Market Overview - Increased tariff threats from Trump ahead of the July 9 negotiation deadline have heightened market tensions, leading to declines in U.S. stock futures and European stocks, particularly in the mining and automotive sectors [1][6] - Asian stock markets experienced fluctuations before closing flat, while cryptocurrencies and the U.S. dollar index weakened. Safe-haven assets like the yen, Swiss franc, and gold saw slight increases [1] Stock Performance - U.S. stock futures for the three major indices fell over 0.5% [1] - European stocks declined, with the German DAX down approximately 0.7%, the UK FTSE down over 0.3%, and the French CAC down over 0.9% [1][6] - The Nikkei 225 index in Japan rose by 0.1%, while the South Korean composite index fell by 2% [1] Currency Movements - The U.S. dollar index decreased by 0.2%, while the euro rose by about 0.2% and the Korean won increased by over 0.2%. The yen appreciated by approximately 0.4%, and the Swiss franc rose by over 0.2% [2][8] Commodity Prices - Spot gold saw a slight increase of about 0.3%, while spot silver rose by approximately 0.2% [3][13] - Both WTI and Brent crude oil prices fell by over 0.8% [4] Cryptocurrency Trends - Bitcoin declined by about 0.6%, and Ethereum dropped by approximately 1.5% [5] Investment Sentiment - Analysts suggest that a significant trade outcome would be necessary to counteract recent positive news, as institutional investors remain cautious despite stock market highs [5] - Michael Hartnett from Bank of America indicated that the recent rise in the S&P 500 is nearing a "sell signal," advising investors to consider reducing positions if the index exceeds 6300 points [5]

在就业数据印证经济韧性的背景下，美国基准股指本周虽以历史新高收官，但期货合约仍下跌约 0.6%。周四收盘后，特朗普再度升级贸易紧张局势，警告称可能自即日起单方面对贸易伙伴征收最高 70%的关税。 欧洲斯托克600指数下跌0.7%，对贸易敏感的矿业和汽车板块领跌。亚洲股市普遍收低，避险情绪推动 黄金上涨0.3%，美元小幅走软。适逢美国独立日假期，美股及国债市场休市。 智通财经APP获悉，美国股指期货周五全线走低，特朗普政府最新关税威胁给标普500指数创纪录的涨 势蒙上阴影。 自4月关税引发的市场波动以来，全球股市已显著反弹。但鉴于贸易战不确定性及其对美国经济与企业 盈利的潜在影响持续存在，部分投资者仍持谨慎态度。"市场疑虑正在悄然滋生，特别是本周冲高之 后，"盛宝英国首席投资策略师尼尔·威尔逊表示，"当前适合适度降低风险敞口，但市场基调尚未发生 根本性转变。" 策略师Mark Cudmore表示："除非出现极端贸易冲突，否则近期积极的基本面因素仍将主导市场。值得 注意的是，机构投资者的看涨情绪已因持续威胁而趋于理性，使其在历史高位的市场中仍保持相对谨慎 持仓。" 美国银行的Michael Hartnett此前表 ...