Market Overview - The major A-share indices in Shanghai and Shenzhen experienced a decline, which was largely anticipated. Most stocks fell, with 20 hitting the daily limit down, indicating low market sentiment [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index showed a significant drop, forming a bearish candlestick pattern with a large body, suggesting a high probability of further adjustments in the coming week [3] Index Analysis - The Shanghai Composite Index's recent performance indicates a potential double top formation, with today's bearish candlestick breaking the neckline, confirming a phase of adjustment ahead [3] - The hourly chart reveals that the last two hours of trading saw a drop, breaking a significant double top formation, indicating a confirmed phase top [3] Sci-Tech 50 Index - The Sci-Tech 50 Index experienced a rebound during the day, reaching its target at the ten-day moving average before retreating, which is considered a normal market behavior [6] - The K-line for the Sci-Tech 50 Index showed a large body and long upper shadow, signaling an adjustment ahead [6] Trading Strategy - The current A-share market suggests that as long as there is no significant decline in the indices, structural opportunities for individual stocks will continue to emerge. However, a correct trend is essential to avoid prolonged losses [6] - The analysis of K-lines, patterns, and central structures can help accurately grasp price fluctuations. Breakouts followed by pullbacks serve as entry points for phased investments [6]

Group 1 - The major indices of the A-share market are expected to adjust after a period of optimism following favorable news announcements [1][2] - The Shanghai Composite Index and the ChiNext Index are highlighted for analysis, with a focus on their recent performance and potential adjustments [2][6] - The Shanghai 50 Index shows signs of adjustment with a notable reduction in trading volume, indicating insufficient upward momentum [5][8] Group 2 - The ChiNext Index has experienced a relatively strong performance but lacks significant trading volume, suggesting limited upward momentum [8] - Both indices are at critical turning points, with the potential for further adjustments in the near term [5][8] - The current A-share market environment allows for structural opportunities in individual stocks, provided the overall trend remains stable [8]

Market Overview - The major indices of the A-share market opened positively on Tuesday morning, with most stocks rising and high market sentiment observed [1] - The afternoon session saw further upward movement in the A-share market [1] Index Analysis Shanghai Composite Index - The Shanghai 50 Index opened high but then dipped, reaching a low point before rebounding. The K-line pattern indicates a less favorable outlook at closing, but it is considered normal for the index to rise today as it marks the fifth effective cycle of recent adjustments, indicating a potential turning point [5] - The first hour of trading showed a long lower shadow with a small body, suggesting apparent strength but underlying weakness in the index's performance. The second hour also saw a rebound after a dip, with two hours remaining until the turning point, suggesting further upward movement in the afternoon [5] ChiNext Index - The ChiNext Index opened high and continued to rise, leaving a significant gap in the daily K-line. However, there are technical flaws, and a previous large gap remains unfilled, indicating a likelihood of adjustment after the rise [7] - The 20-day moving average is still declining and has not yet flattened, which restricts the ChiNext Index's ability to sustain continuous upward movement [7] - The first hour of trading was the fifth effective cycle of upward movement, indicating a turning point is approaching, and caution is advised for potential pullbacks in the afternoon session [7] Conclusion - The current A-share market is expected to see ongoing structural trends as long as there are no significant declines in the major indices. Correct trend trading is essential to avoid prolonged losses and achieve stable segment profits [8] - Analyzing K-lines, patterns, and central structures can help accurately grasp price fluctuations. Breakouts followed by pullbacks serve as entry points for gradual investments [8]

Market Index Analysis - The Shanghai Composite Index has completed eight effective upward cycles as of April, indicating that the ninth and tenth cycles are potential turning points for significant price movements [1][3] - The weekly analysis shows that the recent rebound followed four effective adjustment cycles, with the target being the five-week moving average, which has been reached [1][3] - The mid-term turning point for the market indices is expected to be after mid-June, with a likelihood of adjustments and a formation of a larger mid-term bottom [3][4] Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index - The Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index has also completed eight effective cycles, with June and July marking the ninth and tenth cycles, respectively, which are potential turning points [4] - The weekly analysis indicates that the recent rebound is a result of four weeks of effective adjustments, with three to four more cycles needed before reaching a turning point [4] - The index is expected to primarily adjust in the coming weeks, forming a stage bottom [4][6] Short-term Outlook - The short-term outlook for the Shanghai Composite Index suggests a high probability of a slight increase on Tuesday, potentially leading to a positive opening [6] - The current A-share market is characterized by structural trends in individual stocks, provided that there are no significant declines in the overall market [6]

3.24：探底回升之后，周二A股能否结束调整？ 周一，沪深A股主要的大盘指数探底回升，小幅度上涨。盘面上看，多数个股下跌，跌停47家，人气比较低迷。探底回升之后，周二A股能否结束调整？ 一、大盘指数分析 首先，今天大盘指数震荡幅度比较大，日K线下影线比较长，周二大盘指数大概率有回补下影线的动作。其次，今天的低点，距离六十日均线已经很近了。 结合周线和月线两个级别的走势来看，大盘指数距离调整结束也很近了。同时，日线级别还存在一大一小两个中枢结构，并且已经突破，这意味着大盘指数 处在上涨趋势。第三，六十分钟级别的走势来看，走了九个有效周期之后，直接变盘，引发了最后一个小时的反弹。但是，反弹的目标不大，在该几笔的十 单位均线附近。所以，综合来看，周二大盘指数大概率小幅度震荡，回补今天的长下影线。周三，大盘指数变盘的概率非常大。 再来看科创50指数。 科创50指数，今天探底回升。从最近几个交易日的走势来看，过去三个交易日，缺口越来越大，阴线实体也是越来越大，释放了指数加速下跌的信号。通常 情况下，距离反弹更近了。周期面来看，有效调周期到了4，明天就是第五个有效周期，是变盘节点，所以，周二科创50指数企稳回升的概率比较 ...