招商银行 20250522 摘要 招商银行一季度净利息收入同比增长近 2%，得益于降息幅度收窄，但 净息差同比下降 11 个基点，预计全年净息差仍有下行压力，但降幅将 收窄。贷款定价总体略微下降，对公贷款降幅明显，零售贷款受监管指 导价影响持平或略降。 受贷款需求疲软影响，存款派生乏力，M1 和 M2 剪刀差扩大。去年存款 利率调降、无风险利率下降及股市回暖导致资金重新配置，存款流向中 小银行、理财或基金。招商银行活期存款占比止跌回升，保持低负债成 本优势。 一季度财富管理手续费及佣金收入同比增长 10.5%，为 2022 年来首次 显著正增长，代销基金、理财和信托均增长近 30%。预计二季度股票市 场活跃，风险资产配置增加，财富管理手续费有望保持向好态势。 一季度银行卡手续费与结算清算手续费同比负增长 7%~8%，受消费偏 弱影响。信用卡交易额下滑，线上支付受第三方支付机构费率调降影响。 刺激消费政策落地或能缓解支付类收入压力。 Q&A 招商银行在 2025 年第二季度的信贷投放情况如何？今年的信贷增量目标结构 和节奏是否有调整？ 目前来看，二季度的信贷需求依然偏弱。虽然零售贷款在 4 月份和 5 月初边际 ...

行 业 研 究 DONGXING SECURITIES 其他非息拖累盈利，息差下行压力趋缓 ——上市银行25Q1业绩总结 | 分析师 | 林瑾璐 | 联系方式：021-25102905 | 执业证书编号：S1480519070002 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 分析师 | 田馨宇 | 联系方式：010-66554013 | 执业证书编号：S1480521070003 | 东兴银行团队 2025年5月16日 东 兴 证 券 股 份 有 限 公 司 证 券 研 究 报 告 摘要 业绩概览：营收净利润增速总体转负，优质城农商行业绩领跑。25Q1上市银行营收、净利润同比分别-1.7%、-1.2%，增速较24A下滑1.8pct、3.5pct。盈利边际走弱， 主要拖累是债市调整带来的其他非息收入增速大幅下滑，以及拨备反哺力度减弱。好的方面是，净息差降幅收窄；资产增速相对稳定；低基数下中收降幅收窄。各类银 行表现分化：城农商行领跑，整体实现正增长，主要得益于规模增速提升，息差降幅收窄，以及中收增速转正。国有行相对偏弱，主要是规模增速放缓、息差降幅偏大， 净利息收入降幅扩大。股份行盈利表现最弱 ...

Core Viewpoint - The accumulation of OCI (Other Comprehensive Income) floating profits in banks has been largely consumed, primarily due to passive consumption from a weak bond market rather than active selling by banks. The pressure on net interest margins is mainly observed in large banks, and with the alleviation of the "lack of liabilities" issue in Q2, a clearer bottom for net interest margins is expected [1][15]. Group 1: OCI Floating Profit Consumption - Most banks have consumed over half of their OCI floating profit accumulation, with some banks even turning to floating losses. Among the six major banks, one has consumed about half of its floating profit accumulation, while others have consumed around one-third. In total, 25 out of 33 listed banks have consumed more than half of their OCI floating profits, with 7 turning to floating losses [2][5]. - The low performance of bond market investment returns has significantly dragged down the revenue performance of listed banks. In Q1, non-interest income reduced the revenue growth of joint-stock banks and city commercial banks by 3.81 percentage points and 6.42 percentage points, respectively, while the contribution to rural commercial banks dropped from 7.30 percentage points to 4.52 percentage points [2][5]. Group 2: Net Interest Margin Pressure - The pressure on net interest margins and the resistance to recovery are primarily seen in large banks, which have passively shifted to interbank certificates of deposit and interbank fixed deposits due to a "lack of liabilities" in Q1. The average net interest margin for large banks narrowed by 0.10 percentage points to a low of 1.39% in Q1 [15]. - The alleviation of the "lack of liabilities" pressure and the stabilization of interbank deposit scale and prices are expected to lead to a significant easing of net interest margin narrowing pressure for large banks in Q2, reflecting the effectiveness of previous measures to reduce funding costs [15]. Group 3: Retail Loan Risks - Risks in retail loans remain, with no consistent trend of alleviation observed. Banks with a higher proportion of retail loans face greater difficulty in reducing non-performing loan rates compared to their peers, and the speed of provision consumption is faster [9]. - An analysis of three state-owned banks with retail loan ratios exceeding 50% shows a divergence in the direction and magnitude of changes in provision coverage ratios, the proportion of loans under scrutiny, and non-performing loan rates [9].

