变盘节点
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12.15:周一午后,A股能否企稳回升?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-15 04:40
Market Index Analysis - The major A-share indices in Shanghai and Shenzhen adjusted on Monday morning, aligning with weekend analysis expectations. The market sentiment remains low, with the number of rising and falling stocks approximately equal [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index and the ChiNext Index are highlighted for further analysis after the afternoon close, with a focus on the Shanghai 50 Index first [1] Shanghai 50 Index - The Shanghai 50 Index opened lower due to a long lower shadow in last Friday's candlestick, indicating a need for a rebound. The early low opening serves as a method to fill this shadow [3] - After a low opening, the index reached a recent high but faced significant resistance, making a pullback normal. The trading volume was shrinking, suggesting that a strong upward movement is unlikely in the short term [3] - The hourly chart indicates that the index has completed five effective cycles of a recent upward movement, reaching a turning point. The long upper shadow in the second hour's candlestick released a clear adjustment signal, indicating that further adjustments are likely in the afternoon [3] ChiNext Index - The ChiNext Index has shown continuous adjustment signals over the past four trading days, with a long lower shadow in last Friday's candlestick making a lower opening today normal [6] - Although there was an early attempt to rise, it ultimately failed, suggesting that further adjustments are likely for the ChiNext Index [6] - The hourly chart shows that the index has completed its rebound target after last Friday's rise, indicating that it remains in an adjustment cycle and has not yet reached a turning point [6]
12.2:周二午后,A股以调整为主
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-02 04:45
Market Index Analysis - The major A-share indices in Shanghai and Shenzhen are undergoing adjustments, with most stocks declining and overall market sentiment being low [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index and the ChiNext Index are highlighted for further analysis, with a focus on the Shanghai 50 Index and the ChiNext Index in the afternoon [1] Shanghai 50 Index - The Shanghai 50 Index showed a strong bullish candlestick yesterday, but the upward momentum was insufficient, and the trading volume did not increase significantly [3] - Currently, the index is in an adjustment cycle after three effective upward cycles, indicating that further adjustments are expected [3] - The hourly chart indicates that after four effective upward cycles, the first hour of the morning session marked a turning point, leading to adjustments [3] ChiNext Index - The ChiNext Index has experienced four effective upward cycles over the past four trading days, with today marking the fifth cycle and a turning point [6] - The candlestick from yesterday had a large body but a long lower shadow, signaling a clear adjustment [6] - The hourly chart shows that after two hours of adjustment in the morning, there are still 2-3 cycles left before reaching a new turning point, suggesting continued adjustments in the afternoon [6]
11.24:小幅度反弹后,周二A股震荡,为日线级别的反弹做铺垫
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-24 09:06
Market Index Analysis - The major A-share indices in Shanghai and Shenzhen stabilized and rebounded, with most stocks rising significantly, although 34 stocks hit the daily limit down, indicating a clear market divergence [1] - The analysis focused on the Shanghai Composite Index and the ChiNext Index, noting a recovery in the afternoon session [2] Shanghai Composite Index - The Shanghai Composite Index opened high but fell before rebounding, with a noticeable lower shadow on the daily candlestick, signaling a potential short-term stabilization [4] - The index has undergone seven effective adjustment cycles recently, with two cycles remaining until a potential turning point, suggesting that the market may experience a small adjustment in the early session on Wednesday, followed by a rebound in the afternoon [4] ChiNext Index - The ChiNext Index has also seen ten effective adjustment cycles, reaching a turning point, with the morning session showing signs of stabilization and subsequent afternoon gains [7] - The daily candlestick indicates a long lower shadow, suggesting a clear stabilization signal, but a likely action to fill the lower shadow is expected on the following day [7]
10.28:4000点得而复失,周三A股能否重新收复四千点?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-28 08:50
Market Index Analysis - The major A-share indices in Shanghai and Shenzhen experienced a rise followed by a decline, with most stocks falling and low market sentiment observed. The index struggled to maintain the psychological level of 4000 points, raising questions about whether it can recover on Wednesday [1] Shanghai Composite Index - The Shanghai Composite Index showed a small real body with a long upper shadow and a short lower shadow, indicating significant upward pressure in the short term. The 4000-point level is a crucial psychological and integer barrier. As of yesterday, five effective cycles have been completed, marking a small turning point, suggesting a need to test the five-day moving average. The index is expected to slightly dip and then recover after testing this moving average [4] STAR 50 Index - The STAR 50 Index adjusted as expected, with the closing K-line indicating a low opening that filled the long lower shadow from the previous day, correcting technical flaws. The adjustment is considered normal as it coincides with the fifth effective cycle, which is a turning point. The five-day moving average is rising quickly, and the index is likely to stabilize and rebound on Wednesday. The K-line pattern released a stabilization signal, indicating that the short-term adjustment is nearly complete [7]
5.23:A股跳水,释放什么信号?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-23 11:22
