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南京银行(601009):营收延续“U 型”改善,大股东积极增持彰显价值认可
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-10-28 07:26
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, Nanjing Bank, with an expected price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.77 times for 2025 and a dividend yield of approximately 4.6% [11]. Core Insights - Nanjing Bank's revenue continues to show a "U-shaped" improvement, with a 8.8% year-on-year growth in revenue for the first nine months of 2025, and an 8.1% increase in net profit attributable to shareholders [5][11]. - The bank's non-performing loan (NPL) ratio decreased to 0.83% in the third quarter of 2025, reflecting stable asset quality and proactive write-offs [11]. - Major shareholders have actively increased their holdings, indicating confidence in the bank's long-term value, with nearly 12 billion yuan of shares bought back in the first three quarters [7][11]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue and Profitability**: - Total revenue for 9M25 reached 419 billion yuan, up 8.8% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 180 billion yuan, reflecting an 8.1% increase [5][11]. - Net interest income grew by 28.5% year-on-year, contributing significantly to revenue growth [7][11]. - **Cost and Efficiency**: - The cost-to-income ratio improved, contributing to profit growth, with a decrease in operating expenses [7][11]. - The bank's return on equity (ROE) for 2025 is projected at 12.13%, with a gradual decline expected in subsequent years [6][11]. - **Asset Quality**: - The provision coverage ratio improved to 313% in Q3 2025, indicating strong risk mitigation capabilities [11]. - The bank's total assets grew by 16.3% year-on-year, with loans increasing by 14.1% [11]. - **Future Outlook**: - The bank's net profit growth is forecasted at 8.1% for 2025, with slight adjustments to future growth expectations due to base effects [11].