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11.24:小幅度反弹后,周二A股震荡,为日线级别的反弹做铺垫
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-24 09:06
周一,沪深A股主要的大盘指数企稳回升,这是周末以及今天中午分析到的。盘面上看,绝大多数个股上涨,人气大幅度回升,但是仍有34家跌停,盘面 分化明显。小幅度反弹后,周二A股震荡,为日线级别的反弹做铺垫。 一、大盘指数分析 中午,重点分析了上证50指数和创业板指数,指出午后企稳回升。接下来,重点分析上证指数和科创50指数。 科创50指数,六十分钟级别的走势来看,最近一段下跌,到早盘第二个小时为止,走了十个有效的调整周期,到了变盘节点。今天早盘两个小时的K线, 又构成了企稳型K线,引发了午后的上涨。今天最后一个小时的K线,上影线比较长,释放了调整信号。从该级别走势来看,明天早盘科创50指数有调 整。 日线级别的走势来看,今天探底回升,日K线下影线比较长,释放了明显的企稳信号。但是,今天的下影线长,明天大概率有回补下影线的动作。周期面 来看,最近几个交易日的调整,到今天为止,走了三个有效的周期,明天是第四个有效周期,所以,周二和周三都是变盘节点,这两个交易日科创50指数 最有可能企稳回升。结合六十分钟级别走势来看,明天早盘调整之后,午后大概率有回升。 不荐股,只客观记录本人的分析,不作为买卖依据! 上证指数,今天高开 ...
10.28:4000点得而复失,周三A股能否重新收复四千点?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-28 08:50
Market Index Analysis - The major A-share indices in Shanghai and Shenzhen experienced a rise followed by a decline, with most stocks falling and low market sentiment observed. The index struggled to maintain the psychological level of 4000 points, raising questions about whether it can recover on Wednesday [1] Shanghai Composite Index - The Shanghai Composite Index showed a small real body with a long upper shadow and a short lower shadow, indicating significant upward pressure in the short term. The 4000-point level is a crucial psychological and integer barrier. As of yesterday, five effective cycles have been completed, marking a small turning point, suggesting a need to test the five-day moving average. The index is expected to slightly dip and then recover after testing this moving average [4] STAR 50 Index - The STAR 50 Index adjusted as expected, with the closing K-line indicating a low opening that filled the long lower shadow from the previous day, correcting technical flaws. The adjustment is considered normal as it coincides with the fifth effective cycle, which is a turning point. The five-day moving average is rising quickly, and the index is likely to stabilize and rebound on Wednesday. The K-line pattern released a stabilization signal, indicating that the short-term adjustment is nearly complete [7]
5.23:A股跳水,释放什么信号?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-23 11:22
Market Overview - The major A-share indices in Shanghai and Shenzhen experienced a decline, which was largely anticipated. Most stocks fell, with 20 hitting the daily limit down, indicating low market sentiment [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index showed a significant drop, forming a bearish candlestick pattern with a large body, suggesting a high probability of further adjustments in the coming week [3] Index Analysis - The Shanghai Composite Index's recent performance indicates a potential double top formation, with today's bearish candlestick breaking the neckline, confirming a phase of adjustment ahead [3] - The hourly chart reveals that the last two hours of trading saw a drop, breaking a significant double top formation, indicating a confirmed phase top [3] Sci-Tech 50 Index - The Sci-Tech 50 Index experienced a rebound during the day, reaching its target at the ten-day moving average before retreating, which is considered a normal market behavior [6] - The K-line for the Sci-Tech 50 Index showed a large body and long upper shadow, signaling an adjustment ahead [6] Trading Strategy - The current A-share market suggests that as long as there is no significant decline in the indices, structural opportunities for individual stocks will continue to emerge. However, a correct trend is essential to avoid prolonged losses [6] - The analysis of K-lines, patterns, and central structures can help accurately grasp price fluctuations. Breakouts followed by pullbacks serve as entry points for phased investments [6]
5.13:变盘节点,周二午后A股有望继续调整
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-13 05:38
Group 1 - The major indices of the A-share market are expected to adjust after a period of optimism following favorable news announcements [1][2] - The Shanghai Composite Index and the ChiNext Index are highlighted for analysis, with a focus on their recent performance and potential adjustments [2][6] - The Shanghai 50 Index shows signs of adjustment with a notable reduction in trading volume, indicating insufficient upward momentum [5][8] Group 2 - The ChiNext Index has experienced a relatively strong performance but lacks significant trading volume, suggesting limited upward momentum [8] - Both indices are at critical turning points, with the potential for further adjustments in the near term [5][8] - The current A-share market environment allows for structural opportunities in individual stocks, provided the overall trend remains stable [8]
5.6:周二午后,A股还有冲高
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-06 07:27
