Core Viewpoint - The North Exchange's recent performance indicates a potential breakthrough above the 1500-point mark, driven by significant trading volumes during key index movements [1][9][14] Trading Volume Analysis - Historical peaks of the North Exchange 50 Index were accompanied by high trading volumes, with notable instances including a record of 303 billion on November 27, 2023, and 332 billion on October 8, 2024 [1][3] - The index approached new highs with trading volumes of 334 billion on October 18 and 454 billion on October 21, indicating strong market interest [4] - The highest closing price of 1408.9 on November 7, 2024, was supported by a trading volume of 585 billion, while the following day saw a volume of 512 billion [6] Patterns in Trading Volume - Two key patterns were identified: 1. Breaking historical highs requires a corresponding increase in trading volume, although it does not need to exceed previous records [9] 2. Near historical highs, achieving 70-80% of the volume from the last peak is often sufficient for further upward movement [9][12] Recent Trading Dynamics - Recent trading volumes during upward movements have shown a consistent pattern of being 70-80% of previous peak volumes, suggesting potential challenges in breaking new highs [12][14] - The North Exchange 50 Index has experienced consecutive trading volumes that are significantly lower than required for a sustained breakout, indicating a possible decline in momentum [14] Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - The analysis suggests that without substantial new positive catalysts, the North Exchange may struggle to maintain upward momentum and break new highs, as current trading volumes reflect a cautious market sentiment [14]

Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of trading volume in the stock market, suggesting that it holds the key to understanding market movements and potential investment opportunities [1][3]. - It describes a common market trap known as the "gathering trap," where prices are artificially inflated before a sell-off, leading to losses for unsuspecting investors [3][4]. - The concept of "volume without price increase" is highlighted, using an example of a leading new energy stock that saw a significant increase in trading volume without a corresponding price rise, indicating that the main players were offloading shares [3][4]. Group 2 - The article introduces the "volume contraction without price drop" as a sign of potential market bottoming, suggesting that when volume decreases while prices stabilize, it may indicate a buying opportunity [3][4]. - It discusses the "high volume surge followed by a drop" phenomenon, likening it to a sprint where initial excitement leads to a subsequent decline, warning investors to be cautious of such patterns [4]. - The article concludes by stating that trading volume should be viewed as a thermometer for the market, advising investors to consider both volume and price movements to make informed decisions [4].

前一交易日收评：日级别有调整要求，继续关注3300附近的压力和10日线的支撑 早盘低开，未见向下之意，见了向上之意。个股涨多跌少。早盘分型定式大盘和创指均为收阳（午后见盘中新低才会被扭转）。 前一交易日收盘点评"今天全天振荡，收盘结果仍是多头掌控短期主导权。目前日级别有调整要求，短期来说站稳3260一线转好可能性才会增 大，站上3300才有转强可能，突破3342才能转强，3240一线已不宜再失。近日可重点关注3300附近的压力和10日线的支撑"。早盘小幅低开高 走，再攻之意明显，在3300附近出现犹豫，在此处想要突破是需要成交量推动才行的，若量能不济回落难免，盘中突破了3439调整以来形成的 下降趋势线，今若能确保收上3285就是突破该线之相了，重点看收盘结果吧。午后，在3270-3274之上才行，在3280-3285之上才好，冲击3297- 3307才强，不宜跌下3265-3261，不可失守3258-3250。操作上，上下俩缺口间振荡，反复做T；先补上面，看多；先补下面，看空。 短线技术面：今天日生命线在3276附近，运行在其上才能看多。大盘日级别关键区域目前3272－3307，在上沿之上运行才是强势，才会 ...