●FPG最新市场脱水消息： FPG特约分析师（chad）观点： 1. 美国彭博社周三报道称，美国财政部长贝森特(Scott Bessent)就美联储开启降息周期发出迄今为止最明确的呼吁，并表示美联储基准利率应比现在至 少低1.5个百分点。 2. 贝森特周三在接受彭博采访时表示："我认为我们可能会进行一系列降息，首先是9月份降息50个基点。无论你参考哪种模型，都表明我们的利率可 能应该降低150至175个基点。 3. 较低的借贷成本和不断下降的收益率往往会支撑黄金，因为黄金不支付利息。 ●FPG fortune prime global分析师观点： 黄金日线图显示，金价仍然在平坦的20日简单移动平均线(SMA)附近，无法突破该水平。与此同时，100日均线和200日均线在积极水平内保持向上的 倾斜，限制黄金的下行潜力。最后，技术指标的目标是温和走高至中线附近，不足以确认金价将出现又一波升势。 在短期内，根据4小时图表，黄金无法维持在看跌的20周期SMA以上的涨幅，这表明买家仍在观望。与此同时，金价位于平坦的100周期SMA附近； 而200周期SMA也没有方向，远低于较短期均线。在更广泛的时间范围内，技术指标无法给 ...

Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi's stock is currently trading at 53.75 HKD, showing a slight decline of 0.09%. The company is set to launch the Xiaomi Yu7 by the end of June, and Morgan Stanley's report indicates that Xiaomi's gross profit for Q1 2025 is expected to exceed previous forecasts by 10%, with operating profit projected to be 33% higher than expected due to cost synergies [1][3]. Technical Analysis - The RSI indicator for Xiaomi is at 59, indicating a neutral signal, while a composite of various technical indicators suggests a "buy" signal with a strength of 14. Multiple moving averages indicate a "strong buy" signal, although several oscillators show neutral signals [3]. - Short-term support levels for Xiaomi are at 51.9 HKD and 50.6 HKD, while resistance levels are at 55.4 HKD and 57.1 HKD. The current price of 53.85 HKD is situated between these support and resistance levels, indicating an unclear trend [3]. Recent Product Performance - On June 16, Xiaomi's stock experienced a decline of 0.65% two days later, while Societe Generale's bear certificates (56288) and UBS's bear certificates (56421) saw increases of 7% and 6%, respectively [5]. Investment Opportunities - For those looking to capitalize on Xiaomi's upward trend, Citigroup's call warrant (13765) is noteworthy, with a leverage of 12.4 times and an exercise price of 63.68 HKD. Morgan Stanley's call warrant (13597) has a lower implied volatility and a leverage of 10.3 times [6]. - Conversely, for those anticipating a downturn, HSBC's put warrant (14333) has the lowest implied volatility with a leverage of 2.9 times and an exercise price of 46.45 HKD. BNP Paribas's put warrant (14178) also has the lowest premium and implied volatility, with a leverage of 2.9 times and an exercise price of 46.55 HKD [6]. Related Assets - The following related assets are available for trading: - Citigroup Call Warrant (13765) with leverage of 12.4 - Morgan Stanley Call Warrant (13597) with leverage of 10.3 - HSBC Put Warrant (14333) with leverage of 2.9 - BNP Paribas Put Warrant (14178) with leverage of 2.9 - Morgan Stanley Bull Certificate (53165) with leverage of 7.8 - HSBC Bull Certificate (58043) with leverage of 8.4 - UBS Bear Certificate (56421) with leverage of 8.4 - Morgan Stanley Bear Certificate (61070) with leverage of 7.5 [7][8].

Group 1 - The market sentiment is currently in a state where short-term trends are favoring upward movements, with a focus on breaking key resistance levels [2] - The index has shown mixed performance, with a need to maintain levels above 3354 to sustain bullish momentum [3] - Key technical levels for the market are identified, with 3355-3335 being critical for determining strength or weakness [3] Group 2 - The market needs to close above 3357 for a positive outlook, with higher targets set at 3367 and 3377 [3] - The mid to long-term outlook indicates that maintaining levels above 3350-3380 is essential for a bullish trend, while levels below 3320-3350 could signal a bearish reversal [3] - The market is currently above the 60-day moving average, which is necessary to keep the bull market intact [3]

Group 1 - The market showed weakness in the afternoon, failing to maintain key resistance levels, closing below 3361, indicating a short-term bearish trend [2] - The index's performance was characterized by a small K-line and a bearish trend in the ChiNext index, raising questions about the potential for a mid-term recovery [2] - Key support level to watch is 3330; maintaining this level is crucial to avoid further declines towards 3300 [2] Group 2 - Short-term technical indicators suggest that the market needs to stay above 3355 to maintain a bullish outlook, with critical levels identified between 3357 and 3332 [3] - The strong and weak dividing line for the market is at 3394, with resistance levels at 3362, 3371, and 3382, and support levels at 3336, 3324, and 3310 [3] - Mid to long-term trends indicate that the market must remain above 60-day and 250-day moving averages to sustain a bullish phase and avoid a return to a bearish market [3]

