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潮宏基(002345):看好珠宝收入利润持续高增长
HTSC· 2025-10-31 06:55
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6][4]. Core Insights - The company has shown strong revenue growth in its jewelry segment, with a 28.3% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first three quarters of 2025, reaching 6.24 billion RMB. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 317 million RMB, a slight increase of 0.3% year-on-year. Excluding goodwill impairment, the net profit was 488 million RMB, reflecting a 54.5% increase year-on-year [1][4]. - The company's strategic focus on its main brand, product differentiation, and international expansion is expected to drive market share growth [1][4]. Revenue and Profit Growth - The jewelry business revenue increased by 30.7% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2025, with a net profit growth of 56.1%. In the third quarter alone, revenue grew by 53.6% year-on-year, and net profit increased by 86.8%, significantly outperforming the industry average [2][4]. Financial Metrics - The gross margin for the third quarter of 2025 was 21.9%, down 2.3 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to a higher proportion of lower-margin traditional gold products and franchise channel revenue. The selling expense ratio improved significantly, decreasing by 4 percentage points to 8.2% [3][4]. - The report projects a net profit of 441 million RMB for 2025, a decrease of 12% due to goodwill impairment, but anticipates increases of 19% and 18% for 2026 and 2027, respectively [4][10]. Valuation - The target price for the company is set at 20.4 RMB, based on a 25x PE ratio for 2026, reflecting the company's unique positioning and growth potential in the jewelry market [4][6].