随着日本众议院选举尘埃落定，高市早苗所领导的自民党凭借超过三分之二的议席优势，获得了单方面 推动立法程序的主动权。选举前后，高市早苗多次在修改宪法及修订"安保三文件"等议题上发表激进言 论。 对此，中方的回应中，有一句话，值得注意： 本次选举反映一些深层次、结构性的问题以及思潮、动向、趋势，值得日本各界有识之士和国际社会深 思。殷鉴不远，不可不察。 选举是日本的国内事务，在过往的回应中，中方很少给出直接评价。这一次罕见的评价，是极其严厉的 预警： 在未来一段时间，日本政策将不只是简单的国内政治问题，更可能对中国乃至整个世界产生潜在影响。 一个细节是，选举期间，政策辩论时，本应被充分讨论的"修宪"与"安保三文件"等核心安全问题，都在 高市的强势主导下被刻意简化、略过。 正是在这样的背景下，中方不仅提出预警，还明确表示将密切关注相关动向，并对日保持高压态势。 南开大学日本研究院专家丁诺舟告诉谭主，高市早苗的安全政策是一套环环相扣的"战争策源"路径图。 第一层，是"实"的层面，这主要体现在对"安保三文件"的渐进式蚕食： 将防卫费提升至GDP的2%、研发进攻性导弹、放宽杀伤性武器出口。 这样的手法目的很明确：在具体装 ...

2026.02. 10 本文字数：1773，阅读时长大约3分钟 作者 | 第一财经 潘寅茹 日本众议院选举落幕，高市早苗所在的自民党获得316个议席，日本维新会获得36个议席。在野党 方面，由立宪民主党和公明党共同组建的新党"中道改革联合"获得49个议席，国民民主党获得28个 议席，参政党获得15个议席，新兴政党"未来团队"获得11个议席，日本共产党获得4个议席。自民 党单独获得了超过三分之二议席，在战后日本尚属首次。 上海日本学会会长、上海对外经贸大学日本经济研究中心主任陈子雷对第一财经记者表示，当前自民 党内矛盾众多，群龙无首，党内大佬麻生太郎想要"垂帘听政"，在混乱的局势中，高市虽说通过选 举夺回了党内主导权，"这样的局面会让人担心，今后的自民党会变得更加咄咄逼人"。 高市的考验才刚刚开始 陈子雷说，其实纵观高市此次的竞选政策，可谓"相当粗糙，且经不起推敲"。他举例道，高市要力 推"积极的财政政策"，但在饱受日本媒体的质疑与批评之后，又改成"负责任的积极财政政策"，"是 不是负责任，并不是高市自己所能定义的，而是需要依赖日本国债等数据来决定。" 高市主张的"负责任的积极财政政策"，即通过扩大赤字、抑制加 ...

高市的考验才刚刚开始 "随着选举热度逐渐褪去，高市经济政策的弊端、她与'统一教会'的来往、自民党悬而未决的'黑金丑 闻'等问题都会被'秋后算账'。"陈子雷分析道。 日本众议院选举落幕，高市早苗所在的自民党获得316个议席，日本维新会获得36个议席。在野党方 面，由立宪民主党和公明党共同组建的新党"中道改革联合"获得49个议席，国民民主党获得28个议席， 参政党获得15个议席，新兴政党"未来团队"获得11个议席，日本共产党获得4个议席。自民党单独获得 了超过三分之二议席，在战后日本尚属首次。 上海日本学会会长、上海对外经贸大学日本经济研究中心主任陈子雷对第一财经记者表示，当前自民党 内矛盾众多，群龙无首，党内大佬麻生太郎想要"垂帘听政"，在混乱的局势中，高市虽说通过选举夺回 了党内主导权，"这样的局面会让人担心，今后的自民党会变得更加咄咄逼人"。 提高警惕 据报道，高市9日于东京举行记者会时表示："基于此前的论点梳理与讨论积累，我将坚持不懈全力推动 尽快营造出就修宪举行全民投票的环境。" 此前，高市已不断放出风声，表示将推动对"无核三原则"及"安保三文件"的修订讨论。"无核三原则"长 期以来被视为日本政府关于核 ...

