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乔布斯:从被逐到王者归来,创业投资的不朽启示
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-16 12:06
Core Insights - Steve Jobs' journey exemplifies resilience and vision in the face of adversity, transforming setbacks into opportunities for innovation and growth [2][3][5] Group 1: Early Career and Setbacks - In 1985, Steve Jobs was ousted from Apple, marking a significant setback in his career, which he later transformed into a chance for reinvention [2] - Jobs recruited John Sculley from PepsiCo with a compelling vision, but internal conflicts led to his removal from Apple [2][3] Group 2: Second Ventures - After leaving Apple, Jobs invested millions in Pixar and NeXT, despite initial failures, demonstrating a long-term investment strategy focused on future value [3][4] - Pixar's success with "Toy Story," which grossed $373 million, marked a turning point for both the company and the animation industry [3] Group 3: Return to Apple - Upon returning to Apple in 1997, Jobs implemented the Pareto principle, cutting 70% of the product line to focus on core offerings, leading to a profitable turnaround [4] - The launch of the iMac in 1998 sold 800,000 units in five months, contributing to Apple's profitability of $309 million that year [4] Group 4: Innovation and Growth - Under Jobs' leadership, Apple introduced groundbreaking products like the iPod, iPhone, and iPad, significantly increasing its market value to $350 billion by 2010 [4] - By the time of Jobs' passing in 2011, Apple's market capitalization reached $2.9 trillion, solidifying its status as the most valuable company in history [5] Group 5: Lessons for Entrepreneurs and Investors - Entrepreneurs should maintain unwavering belief in their vision and prioritize innovation to meet evolving consumer demands [5][6] - Investors are encouraged to adopt a long-term perspective, recognizing potential in emerging sectors and diversifying investments to mitigate risks [5]
1-8月百强房企销售额近半来自前十名保利发展仍“霸榜”
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-01 21:02
Group 1 - In the first eight months of this year, five real estate companies among the top 100 achieved sales exceeding 100 billion yuan, with Poly Developments leading the industry [1][2] - The total sales of the top 100 real estate companies reached 23,270.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 13.3%, with the top ten companies accounting for 49% of the total sales [1][3] - The top five companies by total sales according to the China Index Academy are Poly Developments (181.2 billion yuan), Greentown China (156.3 billion yuan), China Overseas Land & Investment (150.3 billion yuan), China Resources Land (142.5 billion yuan), and China Merchants Shekou (124.05 billion yuan) [1][2] Group 2 - The top five companies by equity sales, which are considered to have more "gold content," are Poly Developments (142.8 billion yuan), China Overseas Land & Investment (138.28 billion yuan), China Resources Land (91.57 billion yuan), China Merchants Shekou (84.3 billion yuan), and Vanke (63.9 billion yuan) [2] - Only five companies, including Poly Developments, Greentown China, and China Overseas Land & Investment, achieved sales exceeding 100 billion yuan in the first eight months [2][3] - The average sales of the top ten companies decreased by 12.1% year-on-year, with the average sales amounting to 114.5 billion yuan [4] Group 3 - New entrants in the top 20 include Guomao Real Estate, which replaced Nengjian Chengfa, with a sales figure of 25.41 billion yuan [3] - The top 10 companies' sales figures indicate a growing concentration of sales among leading firms, highlighting the "80/20 rule" where nearly half of the total sales come from the top 10 companies [3][4] - Two companies from the China State Construction Engineering Corporation entered the top 20, namely China State Construction One and China State Construction East, with sales of 36.33 billion yuan and 35.76 billion yuan, respectively [4]
1-8月百强房企销售额近半来自前十名 保利发展仍“霸榜”
Bei Ke Cai Jing· 2025-09-01 14:41
Core Viewpoint - In the first eight months of this year, the top 100 real estate companies in China saw a total sales revenue of 23,270.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 13.3%, with only five companies surpassing 100 billion yuan in sales, led by Poly Developments at 1,812 billion yuan [1][21]. Group 1: Sales Performance - Poly Developments ranked first in total sales with 1,812 billion yuan, followed by Greentown China (1,563 billion yuan), China Overseas Land & Investment (1,503 billion yuan), China Resources Land (1,425 billion yuan), and China Merchants Shekou (1,240.5 billion yuan) [8][9]. - The top ten companies accounted for 49% of the total sales of the top 100 real estate companies, indicating a concentration of sales among leading firms [18]. - The average sales revenue for the top ten companies was 1,145 billion yuan, down 12.1% year-on-year [21]. Group 2: Market Trends - The "Golden September and Silver October" traditional sales peak season is expected to boost sales for real estate companies [1]. - The introduction of policies such as "recognizing houses but not loans" and lowering down payment ratios in major cities is anticipated to stimulate market demand [22]. - The sales performance of the top 20 companies saw the entry of a new player, Guomao Real Estate, which replaced Nengjian Chengfa, with a sales figure of 254.1 billion yuan [19]. Group 3: Comparative Analysis - The differences in rankings between the two research institutions, China Index Academy and CRIC Research Center, stem from varying statistical criteria, particularly regarding the inclusion of agency construction amounts [10]. - The equity sales rankings show similar top performers, with Poly Developments leading at 1,428 billion yuan, followed by China Overseas Land & Investment (1,382.8 billion yuan) and China Resources Land (979.1 billion yuan) [11][14].
