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金徽酒(603919):毛销差维持改善,战略深耕大西北
Soochow Securities· 2025-10-25 14:35
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the gross sales margin continues to improve, and the company is strategically deepening its presence in the Northwest region of China [7] - The company has shown resilience in its sales rhythm despite the overall adjustment in the liquor industry, with a focus on national layout and breakthroughs in key markets [7] - The report maintains profit forecasts for 2025-2027, with net profits projected at 3.77 billion, 4.17 billion, and 4.65 billion RMB respectively, corresponding to current P/E ratios of 26.6, 24.1, and 21.6 [7] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported total revenue of 2.306 billion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 0.97%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 324 million RMB, down 2.78% year-on-year [7] - The sales revenue for Q3 2025 was 546 million RMB, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 4.89%, with net profit attributable to shareholders at 25 million RMB, down 33.02% year-on-year [7] - The proportion of products priced above 300 RMB has increased by 3.37 percentage points to 24.18%, indicating a shift towards higher-end products [7] - The sales gross margin for Q3 2025 improved by 0.31 percentage points to 61.44%, driven by an upgrade in product structure [7] - The company’s cash flow from operating activities for 2024 is projected at 558 million RMB, with a net increase in cash of -177 million RMB [8]
金徽酒(603919):2025年中报点评:升级韧性延续,回款节奏稳健
Soochow Securities· 2025-08-26 02:58
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the company's revenue and profit growth are expected to remain resilient, with a steady cash collection rhythm [7] - The company is focusing on strengthening its market presence in Northwest China while also expanding into Eastern and Northern markets for future growth [7] - The financial forecasts for the company indicate a slight decrease in net profit for 2025, but a positive outlook for subsequent years [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 2,548 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 26.64% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2023 is estimated at 328.86 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 17.35% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 is expected to be 0.65 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 32.24 [1] - The company anticipates total revenue of 3,027 million yuan for 2025, with a marginal year-on-year growth of 0.19% [1] - The net profit for 2025 is forecasted to be 377.15 million yuan, representing a decrease of 2.83% compared to 2024 [1] - The projected EPS for 2025 is 0.74 yuan, with a P/E ratio of 28.11 [1]