近年来，A股投资者对于大盘股的热情持续升温。因业绩稳定性和市场表现韧性更强，预计大盘股仍将 受到资金的青睐，这也是价值投资市场的重要特点。 投资者对大盘股喜爱程度远超以往，是市场环境与投资者认知共同作用的结果。过去，小盘股凭借其高 波动性和潜在的高收益，吸引了不少追求短期暴利的投资者。然而，随着A股市场不断成熟，投资者逐 渐认识到小盘股的高风险性。小盘股业绩波动大，受行业周期、政策变化等因素影响明显，股价容易出 现"过山车"走势，投资者难以把握。 相比之下，大盘股多为行业龙头，在市场中占据主导地位，拥有稳定的客户群体和市场份额。其业绩表 现相对稳定，能够为投资者提供较为稳定且具有吸引力的分红回报，而价值投资者也最看重上市公司对 股东的回报。 大盘股股价较强的市场韧性也是吸引资金的重要因素。在经济形势向好时，大盘股凭借其规模优势和强 大的竞争力，能够充分享受行业增长带来的红利，业绩稳步提升，推动股价上涨。而在股市进入调整行 情时，大盘股的抗风险能力凸显，股价下跌幅度相对较小，且更容易率先企稳回升。这种在市场涨跌中 的稳健表现，让投资者看到了大盘股的长期投资价值，从而吸引资金持续流入。 从价值投资的角度来看，大盘 ...

Core Insights - Small-cap stocks, represented by the Russell 2000 index, are experiencing a resurgence in 2025, but they are unlikely to catch up with the S&P 500 index, which has historically outperformed them [1][2] - The Russell 2000 index has risen approximately 10% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 has increased over 13% during the same period [1] - Despite a recent rally, small-cap stocks have not outperformed large-cap stocks in a calendar year since 2020, when the Russell 2000 rose 18.4% compared to the S&P 500's 16.3% [1] Performance Analysis - The current bull market has significantly favored large-cap stocks, with the S&P 500 continuously setting new records since early 2024 [2] - Small-cap stocks are benefiting from a favorable economic environment characterized by lower interest rates and robust economic growth, but their recent performance is driven more by optimism than by solid earnings [2][5] Earnings and Valuation - A significant portion of the Russell 2000 consists of companies with poor or no earnings records, with 43% of its constituents not reporting positive earnings [3] - Stocks without reliable earnings in the Russell 2000 have surged by 55% year-to-date, while profitable stocks have only increased by 8% [3] - Analysts expect small-cap stocks to achieve stronger earnings growth in 2025, with an estimated EPS growth of 26.5% for the Russell 2000 compared to 10.3% for the Russell 1000 [5] Market Dynamics - The rebound in small-cap stocks is largely attributed to expectations of improved earnings driven by lower interest rates, which allow these companies to refinance more easily [5][6] - The trend of private equity and venture capital keeping high-growth potential companies private has contributed to the underperformance of small-cap stocks over the past decade [6] - Recent regulatory changes allowing ordinary investors to invest in private equity may further impact the availability and performance of small-cap stocks [6] Investor Sentiment - Despite challenges, long-term investors focused on small-cap stocks remain optimistic, viewing them as a sustainable asset class [7] - There is a trend of financially sound small-cap companies acquiring their portfolios from private equity, providing liquidity to these firms [7]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the performance of large-cap stocks in the A-share market is significantly stronger than that of small-cap stocks, leading to a situation where some investors feel they are only earning from the index without actual profits [1][2] - Large-cap stocks are seen as industry leaders with competitive advantages in areas such as procurement, cost control, and market expansion, which allows them to withstand risks and maintain stable performance [1][2] - The market is evolving towards a greater recognition of the value of large-cap stocks, driven by a shift in investor focus towards fundamental analysis and long-term value [2][3] Group 2 - The increasing maturity of the A-share market is reflected in the growing interest in large-cap stocks, which provide stable cash flows and lower volatility, aligning with long-term investment strategies [2] - Institutional investors are becoming more prominent, favoring large-cap stocks due to their stability and ability to meet investment needs, which is a trend expected to continue [2] - The active performance of large-cap stocks compared to small-cap stocks signals a transition towards a more mature and rational market environment [3]