存量与增量并重
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中央经济工作会议解读:2026:“苦练内功”
Guotou Securities· 2025-12-11 14:02
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report emphasizes the need for a balanced approach to economic policy, focusing on both existing and new growth drivers rather than solely pursuing rapid growth through expansive measures [1][6] - The report highlights the importance of addressing risks in key areas such as real estate, local government debt, and finance, indicating that progress has been made in mitigating these risks [1][6] - The capital market's focus has shifted from stabilizing the real estate and stock markets to deepening comprehensive reforms in capital market investment and financing [1][6] Group 2 - Fiscal policy is transitioning from increasing deficits and spending to maintaining necessary deficits and focusing on effective implementation, with an emphasis on optimizing fiscal expenditure structure [7][8] - Monetary policy will continue to be moderately accommodative, with a focus on promoting stable economic growth and reasonable price recovery as core KPIs [9][10] - The report stresses the need to enhance domestic demand by optimizing consumption and stabilizing investment, with specific actions to boost consumer spending and improve investment conditions [10][11] Group 3 - The technology sector remains a priority, with a focus on fostering innovation and emphasizing the "Artificial Intelligence +" initiative as a key area for development [12][13] - The report identifies the need to address "involution" competition through reforms, indicating that tackling this issue will be a policy focus in 2026 [13][14] - Risk mitigation strategies are shifting from prevention to active resolution, particularly in the real estate and local government debt sectors, indicating a more proactive approach to managing these risks [16][17]