Core Viewpoint - The current gold market sentiment is cautiously optimistic, supported by fundamental factors such as the downgrade of the US credit rating, ongoing geopolitical risks, and expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [3][5]. Price Movement Summary - On May 19, spot gold prices rose to $3236.91 per ounce, marking a 1.08% increase from an opening price of $3216.39, with a high of $3249.02 and a low of $3205.04 [1]. - The market is currently experiencing a short-term adjustment phase, with prices near key support levels, indicating traders are awaiting clearer directional signals [3]. Market Analysis - The downgrade of the US sovereign credit rating by Moody's to "AA+" has led to increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, causing gold prices to rise despite a broader market sell-off [5]. - Technical indicators suggest that if gold prices fall below the $3170 support level, they may further decline to the $3100 region or even test the $3000 mark [3]. Trading Strategy - A trading strategy has been suggested to short gold at the current price of $3245, with a protective stop at $3251 and a target of $3207 [7]. - The analysis emphasizes the importance of risk management and capital allocation in trading decisions, advocating for a cautious approach to avoid significant losses [7].

早盘高开，已见向上之意，未见向下之意。个股跌多涨少。早盘分型定式大盘和创指均为收阴（午后见盘中新高才会被扭转）。 前一交易日收评：冲击3364-3394压力区遇阻回落，一旦量能不济短调随时会来 午后看点：大盘收上3362可接受，收上3372为好，收上3386为强，至少要收上3355才行。 中长期态势：5月份周级别强弱分水岭在3280－3320，月级别强弱分水岭在3300－3350。运行在60日线上才能保持牛市开启状态，运行在250日 线上才能避免重回熊市。 前一交易日收盘点评"今天高开留下分时缺口，冲击3364-3394压力区遇阻回落，大的格局没有改变。一旦量能不济短调随时会来，冲击3364上 方适当防守应无大错。3327-3317一带已不容再失"。早盘大幅高开，留下分时缺口，是想走强可有无力走强之态，3386大概率已是今天高点， 没有量能推动再涨已很难，今天若收在3360之下，很可能就是调整之相了。午后，在3358-3364之上才行，在3367-3372之上才好，冲击3375- 3394才强，不宜跌下3353-3349，不可失守3344-3335。操作上，不失3327-3317一带就看多做多，无力突破336 ...

Group 1 - The market showed strong upward momentum at the beginning of the trading day, with a significant gap up and a new rebound high of 3314, indicating a strong trend for the start of the month and week [2] - A breakthrough above the resistance levels of 3317-3342 is necessary to confirm the strength of the market, while maintaining above 3300 is crucial for a potential upward shift [2][3] - The closing levels for the day are critical, with a target to close above 3326, ideally above 3336, to indicate strength, while a close below 3316 would be concerning [4] Group 2 - The daily life line is positioned around 3295, and the market must remain above this level to maintain a bullish outlook [3] - Key resistance levels for the market are identified between 3296-3305, with the upper boundary being essential for continued upward movement [3] - The mid to long-term outlook indicates that the market must stay above the 60-day moving average to maintain a bullish state, and above the 250-day moving average to avoid reverting to a bearish market [4]

Group 1 - The market showed a strong upward trend in early trading, with individual stocks performing better than indices, indicating a potential bullish sentiment [2] - The previous trading day's closing analysis suggested that the index needed to stabilize above 3300 for a stronger upward movement, with key resistance levels at 3317-3342 and support at 3280 [2] - The short-term technical outlook indicated that the market needed to stay above the critical level of 3287 to maintain a bullish stance, with fluctuations expected between the identified gaps [2] Group 2 - The afternoon outlook suggested that a closing above 3296 would be acceptable, while a close above 3306 would be considered good, and above 3316 would be strong, with a minimum requirement to close above 3286 [3] - The mid to long-term market dynamics indicated that May's weekly strong and weak dividing line was between 3280-3320, and the monthly dividing line was between 3300-3350 [3] - The market needed to remain above the 120-day moving average to maintain a bullish market state and above the 250-day moving average to avoid reverting to a bearish market [3]

Group 1 - The market showed a weak oscillation with more stocks declining than rising, indicating a cautious outlook for the upcoming trading sessions [2] - The critical support level is at 3280, and if it is lost, there is a possibility of a drop to 3260 [2] - The market needs to close above 3288 to maintain a bullish sentiment, with stronger signals coming from closing above 3308 and 3317 [4] Group 2 - The daily life line is at approximately 3289, and the market must stay above this level to maintain a bullish outlook [3] - The key range for the market is between 3285 and 3305, with a strong trend only if it operates above the upper boundary [3] - The mid to long-term outlook indicates that the market must remain above the 60-day moving average to sustain a bullish phase and above the 250-day moving average to avoid returning to a bearish market [4]