负责任的积极财政政策
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日本自民党内有“高市别动队”?
日经中文网· 2026-03-01 00:33
(Tanigawa Tom)等6人成功复出。曾在高市早苗阵营的选举对策本部担任事务局长的日本 前数字副大臣石川昭政也在比例代表选举中以独立候选人身份参选并当选。 为当选者戴花的日本首相高市早苗(2月8日,自民党总部) 2月8日的日本众议院选举中,曾在过去的自民党总裁选举中支持高市早苗的议员有多人重新 当选。与高市拥有共同政治理念的自民党内旧安倍派也重新抬头,有49人当选,是上一次的2 倍以上…… 在2月8日投计票的日本众议院选举中,曾在过去的自民党总裁选举中支持高市早苗的议员成 功重新当选议员、参与国政。自民党内部正准备协调推进高市早苗首相关注的政策,包括包 含消费税减税在内的"负责任的积极财政政策"以及强化情报职能等。这批议员被认为将以首 相"别动队"的角色,主导自民党内的讨论。 2024年10月的日本众议院选举中,在一个月前的自民党总裁选举中担任高市早苗推荐人的众 议员中有7人失去了议席。此次,这7人中有前总务相铃木淳司、高鸟修一、谷川Tom 与高市早苗首相拥有共同政治理念,曾是自民党内最大派系的旧安倍派的势力也重新抬头, 这可能成为自民党内顺利运转的东风。尽管受政治资金问题影响,旧安倍派在2024年的日 ...
“高市早苗真正的考验才刚开始”
第一财经· 2026-02-10 07:56
2026.02. 10 本文字数:1773,阅读时长大约3分钟 作者 | 第一财经 潘寅茹 日本众议院选举落幕,高市早苗所在的自民党获得316个议席,日本维新会获得36个议席。在野党 方面,由立宪民主党和公明党共同组建的新党"中道改革联合"获得49个议席,国民民主党获得28个 议席,参政党获得15个议席,新兴政党"未来团队"获得11个议席,日本共产党获得4个议席。自民 党单独获得了超过三分之二议席,在战后日本尚属首次。 上海日本学会会长、上海对外经贸大学日本经济研究中心主任陈子雷对第一财经记者表示,当前自民 党内矛盾众多,群龙无首,党内大佬麻生太郎想要"垂帘听政",在混乱的局势中,高市虽说通过选 举夺回了党内主导权,"这样的局面会让人担心,今后的自民党会变得更加咄咄逼人"。 高市的考验才刚刚开始 陈子雷说,其实纵观高市此次的竞选政策,可谓"相当粗糙,且经不起推敲"。他举例道,高市要力 推"积极的财政政策",但在饱受日本媒体的质疑与批评之后,又改成"负责任的积极财政政策","是 不是负责任,并不是高市自己所能定义的,而是需要依赖日本国债等数据来决定。" 高市主张的"负责任的积极财政政策",即通过扩大赤字、抑制加 ...
“高市早苗真正的考验才刚开始”,她还要面对这些问题
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2026-02-10 07:18
高市的考验才刚刚开始 "随着选举热度逐渐褪去,高市经济政策的弊端、她与'统一教会'的来往、自民党悬而未决的'黑金丑 闻'等问题都会被'秋后算账'。"陈子雷分析道。 日本众议院选举落幕,高市早苗所在的自民党获得316个议席,日本维新会获得36个议席。在野党方 面,由立宪民主党和公明党共同组建的新党"中道改革联合"获得49个议席,国民民主党获得28个议席, 参政党获得15个议席,新兴政党"未来团队"获得11个议席,日本共产党获得4个议席。自民党单独获得 了超过三分之二议席,在战后日本尚属首次。 上海日本学会会长、上海对外经贸大学日本经济研究中心主任陈子雷对第一财经记者表示,当前自民党 内矛盾众多,群龙无首,党内大佬麻生太郎想要"垂帘听政",在混乱的局势中,高市虽说通过选举夺回 了党内主导权,"这样的局面会让人担心,今后的自民党会变得更加咄咄逼人"。 提高警惕 据报道,高市9日于东京举行记者会时表示:"基于此前的论点梳理与讨论积累,我将坚持不懈全力推动 尽快营造出就修宪举行全民投票的环境。" 此前,高市已不断放出风声,表示将推动对"无核三原则"及"安保三文件"的修订讨论。"无核三原则"长 期以来被视为日本政府关于核 ...
高市早苗将解散众议院提前大选
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2026-01-20 16:57
Core Viewpoint - Japanese Prime Minister Sanna Takashi announced the dissolution of the House of Representatives on January 23, leading to an early election, with the voting scheduled for February 8, marking the shortest interval between dissolution and voting in post-war Japan [1][2]. Group 1 - The upcoming election aims to seek public trust regarding the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and its coalition agreement with the Japan Innovation Party, as well as to address issues like inflation through proposed tax cuts [2]. - The LDP is currently under pressure as it does not hold a majority in both houses of the National Diet, necessitating support from opposition parties for budget approvals [2][3]. - Takashi's strategy appears to be leveraging stable cabinet approval ratings to convert public support into more seats in the House of Representatives, aiming for a majority to reduce reliance on smaller parties [2]. Group 2 - The dissolution of the House of Representatives has faced criticism from opposition parties and media, raising concerns about a "political vacuum" that could delay the review process of the 2026 budget, complicating its passage by the end of March [3]. - The current political climate suggests skepticism regarding the timing of the dissolution, especially given the pressing need for stable governance [3].
