平台经济税收政策
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当前行情如何布局?紧握“政策+景气”双主线,规避这一外部风险
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-03 04:42
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market shows a strong performance driven by high-end manufacturing and hard technology sectors, while the Hong Kong market exhibits a divergence with weak technology stocks, indicating a structural differentiation influenced by macroeconomic and policy factors [1][2][3]. Group 1: A-share Market Performance - Major A-share indices, except for the Sci-Tech 50, recorded gains, with the Shenzhen Component Index leading at +0.93% and a total trading volume of 1.604 trillion yuan [1]. - The top gainers in A-shares include sectors such as defense and military (+3.71%), machinery equipment (+2.58%), and power equipment (+2.15%), while traditional sectors like banking and oil & gas saw declines [1][2]. Group 2: Hong Kong Market Dynamics - The Hong Kong market displayed a mixed performance, with the Hang Seng Index nearly flat and the Hang Seng Tech Index dropping by 1.48%, highlighting a contrast with the A-share market [1]. - The weakness in Hong Kong's technology stocks is attributed to their offshore market nature, influenced by both domestic fundamentals and global liquidity expectations, particularly regarding the U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate policies [3]. Group 3: Sector Insights - The rise of the defense and military sector is linked to increased geopolitical uncertainties and expectations for accelerated equipment procurement under the "14th Five-Year Plan," providing long-term visibility and certainty [2]. - The demand for new energy infrastructure under the "dual carbon" goals and recent government initiatives for large-scale equipment updates are expected to inject substantial growth into related industries [2]. Group 4: Market Outlook - The main investment themes in the A-share market remain intact, focusing on policy-driven and growth-oriented sectors like military, high-end manufacturing, and new energy [4]. - In the Hong Kong market, the valuation pressures on technology stocks are likely to persist until clearer overseas policy signals or stronger mainland economic data emerge to boost risk appetite [4].