智通财经5月15日电，昨日公布的4月金融数据显示，虽然4月为信贷传统淡季，但新增贷款为仍2006年 同期以来最低水平，其中个人贷款同比少增5200亿，高于对公贷款少增2500亿，成为主要拖累因素。5 月15日，两位银行业务人士对智通财经表示，受到去年零售资产质量压力的影响，一季度零售贷款主要 是按揭贷款增长。另外，4月以来零售审批投放其实已经开始谨慎，消费贷和经营贷的额度和通过率有 所降低。（智通财经记者 梁柯志） 独家|部分银行收紧风控 4月来零售贷款已趋于谨慎 ...

2025 年 05 月 05 日 邮储银行(601658.SH) 规模扩张平稳，负债成本占优——邮储银行 2025 年一季报点评 事件：邮储银行披露 2025 年一季度报告，2025 年一季度营收 同比下降 0.07%；拨备前利润同比增长 6.20%；归母净利润同比下 降 2.62%，我们点评如下： 从驱动因素来看，生息资产规模扩张和成本压降是业绩增长的 主要支撑，净息差收窄、拨备计提力度加大则拖累了业绩增长。 量：规模稳健扩张，对公信贷增速居于大行首位 ①资产端：2025 年一季度末，邮储银行总资产同比增长 8.31%，增速 保持平稳。其中贷款总额同比增长 9.78%，金融投资同比增长 9.45%， 同比增速高于总资产增速。从增量来看，全行资产总额单季度新增 6045 亿元，信贷总额单季度新增 4430 亿元，是最主要的增量来源。 一季度末，贷款净额占生息资产的比例环比提升 0.76pct 至 53.32%。 与此同时，邮储银行同业资产占总资产的比例环比升高 0.36pct 至 5.35%。后续随注资落地，邮储银行规模扩张基础将更加坚实。 对公贷款高速增长。2025 年一季度末，邮储银行一般公司贷款同比 增 ...

Core Viewpoint - Nanjing Bank reported significant growth in revenue and net profit, with total revenue increasing by 11.32% to 50.273 billion yuan and net profit rising by 9.05% to 20.177 billion yuan, despite challenges in personal banking profitability [1][2]. Financial Performance - Total assets reached 2.5914 trillion yuan, an increase of 303.12 billion yuan, representing a growth of 13.25% [1]. - Total loans grew at a double-digit rate, with corporate loans at 936.204 billion yuan (up 14.86%) and retail loans at 320.194 billion yuan (up 12.75%) [1]. - Non-interest income rose to 23.646 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.98%, accounting for 47.04% of total revenue [5]. Personal Banking Challenges - Personal banking profits turned to a loss of 1.199 billion yuan, a decline of over 142% compared to the previous year's profit of 2.848 billion yuan [2]. - Operating expenses for personal banking increased by nearly 43%, from 9.616 billion yuan to 13.743 billion yuan [2]. - Net income from fees and commissions shifted from 447 million yuan to a loss of 1.059 billion yuan, a drop of over 337% [2]. Asset Quality Management - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio for personal loans was 1.29%, a decrease of 0.21 percentage points from the previous year [3]. - The bank's strategy includes optimizing retail asset management and enhancing the quality of retail loans [3]. Investment Strategy - Financial investment scale increased by approximately 1.1 trillion yuan, with an 11% growth [4]. - Investment income was 1.318 billion yuan, down 8.08%, while fair value changes yielded 7.377 billion yuan, up 329.48% [5]. - The bank's proactive strategy involved adjusting operations to seek excess returns and managing market fluctuations effectively [6].

