大盘指数分析
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11.24:小幅度反弹后,周二A股震荡,为日线级别的反弹做铺垫
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-24 09:06
Market Index Analysis - The major A-share indices in Shanghai and Shenzhen stabilized and rebounded, with most stocks rising significantly, although 34 stocks hit the daily limit down, indicating a clear market divergence [1] - The analysis focused on the Shanghai Composite Index and the ChiNext Index, noting a recovery in the afternoon session [2] Shanghai Composite Index - The Shanghai Composite Index opened high but fell before rebounding, with a noticeable lower shadow on the daily candlestick, signaling a potential short-term stabilization [4] - The index has undergone seven effective adjustment cycles recently, with two cycles remaining until a potential turning point, suggesting that the market may experience a small adjustment in the early session on Wednesday, followed by a rebound in the afternoon [4] ChiNext Index - The ChiNext Index has also seen ten effective adjustment cycles, reaching a turning point, with the morning session showing signs of stabilization and subsequent afternoon gains [7] - The daily candlestick indicates a long lower shadow, suggesting a clear stabilization signal, but a likely action to fill the lower shadow is expected on the following day [7]
10.28:4000点得而复失,周三A股能否重新收复四千点?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-28 08:50
Market Index Analysis - The major A-share indices in Shanghai and Shenzhen experienced a rise followed by a decline, with most stocks falling and low market sentiment observed. The index struggled to maintain the psychological level of 4000 points, raising questions about whether it can recover on Wednesday [1] Shanghai Composite Index - The Shanghai Composite Index showed a small real body with a long upper shadow and a short lower shadow, indicating significant upward pressure in the short term. The 4000-point level is a crucial psychological and integer barrier. As of yesterday, five effective cycles have been completed, marking a small turning point, suggesting a need to test the five-day moving average. The index is expected to slightly dip and then recover after testing this moving average [4] STAR 50 Index - The STAR 50 Index adjusted as expected, with the closing K-line indicating a low opening that filled the long lower shadow from the previous day, correcting technical flaws. The adjustment is considered normal as it coincides with the fifth effective cycle, which is a turning point. The five-day moving average is rising quickly, and the index is likely to stabilize and rebound on Wednesday. The K-line pattern released a stabilization signal, indicating that the short-term adjustment is nearly complete [7]
10.9:开门红,A股站上3900点,周五能否继续走强?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-09 12:06
Market Overview - On the first trading day after the holiday, major A-share indices continued to rise, with varying degrees of increase. The market showed a clear divergence, with 99 stocks hitting the daily limit up and 24 stocks limit down. Strong sectors included non-ferrous metals, nuclear fusion, and superconductors, while accommodation and catering, as well as film and animation sectors, lagged behind [1]. Index Analysis Shanghai Composite Index - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by over 1%, forming a bullish candlestick pattern with increased trading volume, indicating a healthy volume-price relationship. Recent fluctuations have created a medium-sized central structure on the daily chart, corresponding to a monthly pullback. The current bullish candlestick signifies an effective structural breakout, suggesting the end of a medium-term adjustment and the beginning of a new upward wave. However, typically after a structural breakout, a pullback is expected. The recent upward trend has completed three effective cycles, with the fourth cycle being a potential turning point, indicating a high probability of adjustment in the short term [4]. Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index - The Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index has also experienced five effective upward cycles, reaching a turning point. The day's candlestick showed a significant gap up but closed with a long upper shadow, signaling a clear adjustment signal. Therefore, it is likely that the index will undergo a correction on Friday. The index is near historical highs, facing substantial resistance. On the hourly chart, the recent trend has completed nine effective adjustment cycles, with the first hour of trading on the following day being a potential turning point, suggesting a likely pullback followed by stabilization [5]. Summary - The current A-share market is characterized by structural trends in individual stocks as long as the overall market does not experience a significant decline. Successful trend trading is essential for achieving stable wave profits. By analyzing candlesticks, patterns, and central structures, it is possible to accurately grasp price fluctuations. Pullbacks following structural breakouts serve as entry points for gradual investments. The A-share market is challenging, and caution is advised [7].
8.5:A股,再度回到3600点上方,调整完成了?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-05 09:31
Market Index Analysis - The A-share market indices performed stronger than expected, with most stocks rising and only two hitting the limit down, indicating high market sentiment [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index opened high and formed a strong bullish candlestick, but the trading volume decreased significantly to 650 billion, indicating potential issues with the index's rise [3] - The Shanghai Composite Index is still showing signs of a small phase top pattern, suggesting that further adjustments are needed despite the recent upward movement [3] Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index Analysis - The Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index experienced a slight increase, forming a small bullish candlestick, but the lack of strong upward momentum is evident from the significant lower shadow [5] - The trading volume for the Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index further decreased, reinforcing the notion that the recent rise may be misleading [5] - After recent rebounds, the Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index is approaching a key resistance level, and the upward movement is likely to complete, indicating a forthcoming adjustment [5]
5.28:周五,A股到了反弹窗口
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-29 03:02
Market Index Analysis - The A-share market experienced slight fluctuations with a decrease in major indices, while jewelry stocks led the gains, indicating a low market sentiment [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index showed a small rebound but with a long upper shadow on the daily candlestick, signaling a potential adjustment [3] - The recent four trading days have seen a transition from medium bearish to small bearish and small bullish candlesticks, suggesting a slowdown in the index's decline [3] Technical Indicators - The Shanghai Composite Index is at a critical turning point, with the fourth day of effective adjustment indicating a potential stabilization and rebound on the fifth day [3] - The index has confirmed a phase top formation after breaking through the neckline of a double top pattern, but has not yet shown a rebound towards the neckline [3] - The hourly chart indicates that the index is in a phase of frequent small fluctuations, waiting for a daily level turning point to emerge [3] Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index - The Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index experienced minor adjustments with a smaller decline compared to the previous day, indicating a slowdown in the downward momentum [6] - The index is at the tenth day of its effective adjustment cycle, marking a potential turning point, although it did not directly reverse today [6] - The index has not yet shown a significant rebound towards the neckline after confirming a phase top formation, suggesting that while a rebound is likely, further adjustments may follow [6] Investment Strategy - The current A-share market allows for structural opportunities as long as there are no significant declines in the major indices [7] - Successful trading requires adherence to trend trading principles to avoid prolonged losses, emphasizing the importance of accurately grasping price fluctuations through K-line analysis and structural patterns [7] - Breakouts followed by pullbacks present opportunities for phased entry into positions, forming the basis of the trading system [7]
4.29:节前最后一个交易日,A股是涨还是跌?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-30 10:07
Market Index Analysis - The Shanghai Composite Index opened lower, filling the long upper shadow left by the previous day's candlestick, indicating a technical correction [3] - The index's candlestick showed a small body with a noticeable upper shadow, signaling a potential stabilization [3] - The weekly moving averages are currently under pressure, suggesting that the index may need further adjustment before a mid-term turnaround [3] Technology Innovation 50 Index - The Technology Innovation 50 Index has reached its fifth effective adjustment cycle, indicating a potential turning point [4] - Today's candlestick showed a low open and a subsequent rise, forming a small bullish candle that compensates for previous technical deficiencies [4] - The index is expected to stabilize and rebound on Wednesday, but a significant mid-term adjustment is still anticipated [4] A-Share Market Outlook - The A-share market is expected to continue experiencing structural trends as long as there are no significant declines in the major indices [4] - Successful trend trading is essential for achieving stable profits, with a focus on K-line analysis and structural patterns [4] - The market environment is challenging, and careful navigation is advised to avoid prolonged losses [4]