成本压力传导
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味知香(605089):Q2商超渠道增长亮眼,成本上行拖累盈利
CMS· 2025-08-29 06:34
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][3]. Core Views - The company reported a Q2 revenue increase of 5.17% year-on-year, but a significant profit decline of 46.79% due to rising costs. The growth in the supermarket channel was notable, with a year-on-year increase of 198%. The B-end performance was weak due to seasonal factors and soft demand, while the C-end franchise stores showed slight improvements [1][6]. - Looking ahead to H2, the company expects to continue engaging with key new clients in the supermarket sector, and cost pressures may gradually ease through price adjustments, leading to anticipated improvements in gross margin and profitability [1][6]. Financial Data Summary - For the fiscal year 2023, total revenue is projected at 799 million, with a decline to 672 million in 2024, followed by a recovery to 729 million in 2025 [2][14]. - The company’s net profit for 2025 is forecasted at 0.90 billion, 1.14 billion, and 1.34 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.65, 0.82, and 0.97 [1][7]. - The company’s total market capitalization is approximately 3.6 billion, with a current share price of 26.4 yuan [3][6]. Performance Metrics - The company’s gross margin for Q2 was reported at 18.77%, down 5.93 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to rising raw material prices. The net profit margin for Q2 was 7.34%, reflecting a decrease of 7.17 percentage points year-on-year [1][6]. - The report indicates that the company has 1,701 franchise stores as of the end of H1 2025, a net decrease of 43 stores from the end of 2024, while the wholesale channel saw a year-on-year increase of 4.8% [1][6].
卓创资讯:成本压力向下游传导不畅玉米淀粉行业亏损压力增加
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-05 03:10
Core Viewpoint - The domestic corn starch spot market is experiencing a strong price trend, with transaction focus gradually shifting upward due to low raw corn supply and increased purchasing prices by major deep processing enterprises, which is enhancing raw material cost support [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The low supply of raw corn is leading to high cost pressure, which is affecting the corn starch industry [1] - As of late July, the impact of state grain reserves' corn auctions is diminishing, and adverse weather conditions are improving traders' sentiment, resulting in reduced willingness to sell corn at low prices [1] - The decrease in corn supply is causing a decline in the ability to transfer costs downstream, increasing the loss pressure in the corn starch industry [1] Group 2: Profitability and Cost Pressure - The processing profit margins in the domestic corn starch industry are under increasing pressure due to the high prices of raw corn and unstable supply from new grain [1] - Major enterprises are adopting a strong price-holding mentality, which is effectively supporting the corn starch spot market prices [1]