用AI两年半,我常用到的12个思维模型
Hu Xiu· 2025-06-16 06:40
Core Insights - The article discusses the transformative impact of AI, particularly ChatGPT, on business and entrepreneurship, highlighting the importance of strategic thinking and problem-solving models in leveraging AI for growth [2][4][70]. Group 1: Discovering Problems - Many AI experiments fail not due to technical limitations but because of incorrect problem identification [8]. - The Johari Window model helps in understanding boundaries and expectations, revealing opportunities in the "AI doesn't know" quadrant [9][10]. - Emphasizing the need to respect the "I don't know" quadrant to avoid repeated investments based on false assumptions [12]. Group 2: Problem Decomposition - The Pyramid Principle and MECE framework are essential for structured problem decomposition, ensuring clarity and comprehensive coverage [28][30]. - The principle of Occam's Razor suggests prioritizing the simplest solution to avoid over-engineering [34][36]. - First Principles thinking encourages breaking down problems to their core elements for innovative solutions [39][41]. Group 3: Validation and Iteration - The MVP (Minimum Viable Product) approach advocates for quickly launching prototypes to gather user feedback and iterate based on data [49][51]. - Iterative thinking involves a cycle of prompt, output, review, and refinement to achieve optimal results [54][56]. - ROI (Return on Investment) awareness is crucial for understanding costs and benefits, emphasizing the importance of time and opportunity costs in decision-making [64][66].
教育部严管下,独立老师涨价 30%:是谁在推高 “地下补课” 成本?
3 6 Ke· 2025-06-11 03:41
Core Viewpoint - The independent tutoring industry has emerged as a lucrative opportunity for many educators following the "double reduction" policy, but it faces significant challenges regarding recognition, regulation, and sustainability [2][5][21]. Group 1: Industry Overview - The independent tutoring sector has gained traction as many former educators transitioned to one-on-one tutoring after the "double reduction" policy led to the closure of numerous tutoring institutions [2][19]. - Independent tutors operate outside formal institutions, relying on personal networks and word-of-mouth for student recruitment, which has allowed them to capture a significant share of the tutoring market [2][19]. - The industry is characterized by a "80/20 rule," where 20% of the top tutors earn 80% of the income, while the majority struggle to maintain a stable income [2][28]. Group 2: Regulatory Environment - The Ministry of Education's recent regulations prohibit any individual or organization from operating tutoring institutions outside of schools, further complicating the landscape for independent tutors [2][21]. - The enforcement of these regulations has led to a climate of fear among independent tutors, who must navigate the risks of being reported for illegal tutoring activities [3][24]. Group 3: Income and Challenges - Many independent tutors report high monthly incomes, with some earning over 50,000 yuan during peak seasons, but they often lack job security and benefits [8][14]. - The income of independent tutors is heavily dependent on their ability to attract and retain students, which can fluctuate based on market demand and regulatory scrutiny [28][30]. - The lack of formal recognition and the stigma associated with being an independent tutor contribute to feelings of insecurity and a lack of professional respect within the education community [3][5][18]. Group 4: Personal Experiences - Individual stories highlight the struggles and successes of independent tutors, with many expressing a desire for greater recognition and stability in their profession [10][36]. - Despite the challenges, many tutors remain committed to their roles, citing the flexibility and potential for high earnings as key reasons for staying in the industry [42][44].