有日本方面消息称，日本政府企图在修订"安保三文件"时，对"无核三原则"中不运进核武器的原则进行 修改。此举引发日本各界强烈担忧。日本长崎市议会和广岛市议会分别于本月8日和9日通过意见书，要 求日本政府坚持"无核三原则"。 据央视新闻消息，日本执政党自民党21日公布众议院选举竞选承诺，其中包括修订"安保三文件"、放宽 武器出口限制、修改宪法等内容。 自民党公布的竞选承诺围绕经济、地方、外交与安全保障、社会保障、修改宪法5个方面展开。在外交 与安全保障方面，包括修订《国家安全保障战略》在内的"安保三文件"、取消对武器出口的5种类型限 制、设立国家情报局和对外情报机关等。 日本首相高市早苗19日在记者会上宣布，将于23日解散众议院，2月8日举行众议院选举。 ...

日本首相高市早苗19日在记者会上宣布，将于23日解散众议院，2月8日举行众议院选举。（央视新闻） 自民党公布的竞选承诺围绕经济、地方、外交与安全保障、社会保障、修改宪法5个方面展开。在外交 与安全保障方面，包括修订《国家安全保障战略》在内的"安保三文件"、取消对武器出口的5种类型限 制、设立国家情报局和对外情报机关等。 有日本方面消息称，日本政府企图在修订"安保三文件"时，对"无核三原则"中不运进核武器的原则进行 修改。此举引发日本各界强烈担忧。日本长崎市议会和广岛市议会分别于本月8日和9日通过意见书，要 求日本政府坚持"无核三原则"。 日本执政党自民党1月21日公布众议院选举竞选承诺，其中包括修订"安保三文件"、放宽武器出口限 制、修改宪法等内容。 ...

○特朗普：已就格陵兰岛未来合作制定框架 暂时不会加征关税 当地时间1月21日，美国总统特朗普在其社交媒体"真实社交"发文称，基于他与北约秘书长马克·吕特的会晤，他们已经就格陵兰岛乃至整个北极地区的未来 合作框架达成了一致。如果这项方案最终得以落实，将对美国和所有北约成员国都大有裨益。 特朗普表示将不会实施原定于2月1日的关税措施。 ○欧盟委员会：欧盟领导人紧急峰会将按计划举行 ○欧洲议会宣布无限期冻结欧美贸易协定审议工作 ○特朗普：已就格陵兰岛未来合作制定框架 暂时不会加征关税 ○普京证实将与到访的美总统特使会晤 ○约旦、阿联酋等国发表联合声明 决定加入所谓"和平委员会" ○德国慕尼黑将迎来两只大熊猫 特朗普称暂不会对欧洲八国加征关税 欧洲议会冻结欧美贸易协定审议工作 欧盟委员会发言人21日表示，欧盟领导人紧急峰会将按计划于当地时间22日晚间举行。据称，尽管美国总统特朗普表示不会采取武力夺取格陵兰岛，也不会 对部分欧盟国家施加关税，但欧盟方面仍将继续推进相关会议安排。 △欧洲议会（资料图） 当地时间21日，欧洲议会国际贸易委员会主席朗格宣布，针对欧盟与美国贸易协定的审议将无限期冻结。 朗格称，目前欧盟的主权和 ...

