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高手打的是明牌
3 6 Ke· 2025-07-04 06:56
Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of "playing with a clear hand" in investment, suggesting that successful projects are often obtained through transparent and market-driven methods rather than relying on personal connections [1][3][4] - It discusses the current trend in AI investments, highlighting that investing in established companies like Nvidia may be more reliable than betting on startups [5][6] - The concept of "playing with a clear hand" is defined as making decisions based on common sense, transparency, and straightforwardness, which leads to higher success probabilities [9][11] Group 2 - The article outlines several reasons why experienced investors prefer "playing with a clear hand," including a belief in probability over luck, the importance of replicable strategies, and the value of time [12][13][18] - It notes that while "dark cards" (hidden strategies) may yield occasional success, they are difficult to replicate and sustain over time [15][16] - The article also highlights that the pressure to conform to conventional wisdom can deter individuals from making straightforward investment choices, as they may seek to prove their uniqueness [19][24][26] Group 3 - The article concludes with a philosophical perspective on "playing with a clear hand," suggesting that it represents a return to simplicity and common sense in both investment and daily life [30][33][38] - It posits that the most successful individuals often embrace basic principles and consistent efforts, leading to long-term benefits [32][36] - The narrative encourages individuals to recognize the value of straightforward approaches, which can lead to extraordinary outcomes despite their simplicity [31][35][39]
用AI两年半,我常用到的12个思维模型
Hu Xiu· 2025-06-16 06:40
Core Insights - The article discusses the transformative impact of AI, particularly ChatGPT, on business and entrepreneurship, highlighting the importance of strategic thinking and problem-solving models in leveraging AI for growth [2][4][70]. Group 1: Discovering Problems - Many AI experiments fail not due to technical limitations but because of incorrect problem identification [8]. - The Johari Window model helps in understanding boundaries and expectations, revealing opportunities in the "AI doesn't know" quadrant [9][10]. - Emphasizing the need to respect the "I don't know" quadrant to avoid repeated investments based on false assumptions [12]. Group 2: Problem Decomposition - The Pyramid Principle and MECE framework are essential for structured problem decomposition, ensuring clarity and comprehensive coverage [28][30]. - The principle of Occam's Razor suggests prioritizing the simplest solution to avoid over-engineering [34][36]. - First Principles thinking encourages breaking down problems to their core elements for innovative solutions [39][41]. Group 3: Validation and Iteration - The MVP (Minimum Viable Product) approach advocates for quickly launching prototypes to gather user feedback and iterate based on data [49][51]. - Iterative thinking involves a cycle of prompt, output, review, and refinement to achieve optimal results [54][56]. - ROI (Return on Investment) awareness is crucial for understanding costs and benefits, emphasizing the importance of time and opportunity costs in decision-making [64][66].