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LPR和存款利率同步下行
● 本报记者欧阳剑环 中国人民银行授权全国银行间同业拆借中心公布,2025年5月20日贷款市场报价利率(LPR)为1年期 LPR3.0%,5年期以上LPR3.5%,均较上期下行10个基点。同日,多家银行宣布下调人民币存款挂牌利 率。 专家认为,LPR和存款利率同步下行,有利于保持商业银行净息差的稳定,将有效降低实体经济综合融 资成本;预计年内LPR报价仍有下行空间。 下调符合预期 此次LPR下降符合市场预期。民生银行首席经济学家温彬表示,在新的货币政策框架下,7天期逆回购 利率作为主要的政策利率,成为LPR新的"定价锚",并通过强化各利率间协同,逐步疏通由短及长的利 率传导关系。伴随政策利率降息落地,本月LPR报价下调符合预期。 "下调政策利率并引导LPR下行,将带动企业和居民贷款利率更大幅度下调,降低实体经济融资成本, 这是现阶段扩投资、促消费的一个重要发力点。"东方金诚首席宏观分析师王青说。 招联首席研究员董希淼表示,LPR下降后,叠加此前央行宣布公积金贷款利率下调,居民住房消费支出 将进一步降低,有助于提振居民消费意愿和能力。 "下一阶段,LPR可能仍有下降的空间。"但董希淼认为,对LPR等利率下降的节 ...
常熟银行(601128):经营韧性凸显
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 02:35
Core Viewpoint - Changshu Bank reported a slight decline in performance growth for Q1 2025, with revenue growth at 10.04%, pre-provision profit growth at 12.58%, and net profit growth at 13.81, while still maintaining a high level of performance [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Changshu Bank's total assets increased by 6.67% year-on-year, with a total asset addition of 22.4 billion yuan, where financial investments contributed 11.7 billion yuan, accounting for 52.00% of the increase [2] - The bank's net interest margin for Q1 2025 was 2.61%, showing a year-on-year decline of 22 basis points but a quarter-on-quarter improvement of 2 basis points [4] - Non-interest income saw a significant increase of 62.01% year-on-year, driven by a 495.23% rise in net fee income and a 48.84% increase in other non-interest income [4] Group 2: Asset and Liability Management - Retail loan demand remains weak, with retail loan balance growing only 0.1% year-on-year, and a quarterly addition of 0.3 billion yuan, which is a decrease of 2.7 billion yuan year-on-year [2] - Corporate loans increased by 13.04% year-on-year, with a quarterly addition of 8.5 billion yuan, supporting overall loan growth [3] - The bank's deposit balance grew by 9.00% year-on-year, outpacing loan growth, with a notable increase in the proportion of demand deposits [3] Group 3: Risk Management - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio improved to 0.76% at the end of Q1 2025, with a provision coverage ratio of 489.56%, indicating strong risk mitigation capabilities [5] - The bank is focusing on enhancing retail risk management, expecting to see a turning point in NPL generation rates as retail risks are gradually addressed [5] Group 4: Future Outlook - The bank is projected to achieve a revenue growth of 9.71% and a profit growth of 13.39% for 2025, with a target price of 9.63 yuan, equivalent to a 0.90X price-to-book ratio [6]