Group 1 - The Nagasaki and Hiroshima city councils passed resolutions on the 8th and 9th, respectively, urging the Japanese government to uphold the "Three Non-Nuclear Principles" which state "not possessing, not producing, and not allowing the introduction of nuclear weapons" [2][3] - The Nagasaki city council's resolution emphasized that previous Japanese cabinets have consistently upheld the "Three Non-Nuclear Principles" as a national policy and expressed strong opposition to any attempts by the government to amend these principles [2] - The Hiroshima city council unanimously passed a resolution expressing concerns over the ruling party's attempts to modify the "Three Non-Nuclear Principles" and urged the government to take the sentiments of the citizens of the atomic bombed cities seriously [2] Group 2 - The "Three Non-Nuclear Principles" were officially adopted as national policy by the Japanese Diet in 1971, and the 2022 "Security Three Documents" reaffirmed that the basic stance of adhering to these principles would not change [3] - Japan's adherence to the "Three Non-Nuclear Principles" has been a significant measure for the international community to assess whether Japan is genuinely pursuing a path of peaceful development [3] - There are concerns regarding Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's consideration to amend the principle of not allowing the introduction of nuclear weapons during the revision of the "Security Three Documents" [3]

Core Viewpoint - The Nagasaki and Hiroshima city councils have passed resolutions urging the Japanese government to uphold the "Three Non-Nuclear Principles," which state that Japan will not possess, manufacture, or introduce nuclear weapons [1] Group 1: Legislative Actions - The Nagasaki City Council passed a resolution on the 8th, emphasizing that previous Japanese cabinets have consistently upheld the "Three Non-Nuclear Principles" and that any attempt to amend these principles is "absolutely unacceptable" [1] - The Hiroshima City Council unanimously passed a resolution on the 9th, expressing strong concerns over the ruling party's attempts to modify the "Three Non-Nuclear Principles" and urging the government to take the sentiments of the atomic bomb victims seriously [1] Group 2: Historical Context - The "Three Non-Nuclear Principles" were officially adopted as national policy by the Japanese Diet in 1971 and were reaffirmed in the 2022 "Security Three Documents," which stated that the fundamental stance of adhering to these principles would not change [1] - Japan's commitment to the "Three Non-Nuclear Principles" has been a significant measure for the international community to assess whether Japan is genuinely pursuing a path of peaceful development [1] Group 3: Government Considerations - Prime Minister Fumio Kishida is reportedly considering modifying the principle regarding the introduction of nuclear weapons during the revision of the "Security Three Documents" [1]

Group 1 - The Japanese government, led by Prime Minister Suga Yoshihide, aims to revise the "Security Three Documents" by the end of this year, with plans to establish an expert committee as early as spring to discuss necessary defense enhancements and budget allocations [1][3] - The revision will focus on strengthening defense capabilities, including increasing defense spending, modifying the "Three Non-Nuclear Principles," and lifting restrictions on arms exports to develop offensive military capabilities [4][6] - The opposition parties have criticized the Suga administration, labeling it as the "most dangerous Liberal Democratic Party government since World War II," and expressing concerns that Japan is being led towards becoming a "war state" [6][8] Group 2 - Japan is enhancing its military cooperation with the Philippines, with discussions on a framework for providing weapons and technology to bolster the military capabilities of partner nations [3][6] - The opposition has raised alarms over the rising defense budget, arguing that it detracts from social welfare spending and poses risks to Japan's constitutional commitments [8]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles revolves around Japan's Prime Minister, Sanae Takaichi, advocating for the modification of security-related documents in light of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, suggesting a need to enhance Japan's defense capabilities [1][2] - Takaichi emphasized the importance of improving Japan's sustained combat capabilities, indicating that the ongoing conflict could lead to prolonged military engagements [1] - The proposed budget for the fiscal year 2026 is expected to reach 122 trillion yen (approximately 5.5 trillion RMB), with a defense budget set to hit a record high of 9 trillion yen [1] Group 2 - The Chinese Foreign Ministry expressed concerns that Japan's moves to expand its military capabilities challenge the post-war international order and threaten regional peace and stability [2] - Takaichi's government aims to achieve a defense spending target of 2% of GDP two years ahead of schedule, alongside further easing of weapon export restrictions and discussions on revising Japan's "Three Non-Nuclear Principles" [2] - The commentary from experts suggests that Takaichi's remarks may be a pretext to justify the enhancement of Japan's military strength and the introduction of advanced weaponry [1]