Market Overview - The major indices of the A-share market opened positively on Tuesday morning, with most stocks rising and high market sentiment observed [1] - The afternoon session saw further upward movement in the A-share market [1] Index Analysis Shanghai Composite Index - The Shanghai 50 Index opened high but then dipped, reaching a low point before rebounding. The K-line pattern indicates a less favorable outlook at closing, but it is considered normal for the index to rise today as it marks the fifth effective cycle of recent adjustments, indicating a potential turning point [5] - The first hour of trading showed a long lower shadow with a small body, suggesting apparent strength but underlying weakness in the index's performance. The second hour also saw a rebound after a dip, with two hours remaining until the turning point, suggesting further upward movement in the afternoon [5] ChiNext Index - The ChiNext Index opened high and continued to rise, leaving a significant gap in the daily K-line. However, there are technical flaws, and a previous large gap remains unfilled, indicating a likelihood of adjustment after the rise [7] - The 20-day moving average is still declining and has not yet flattened, which restricts the ChiNext Index's ability to sustain continuous upward movement [7] - The first hour of trading was the fifth effective cycle of upward movement, indicating a turning point is approaching, and caution is advised for potential pullbacks in the afternoon session [7] Conclusion - The current A-share market is expected to see ongoing structural trends as long as there are no significant declines in the major indices. Correct trend trading is essential to avoid prolonged losses and achieve stable segment profits [8] - Analyzing K-lines, patterns, and central structures can help accurately grasp price fluctuations. Breakouts followed by pullbacks serve as entry points for gradual investments [8]
5.5:周二,A股能否走出开门红?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-05 12:52
Market Index Analysis - The Shanghai Composite Index has completed eight effective upward cycles as of April, indicating that the ninth and tenth cycles are potential turning points for significant price movements [1][3] - The weekly analysis shows that the recent rebound followed four effective adjustment cycles, with the target being the five-week moving average, which has been reached [1][3] - The mid-term turning point for the market indices is expected to be after mid-June, with a likelihood of adjustments and a formation of a larger mid-term bottom [3][4] Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index - The Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index has also completed eight effective cycles, with June and July marking the ninth and tenth cycles, respectively, which are potential turning points [4] - The weekly analysis indicates that the recent rebound is a result of four weeks of effective adjustments, with three to four more cycles needed before reaching a turning point [4] - The index is expected to primarily adjust in the coming weeks, forming a stage bottom [4][6] Short-term Outlook - The short-term outlook for the Shanghai Composite Index suggests a high probability of a slight increase on Tuesday, potentially leading to a positive opening [6] - The current A-share market is characterized by structural trends in individual stocks, provided that there are no significant declines in the overall market [6]
3.24:探底回升之后,周二A股能否结束调整?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-03-24 09:47
Market Index Analysis - The Shanghai Composite Index showed a rebound after hitting a low, with a long lower shadow in the daily candlestick, indicating potential for a recovery [4] - The index is expected to experience a small fluctuation on Tuesday, likely filling the long lower shadow from Monday's trading [4] - The index is nearing the end of its adjustment phase, with significant support from the 60-day moving average [4] Technology Innovation 50 Index Analysis - The Technology Innovation 50 Index also rebounded after a decline, with increasing gaps and larger bearish candlestick bodies indicating accelerated downward movement [7] - The index is approaching a critical turning point, with a high probability of stabilization and recovery on Tuesday [7] - Despite concerns about a double top formation, the index remains in an upward trend due to the breakout of two major structures [7] General Market Sentiment - The current A-share market is characterized by structural opportunities for individual stocks as long as the overall market does not experience significant declines [8] - Successful trading requires adherence to trend trading principles to achieve stable profits, emphasizing the importance of analyzing candlestick patterns and structural formations [8]