Market Overview - The major A-share indices in Shanghai and Shenzhen experienced a decline, which was largely anticipated. Most stocks fell, with 20 hitting the daily limit down, indicating low market sentiment [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index showed a significant drop, forming a bearish candlestick pattern with a large body, suggesting a high probability of further adjustments in the coming week [3] Index Analysis - The Shanghai Composite Index's recent performance indicates a potential double top formation, with today's bearish candlestick breaking the neckline, confirming a phase of adjustment ahead [3] - The hourly chart reveals that the last two hours of trading saw a drop, breaking a significant double top formation, indicating a confirmed phase top [3] Sci-Tech 50 Index - The Sci-Tech 50 Index experienced a rebound during the day, reaching its target at the ten-day moving average before retreating, which is considered a normal market behavior [6] - The K-line for the Sci-Tech 50 Index showed a large body and long upper shadow, signaling an adjustment ahead [6] Trading Strategy - The current A-share market suggests that as long as there is no significant decline in the indices, structural opportunities for individual stocks will continue to emerge. However, a correct trend is essential to avoid prolonged losses [6] - The analysis of K-lines, patterns, and central structures can help accurately grasp price fluctuations. Breakouts followed by pullbacks serve as entry points for phased investments [6]
5.13:变盘节点,周二午后A股有望继续调整
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-13 05:38
Group 1 - The major indices of the A-share market are expected to adjust after a period of optimism following favorable news announcements [1][2] - The Shanghai Composite Index and the ChiNext Index are highlighted for analysis, with a focus on their recent performance and potential adjustments [2][6] - The Shanghai 50 Index shows signs of adjustment with a notable reduction in trading volume, indicating insufficient upward momentum [5][8] Group 2 - The ChiNext Index has experienced a relatively strong performance but lacks significant trading volume, suggesting limited upward momentum [8] - Both indices are at critical turning points, with the potential for further adjustments in the near term [5][8] - The current A-share market environment allows for structural opportunities in individual stocks, provided the overall trend remains stable [8]
5.6:周二午后,A股还有冲高
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-06 07:27
Market Overview - The major indices of the A-share market opened positively on Tuesday morning, with most stocks rising and high market sentiment observed [1] - The afternoon session saw further upward movement in the A-share market [1] Index Analysis Shanghai Composite Index - The Shanghai 50 Index opened high but then dipped, reaching a low point before rebounding. The K-line pattern indicates a less favorable outlook at closing, but it is considered normal for the index to rise today as it marks the fifth effective cycle of recent adjustments, indicating a potential turning point [5] - The first hour of trading showed a long lower shadow with a small body, suggesting apparent strength but underlying weakness in the index's performance. The second hour also saw a rebound after a dip, with two hours remaining until the turning point, suggesting further upward movement in the afternoon [5] ChiNext Index - The ChiNext Index opened high and continued to rise, leaving a significant gap in the daily K-line. However, there are technical flaws, and a previous large gap remains unfilled, indicating a likelihood of adjustment after the rise [7] - The 20-day moving average is still declining and has not yet flattened, which restricts the ChiNext Index's ability to sustain continuous upward movement [7] - The first hour of trading was the fifth effective cycle of upward movement, indicating a turning point is approaching, and caution is advised for potential pullbacks in the afternoon session [7] Conclusion - The current A-share market is expected to see ongoing structural trends as long as there are no significant declines in the major indices. Correct trend trading is essential to avoid prolonged losses and achieve stable segment profits [8] - Analyzing K-lines, patterns, and central structures can help accurately grasp price fluctuations. Breakouts followed by pullbacks serve as entry points for gradual investments [8]
5.5:周二,A股能否走出开门红?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-05 12:52
Market Index Analysis - The Shanghai Composite Index has completed eight effective upward cycles as of April, indicating that the ninth and tenth cycles are potential turning points for significant price movements [1][3] - The weekly analysis shows that the recent rebound followed four effective adjustment cycles, with the target being the five-week moving average, which has been reached [1][3] - The mid-term turning point for the market indices is expected to be after mid-June, with a likelihood of adjustments and a formation of a larger mid-term bottom [3][4] Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index - The Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index has also completed eight effective cycles, with June and July marking the ninth and tenth cycles, respectively, which are potential turning points [4] - The weekly analysis indicates that the recent rebound is a result of four weeks of effective adjustments, with three to four more cycles needed before reaching a turning point [4] - The index is expected to primarily adjust in the coming weeks, forming a stage bottom [4][6] Short-term Outlook - The short-term outlook for the Shanghai Composite Index suggests a high probability of a slight increase on Tuesday, potentially leading to a positive opening [6] - The current A-share market is characterized by structural trends in individual stocks, provided that there are no significant declines in the overall market [6]
3.24:探底回升之后,周二A股能否结束调整?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-03-24 09:47
Market Index Analysis - The Shanghai Composite Index showed a rebound after hitting a low, with a long lower shadow in the daily candlestick, indicating potential for a recovery [4] - The index is expected to experience a small fluctuation on Tuesday, likely filling the long lower shadow from Monday's trading [4] - The index is nearing the end of its adjustment phase, with significant support from the 60-day moving average [4] Technology Innovation 50 Index Analysis - The Technology Innovation 50 Index also rebounded after a decline, with increasing gaps and larger bearish candlestick bodies indicating accelerated downward movement [7] - The index is approaching a critical turning point, with a high probability of stabilization and recovery on Tuesday [7] - Despite concerns about a double top formation, the index remains in an upward trend due to the breakout of two major structures [7] General Market Sentiment - The current A-share market is characterized by structural opportunities for individual stocks as long as the overall market does not experience significant declines [8] - Successful trading requires adherence to trend trading principles to achieve stable profits, emphasizing the importance of analyzing candlestick patterns and structural formations [8]