-term adjustment is nearly complete [7]
10.9:开门红,A股站上3900点,周五能否继续走强?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-09 12:06
Market Overview - On the first trading day after the holiday, major A-share indices continued to rise, with varying degrees of increase. The market showed a clear divergence, with 99 stocks hitting the daily limit up and 24 stocks limit down. Strong sectors included non-ferrous metals, nuclear fusion, and superconductors, while accommodation and catering, as well as film and animation sectors, lagged behind [1]. Index Analysis Shanghai Composite Index - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by over 1%, forming a bullish candlestick pattern with increased trading volume, indicating a healthy volume-price relationship. Recent fluctuations have created a medium-sized central structure on the daily chart, corresponding to a monthly pullback. The current bullish candlestick signifies an effective structural breakout, suggesting the end of a medium-term adjustment and the beginning of a new upward wave. However, typically after a structural breakout, a pullback is expected. The recent upward trend has completed three effective cycles, with the fourth cycle being a potential turning point, indicating a high probability of adjustment in the short term [4]. Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index - The Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index has also experienced five effective upward cycles, reaching a turning point. The day's candlestick showed a significant gap up but closed with a long upper shadow, signaling a clear adjustment signal. Therefore, it is likely that the index will undergo a correction on Friday. The index is near historical highs, facing substantial resistance. On the hourly chart, the recent trend has completed nine effective adjustment cycles, with the first hour of trading on the following day being a potential turning point, suggesting a likely pullback followed by stabilization [5]. Summary - The current A-share market is characterized by structural trends in individual stocks as long as the overall market does not experience a significant decline. Successful trend trading is essential for achieving stable wave profits. By analyzing candlesticks, patterns, and central structures, it is possible to accurately grasp price fluctuations. Pullbacks following structural breakouts serve as entry points for gradual investments. The A-share market is challenging, and caution is advised [7].
8.5:A股,再度回到3600点上方,调整完成了?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-05 09:31
先分析上证指数。 周二,沪深A股主要的大盘指数走势比预期的强一些。盘面上看,多数个股上涨,跌停2家,人气比较高。A股,再度回到3600点上方,调整完成了? 一、大盘指数分析 中午,重点分析了上证50指数和创业板指数,接下来重点分析上证指数和科创50指数。 科创50指数,今天小幅度上涨,走出了小阳线。尽管阳线的实体占优,但是下影线明显,说明该指数上涨的动能并不强。今天的成交量,在昨天萎缩的基 础上进一步萎缩,也说明上涨具有虚假性。 六十分钟级别的走势来看,经过最近两个交易日的反弹之后,到了该级别阶段性顶部形态的颈线位附近。此前,本人就分析过,科创50指数日线级别没有 顶部形态,只有六十分钟级别有阶段性顶部形态。形态破位之后,没有走出针对颈线位的反抽动作。昨天和今天的上涨,就是针对颈线位的反抽动作。经 过今天小幅度上涨之后,科创50指数的反抽动作,大概率完成了,接下来科创50指数还会继续调整。 不荐股,只客观记录本人的分析,不作为买卖依据! 上证指数,今天高开高走,走出了中阳线,光头光脚,看似比较强势。但是,今天上证指数对应的成交量明显萎缩,回到了6500亿元水平。跟前几个交易 日的平均成交量相比,缩小明显,量价 ...
5.28:周五,A股到了反弹窗口
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-29 03:02
周三,沪深A股主要的大盘指数小幅度震荡,跌幅缩小。盘面上看,多数个股下跌,人气低迷,珠宝股领涨。周五,A股到了反弹窗口。 一、大盘指数分析 本周一的中阴线,击穿了双重顶形态的颈线位,确立了阶段性顶部形态,但是没有走出针对颈线位的反弹。所以,接下来的反弹,就是针对颈线位的反弹动 作。 六十分钟级别的走势来看,到了变盘节点之后,大盘指数没有直接变盘,而是在这里频繁小幅度震荡,主要是在等待日线级别的变盘节点出现。经过修复之 后,该级别的两条短期均线已经粘合了,到了变盘时刻。所以,明天早盘第一个小时小幅度调整之后,大盘就要企稳回升,走反弹了。 再来看科创50指数。 中午,重点分析了上证50指数和创业板指数,接下来重点分析上证指数和科创50指数。 先分析上证指数。 上证指数,今天小幅度冲高回落,日K线上影线比较长,释放了调整信号。但是,最近四个交易日的K线,经历了中阴线到小阴线和小阳线的转变,说明大 盘指数下跌的速度大大降低了。此外,周期面来看,今天是有效调整的第四个交易日,明天就是第五个交易日了,到了变盘节点。所以,周四大盘指数以企 稳回升为主。 科创50指数,今天小幅度调整,跌幅比昨天要小得多,显示指数下跌速度明显 ...
4.29:节前最后一个交易日,A股是涨还是跌?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-30 10:07
Market Index Analysis - The Shanghai Composite Index opened lower, filling the long upper shadow left by the previous day's candlestick, indicating a technical correction [3] - The index's candlestick showed a small body with a noticeable upper shadow, signaling a potential stabilization [3] - The weekly moving averages are currently under pressure, suggesting that the index may need further adjustment before a mid-term turnaround [3] Technology Innovation 50 Index - The Technology Innovation 50 Index has reached its fifth effective adjustment cycle, indicating a potential turning point [4] - Today's candlestick showed a low open and a subsequent rise, forming a small bullish candle that compensates for previous technical deficiencies [4] - The index is expected to stabilize and rebound on Wednesday, but a significant mid-term adjustment is still anticipated [4] A-Share Market Outlook - The A-share market is expected to continue experiencing structural trends as long as there are no significant declines in the major indices [4] - Successful trend trading is essential for achieving stable profits, with a focus on K-line analysis and structural patterns [4] - The market environment is challenging, and careful navigation is advised to avoid prolonged losses [4]