Core Insights - Jiangsu Bank has achieved a significant milestone by surpassing a total asset scale of 4 trillion yuan, marking its entry into the "4 trillion" city commercial bank category [1][3] - The bank reported a revenue of 22.304 billion yuan for Q1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.21%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 9.78 billion yuan, up 8.16% year-on-year [1][2] - The bank's non-performing loan ratio has improved to 0.86%, the best level since its listing, with a provision coverage ratio of 343.51%, indicating strong risk mitigation capabilities [1][4] Revenue and Profit Growth - Jiangsu Bank's revenue for Q1 2025 was 22.304 billion yuan, a 6.21% increase compared to the previous year, while net profit reached 9.78 billion yuan, up 8.16% year-on-year [2] - The annualized Return on Equity (ROE) stood at 16.5%, an increase of 1.12 percentage points year-on-year, and the annualized Return on Assets (ROA) was 0.96%, placing the bank among the top tier of listed banks [2] - Interest income, a key revenue driver, amounted to 16.592 billion yuan, growing by 21.94% year-on-year and accounting for 74.38% of total revenue [2] Asset Expansion - As of the end of Q1 2025, Jiangsu Bank's total assets reached 4.46 trillion yuan, marking a significant growth milestone [3] - The bank's loan balance was 2.26 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.96%, with both corporate and retail loans showing positive growth [3] - Jiangsu Bank has actively supported the real economy by focusing on key industries and major projects, aligning with national policies to boost consumption [3] Asset Quality Improvement - The non-performing loan ratio decreased to 0.86%, down 0.03 percentage points from the end of the previous year, achieving the best level since its listing [4] - The provision coverage ratio of 343.51% significantly exceeds the industry average, indicating robust asset quality management [4] - The overdue loan ratio was 1.11%, down 0.01 percentage points, and the attention loan ratio was 1.33%, down 0.07 percentage points, demonstrating effective risk management [4] Market Performance and Investment Value - Jiangsu Bank's stock price has shown strong performance, with a year-to-date increase of over 56% in 2024 and multiple historical highs reached in 2025 [5] - The bank is favored by mainstream investment institutions, with 911 products holding its shares, ranking it among the top four listed banks [5] - The management has demonstrated confidence in the bank's long-term development by voluntarily increasing their holdings by over 20 million yuan [5]

Core Viewpoint - The Southwest region of China, comprising Sichuan, Yunnan, Guizhou, Chongqing, and Tibet, is a significant driver of western development, with several listed banks reporting positive growth in assets and operating performance for 2024 [1][2]. Group 1: Asset Scale and Growth - Chengdu Bank is the only bank in the region to surpass 1 trillion yuan in total assets, reaching 1.25 trillion yuan with a growth rate of 14.56% [2][3]. - Chongqing Bank follows with total assets of 856.64 billion yuan, growing by 12.73% [3]. - Guizhou Bank's total assets exceeded 580 billion yuan, with the lowest growth rate among the five banks at 2.29% [3]. - Luzhou Bank and Yibin Bank have asset scales below 200 billion yuan, with Luzhou Bank at 171 billion yuan and Yibin Bank at 109.21 billion yuan [4][5]. Group 2: Operating Performance - All five banks reported increases in both operating income and net profit for 2024, with Guizhou Bank showing the highest revenue growth at 9.46% [6][7]. - Chengdu Bank led in revenue with 22.977 billion yuan, a 5.88% increase, although its growth rate has been declining in recent years [7]. - Chongqing Bank's revenue was 13.679 billion yuan, up 3.54%, with a notable increase in non-interest income [7][8]. - Luzhou Bank and Yibin Bank had revenues below 5.5 billion yuan, with Yibin Bank's revenue growth slowing significantly [8]. Group 3: Asset Quality - Chengdu Bank boasts the lowest non-performing loan (NPL) ratio at 0.66%, while Guizhou Bank has the highest at 1.72%, marking the only increase among the banks [10][11]. - The provision coverage ratio for Chengdu Bank is the highest in the region at 479.28%, indicating strong risk management [10][13]. - Luzhou Bank's NPL ratio decreased to 1.19%, while Chongqing Bank's NPL ratio fell to 1.25% [10][11]. - Yibin Bank's NPL ratio slightly decreased to 1.68%, but it still faces significant risks in certain sectors [11][13].

