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张德盛:12.11黄金价格还会继续涨吗?积存金行情走势分析操作
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-11 03:23
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that international gold prices are expected to continue rebounding due to a combination of factors including a recent decline in the US dollar index and the Federal Reserve's third consecutive interest rate cut this year, which has led to market expectations of further easing [2] - The Federal Reserve's dot plot indicates that most members anticipate at least a 25 basis point cut in the future, with only a few believing that rates should remain unchanged until 2026, suggesting a dovish outlook that could support gold prices [2] - Market participants are advised to focus on upcoming economic data, such as initial jobless claims and wholesale sales, which are expected to be favorable for gold prices, reinforcing the bullish sentiment [2] Group 2 - Technical analysis indicates that gold has shown a strong upward trend, with expectations of reaching levels around 4265 to 4285 in the near term, despite some potential for short-term pullbacks [3] - The domestic gold market has mirrored international trends, with significant gains observed in contracts like the Shanghai gold (2606 contract), which reached a high of 971, and the accumulation gold reaching 959, following previous buy recommendations [3] - The overall trading strategy remains bullish, but caution is advised as the market may enter a consolidation phase, suggesting that traders should avoid chasing further upward movements for now [3]