Workflow
天然碱法工艺成本优势
icon
Search documents
博源化工(000683):拟收购银根矿业股权,巩固纯碱龙头地位:博源化工(000683):2025年三季报点评
Huachuang Securities· 2025-11-21 10:14
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expectation to outperform the benchmark index by over 20% in the next six months [2][17]. Core Insights - The company plans to acquire a 10.6464% stake in Yingen Mining, which will solidify its leading position in the soda ash market. Post-acquisition, the company will hold a 70.6464% stake in Yingen Mining, enhancing its production capabilities in soda ash and sodium bicarbonate [2][7]. - The report forecasts a decline in total revenue for 2025, with a projected revenue of 12,260 million yuan, down 7.6% year-on-year, followed by a recovery in 2026 with a 25.2% increase [2][8]. - The company's net profit is expected to decrease to 1,468 million yuan in 2025, a decline of 18.9% year-on-year, before rebounding to 2,218 million yuan in 2026 [2][8]. - The report highlights the impact of low demand in the domestic soda ash market, particularly due to sluggish demand from the photovoltaic glass and flat glass sectors, leading to a significant drop in product prices [2][7]. Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: 2024A: 13,264 million yuan, 2025E: 12,260 million yuan, 2026E: 15,354 million yuan, and 2027E: 16,260 million yuan [2][8]. - The expected net profit figures are: 2024A: 1,811 million yuan, 2025E: 1,468 million yuan, 2026E: 2,218 million yuan, and 2027E: 2,688 million yuan [2][8]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.49 yuan in 2024, decreasing to 0.39 yuan in 2025, and then increasing to 0.60 yuan in 2026 and 0.72 yuan in 2027 [2][8]. - The company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to be 15 in 2024, increasing to 18 in 2025, and then decreasing to 12 in 2026 and 10 in 2027 [2][8].