高市早苗宣布将解散众议院提前举行大选
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2026-01-19 23:33
高市早苗宣布将解散众议院提前举行大选 日本媒体认为此举意在逃避相关追责、扩大党派议席 本报记者 刘文璋 (本报东京1月19日电) 按照日本国会惯例,每年1至3月例行国会审议预算期间,首相及内阁大臣需连日接受在野党质询。日本 《每日新闻》称,目前在野党已计划就物价高涨、财政状况恶化、政治丑闻以及高市早苗涉台错误言论 引发日中关系紧张等问题,向执政党发起集中质询。高市早苗此时宣布解散众议院,是为转移舆论焦 点、逃避相关追责的策略选择。 当前,自民党在国会参众两院均未过半数议席,在推动预算案通过等方面必须争取在野党支持,这给执 政党带来不小压力。在记者会上,高市早苗明确提出,执政党将在此次选举中争取赢得众议院过半数席 位。日本舆论认为,高市早苗试图借助当前相对稳定的内阁支持率,通过提前大选将人气转化为更多国 会席位,进而摆脱对小党派的依赖,甚至谋求自民党单独过半的优势地位,以加快推进相关政策落地。 高市早苗解散众议院的举动遭到日本各在野党和舆论的反对和批评。《每日新闻》评论,高市早苗此举 将引发"政治空白",与日本国民生活息息相关的2026年度预算案在国会的审议进程将因选举被延迟,想 要在3月底前顺利通过预算案已变 ...
上野千鹤子:真是“亡国内阁”
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-03 09:30
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the criticism of the Japanese government's supplementary budget proposal for the fiscal year 2025, which amounts to 18.3034 trillion yen (approximately 831.1 billion RMB), with a significant portion funded through new government bonds [1][2]. Group 1: Budget Details - The supplementary budget approved by the government totals 18.3034 trillion yen, with 11.696 trillion yen raised through new government bonds to cover funding gaps [1][2]. - The budget reflects the government's ongoing commitment to "responsible active fiscal policy" despite the substantial borrowing involved [1]. Group 2: Criticism - Ueno Chikako, a prominent sociologist and professor emeritus at the University of Tokyo, criticized the scale of the supplementary budget, suggesting it indicates a failure of governance, referring to the cabinet as a "nation-destroying cabinet" [2].
日本要学美国设“政府效率部”,引发质疑
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2025-11-24 22:44
Core Points - Japan plans to establish a new office to review subsidies and tax reductions, reflecting Prime Minister Suga's commitment to "responsible active fiscal policy" [1] - The new office will be led by Finance Minister Katayama and is expected to be fully operational by next year, with its first meeting scheduled for next month [1] - The office's main tasks include reviewing tax reduction measures, evaluating the effectiveness of high subsidies, and improving administrative efficiency across departments [1] - The establishment of this office is based on a coalition agreement between the Liberal Democratic Party and the Japan Innovation Party [1] Group 1 - The new office is referred to as "Japan's version of DOGE" and aims to eliminate ineffective tax and subsidy policies [1] - There are concerns regarding the potential challenges in implementing reforms due to existing vested interests and departmental barriers [1] - Katayama emphasized the need for broad consensus and understanding to ensure the sustainability of reforms [1] Group 2 - In contrast, the U.S. Government Efficiency Department, which aimed to cut $1 trillion in federal spending, was reportedly dissolved amid controversies [2] - Katayama noted that simply replicating the U.S. model would not work within Japan's parliamentary cabinet system [2] - The establishment of the efficiency department is seen as an opportunity to reduce waste and enhance transparency, but skepticism remains regarding its effectiveness due to past reform experiences and ongoing debates [2]
日本首相方针误读 日元大幅贬值
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-10-24 09:38
Core Viewpoint - The Japanese yen continues to depreciate despite a higher-than-expected CPI of 2.9% in September, as market bets on further yen depreciation persist. Prime Minister Fumio Kishida emphasizes an "economy first, finance later" principle as the foundation of his administration's policies [1]. Group 1 - The market has begun to bet on yen depreciation since Fumio Kishida took office, viewing him as a successor to Abenomics, despite his previous opposition to interest rate hikes [1]. - Kishida's administration has clarified its stance, indicating a separation from dovish policies, suggesting that continued bets on significant yen depreciation may misinterpret Kishida's team's approach [1]. - Kishida's team has stated that their core policy will be based on the principle of "economy first, finance later," with a focus on responsible and proactive fiscal policies [1]. Group 2 - The administration plans to strategically deploy fiscal spending to ensure fiscal sustainability by reducing the debt-to-GDP ratio, thereby stabilizing market confidence [1]. - The current trading range for USD/JPY is constrained by an upward trend line and a downward pressure line around 153.20-153.70, with key support levels identified at 152.00, 150.70, and 149.00 [1].
消息人士:日本新首相正准备推出大规模经济刺激计划以应对通货膨胀,规模或超过去年的13.9万亿日元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-22 04:15
Core Points - The new Prime Minister, Sanna Takashi, is preparing an economic stimulus plan that may exceed last year's 13.9 trillion yen (approximately 921.9 billion USD) to help households cope with inflation [1][3] - The plan will focus on three main pillars: anti-inflation measures, investments in growth industries, and national security spending [3] - This stimulus plan represents Takashi's first major economic initiative since taking office and reflects her commitment to what she calls "responsible active fiscal policy" [3] - The specific scale of the stimulus plan is still being finalized, with a potential announcement as early as next month [3]