Qwen&清华团队颠覆常识:大模型强化学习仅用20%关键token,比用全部token训练还好
量子位· 2025-06-05 10:28
Core Insights - The article discusses a recent breakthrough by the LeapLab team from Tsinghua University, revealing that only 20% of high-entropy tokens can significantly enhance the training effectiveness of large models in reinforcement learning, outperforming the use of all tokens [1][6]. Group 1: Research Findings - The team achieved new state-of-the-art (SOTA) records with the Qwen3-32B model, scoring 63.5 in AIME'24 and 56.7 in AIME'25, marking the highest scores for models with fewer than 600 billion parameters trained directly from the base model [2]. - The maximum response length was extended from 20k to 29k, resulting in a score increase to 68.1 in AIME'24 [4]. - The research challenges the classic Pareto principle, indicating that in large model reinforcement learning, 80% of low-entropy tokens can be discarded without detrimental effects, and may even have adverse impacts [5][6]. Group 2: Token Analysis - The study reveals a unique entropy distribution pattern during chain-of-thought reasoning, where over 50% of tokens have an entropy value below 0.01, while only 20% exceed 0.672 [9][10]. - High-entropy tokens serve as "logical connectors" in reasoning, while low-entropy tokens are often deterministic components, such as affixes or mathematical expressions [11]. - The team conducted experiments showing that increasing the temperature of high-entropy tokens improves reasoning performance, while lowering it decreases performance, underscoring the importance of maintaining high entropy in critical positions [13]. Group 3: Training Methodology - By focusing solely on the top 20% of high-entropy tokens during reinforcement learning training, the Qwen3-32B model saw significant performance improvements, with AIME'24 scores increasing by 7.71 points and AIME'25 by 11.04 points, alongside an average response length increase of approximately 1378 tokens [15][17]. - Similar performance enhancements were observed in the Qwen3-14B model, while the Qwen3-8B model maintained stable performance [16]. - Conversely, training with 80% low-entropy tokens led to a sharp decline in model performance, indicating their minimal contribution to reasoning capabilities [18]. Group 4: Implications and Generalization - The findings suggest that high-entropy tokens facilitate exploration of different reasoning paths, while low-entropy tokens may restrict this exploration due to their determinism [20]. - The advantages of training with high-entropy tokens become more pronounced with larger models, with the 32B model showing the most significant improvements [22]. - Models trained with high-entropy tokens also performed exceptionally well on out-of-domain tasks, indicating a potential link between high-entropy tokens and the model's generalization capabilities [22]. Group 5: Reinforcement Learning Insights - The research indicates that reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards (RLVR) does not completely overhaul the base model but rather fine-tunes it, maintaining a high overlap of 86.67% in high-entropy token positions even after extensive training [24][25]. - The study highlights that higher initial entropy in tokens correlates with greater increases in entropy during RLVR training, while low-entropy tokens remain largely unchanged [25]. - Discussions raised in the article suggest that high-entropy tokens may explain why reinforcement learning can generalize better than supervised fine-tuning, which tends to lead to memorization and overfitting [26][27].
连续40年增长,英国“餐饮界蜜雪冰城”凭什么?
FBIF食品饮料创新· 2025-04-27 00:55
以下文章来源于联商网 ,作者联商网编辑部 联商网 . 中国零售门户网站联商网订阅号,聚焦零售行业,全面提供购物中心、快消、电商、时尚品牌等第一手 热点资讯,深度观察、数据分析等。 如今,红底白字的蜜雪冰城在中国高歌猛进,遍布各大城市的大街小巷;而在世界的另一端,蓝底白 字的GREGGS广泛分布于英国主要城镇。它们最大的共同点在于:同为本土"最亲民"的餐饮品牌。 在英国餐饮业普遍承压的背景下,GREGGS却逆势上扬。 数据显示,该公司2024年销售额达20亿 英镑(约合人民币188亿),店铺数量突破2600家,远超身后的麦当劳(1456家)和星巴克(1381家)。 值得一提的是,GREGGS的消费者满意度指数是行业平均水平的6倍左右,稳坐英国"最受欢迎餐饮 品牌"位置。 图片来源:小红书@一枚学术猿_爱雨木木 图片来源:公众号@联商网 为什么一家看似平平无奇的烘焙店能俘获人心?为什么它既没有星巴克的高端咖啡文化,也没有麦当 劳的全球化标准,却能成为英国餐饮界的国民品牌? 从街边小店到全英连锁 在英国,提到GREGGS,几乎无人不晓。 它不仅是连锁烘焙店,更成为一种文化象征。《卫报》记者乔尔·戈尔比(Joel G ...