Core Viewpoint - Changshu Bank achieved double-digit growth in both revenue and profit in Q1 2025, despite a slight slowdown in scale growth due to weak credit demand. The recovery of the economy is expected to improve demand from small and micro enterprises, providing significant room for credit expansion. Although the net interest margin continues to narrow under asset-side pressure, the ongoing optimization of deposit costs is expected to support the margin. The bank is projected to maintain high single-digit revenue growth and double-digit profit release in 2025. The current low dividend rate has suppressed the bank's valuation, which does not align with its strong fundamentals, indicating substantial potential for valuation recovery if the dividend rate improves in the future [1][10][11]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Changshu Bank reported operating revenue of 2.971 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.084 billion yuan, up 13.9% year-on-year. The non-performing loan ratio was 0.76%, down 1 basis point quarter-on-quarter, while the provision coverage ratio decreased by 11 percentage points to 489.6% [2][3][9]. Revenue Composition - The bank's net interest income grew by 0.9% year-on-year, reflecting stable growth despite weak credit demand, particularly in small and micro loans. Non-interest income surged by 495.2%, driven by significant growth in fees from insurance and precious metals. Other non-interest income increased by 48.8%, supported by a rise in foreign exchange gains [3][4][5]. Credit Demand and Loan Growth - Credit demand remains weak, leading to a slowdown in loan growth. In Q1 2025, the loan scale increased by 6.1% year-on-year, with corporate loans growing by 7.3% and retail loans by only 0.2%. The bank's strategy of focusing on small and scattered loans has allowed it to maintain a stable loan portfolio despite the challenging environment [5][6][8]. Deposit and Funding Strategy - Changshu Bank's deposits grew by 9% year-on-year, with a notable increase in demand deposits and a reduction in high-cost savings. The bank's proactive management of deposit structure has improved the cost of funding, which is expected to support the net interest margin [7][8]. Asset Quality and Risk Management - The bank's non-performing loan ratio remains low, and it has effectively managed retail asset quality through rigorous risk control and increased write-offs. The non-performing loan ratio is expected to remain stable, allowing for a gradual release of provisions to support profit growth [9][10]. Valuation and Investment Outlook - Despite strong fundamentals, Changshu Bank's current valuation is significantly undervalued at 0.68 times the 2025 PB ratio. The low dividend yield has constrained its valuation, but there is substantial potential for recovery if the dividend rate improves. The bank is expected to maintain high single-digit revenue growth and double-digit profit growth in the coming years [10][11].

Core Insights - The Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration is a crucial intersection of the "Belt and Road" initiative and the Yangtze River Economic Belt, comprising Shanghai, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Anhui provinces, with seven listed city commercial banks [1] - In 2024, the total asset scale of these seven banks reached 17.72 trillion yuan, with Jiangsu Bank, Shanghai Bank, and Ningbo Bank each exceeding 3 trillion yuan [1][3] - All seven banks reported positive growth in revenue and net profit, with asset quality remaining strong, as six banks maintained non-performing loan ratios below 1% [1][18] Asset Scale and Growth - Jiangsu Bank's total assets reached 39,520.42 billion yuan, a 16.12% increase from the previous year [3][5] - Shanghai Bank's total assets were 32,266.56 billion yuan, growing by 4.57% [3][5] - Ningbo Bank's total assets amounted to 31,252.32 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 15.25% [3][5] - Nanjing Bank, Hangzhou Bank, and Huishang Bank surpassed 20 trillion yuan in assets, while Suzhou Bank had the smallest asset scale at nearly 700 billion yuan [1][3] Revenue and Profitability - Jiangsu Bank led in revenue with 808.15 billion yuan, marking an 8.78% increase [10][12] - Ningbo Bank followed with 666.31 billion yuan in revenue, up 8.19% [10][12] - Nanjing Bank achieved a revenue growth rate of 11.32%, the only bank with double-digit growth [10][12] - Net profit for Jiangsu Bank exceeded 300 billion yuan, with a growth of 10.76% [13][12] Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio for Jiangsu Bank was 0.89%, while Ningbo and Hangzhou Banks had the lowest at 0.76% [18][19] - Shanghai Bank had the highest non-performing loan ratio at 1.18% [17][18] - The provision coverage ratios for most banks were robust, with Jiangsu, Nanjing, and Ningbo Banks exceeding 300% [20][18] Loan Distribution - Jiangsu Bank's loans in Jiangsu province accounted for 86.13% of its total loans, with significant portions also allocated to the Yangtze River Delta and Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Greater Bay Area [7] - Nanjing Bank's loans were primarily distributed in Jiangsu, with 84.92% of its loans in the province [7] - Huishang Bank's loans were predominantly in Anhui, making up 88.87% of its total [8]