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Mach Natural Resources LP(MNR) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-08 15:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported production of 84,000 BOE per day, with a composition of 23% oil, 53% natural gas, and 24% NGLs [22] - Average realized prices were $63.1 per barrel of oil, $2.81 per Mcf of gas, and $22.41 per barrel of NGLs, with prehedged realized prices lower by 11% for oil, 21% for gas, and 17% for NGLs compared to the first quarter [22] - Total revenues, including hedges and midstream activities, amounted to $289 million, with adjusted EBITDA of $122 million and operating cash flow of $130 million [23] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has initiated 24 acquisitions, spending over $3 billion, and aims to maintain a long-term debt to EBITDA ratio of one times leverage [6][10] - The company plans to increase natural gas volumes to 70% post the Savinol and ICAV acquisitions, projecting natural gas to constitute at least 50% of revenue starting in 2026 [9][10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company anticipates total demand growth of upwards of 25 Bcf of gas per day by 2030, driven by LNG feed gas growth and power generation [16][17] - The San Juan acreage is strategically positioned to meet upcoming demand, with expected supply growth from various regions [18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company focuses on maintaining financial strength, disciplined execution, and reinvestment rates to optimize distributions to unitholders [3][5][9] - The strategy includes acquiring cash-flowing assets at a discount and maintaining a low reinvestment rate to enhance operating cash flow [6][10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the long-term rise of crude prices despite near-term headwinds, emphasizing the importance of maintaining leverage goals [4][10] - The company is optimistic about the natural gas market, expecting to pivot towards gas drilling as demand increases in 2026 [39] Other Important Information - The company plans to maintain production volumes through 2027 while spending less than 50% of operating cash flow and using excess cash to pay down debt [9][10] - The company has a robust operations team that has successfully maintained production levels [29] Q&A Session Summary Question: What part of the legacy Mid Con portfolio delivered strong production volumes? - Management indicated that normal operations and a couple of bolt-on acquisitions contributed to the production strength, with no extraordinary factors involved [29] Question: Can you provide details on the Brocklin 3MH well? - The Brocklin 3MH well is part of the deep Anadarko targets, with completion expected to start in late August to early September [30] Question: What led to a lower distribution this quarter? - A legal settlement reduced the distribution by $0.07 per unit, and lower gas prices contributed another $0.07 reduction compared to the first quarter [36] Question: What is the expected natural gas growth trajectory for 2026? - Management expects natural gas product mix to exceed 70% in 2026, with a strong belief in the market despite near-term headwinds [39] Question: How does the company balance its portfolio between low decline rate assets and emerging growth plays? - The company maintains a balanced portfolio that allows for flexibility in reinvestment rates, enabling growth while keeping production stable [47]
Mach Natural Resources LP(MNR) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-09 15:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported an average production of 81,000 BOE per day, with a revenue of $253 million, where oil contributed 49%, gas 33%, and NGLs 18% [27][28] - The net debt to EBITDA ratio improved from 1.0 times at the end of 2024 to 0.7 times at the end of Q1 2025 [7][25] - The company generated over $94 million in cash available for distribution, resulting in a distribution of $0.79 per unit, yielding 20% [18][29] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The production mix for the quarter was 24% oil, 53% natural gas, and 23% NGLs, with lease operating expenses at $6.69 per BOE [27][22] - The company plans to shift its drilling focus from oil to natural gas, particularly in the Deep Anadarko Basin, which is expected to grow natural gas production significantly in 2026 [9][10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The current market environment is challenging, with oil prices dipping into the $50s, while the company is well-positioned with a production mix of 54% natural gas, 23% NGLs, and 23% oil projected for 2025 [9][19] - The company has hedged volumes at an average price of $69.31 for oil and $3.77 for gas over the next twelve months [18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company focuses on four strategic pillars: maintaining financial strength, disciplined execution, disciplined reinvestment rate, and maximizing cash distributions [4][5] - The company aims to keep its reinvestment rate below 50% of operating cash flow to optimize distributions to unitholders [5][14] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to weather market volatility and emphasized the importance of maintaining a strong balance sheet [25][26] - The company anticipates a significant increase in natural gas production in 2026, driven by additional drilling in the Deep Anadarko Basin [9][10] Other Important Information - The company completed a $60 million acquisition that doubled its acreage position, primarily in the Greater Anadarko Basin, which is expected to enhance production and lower operating costs [19][38] - The company has made 21 acquisitions since early 2018, totaling over $2 billion, focusing on cash-flowing properties at discounted prices [20][21] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you elaborate on the recent acquisition and its impact? - Management confirmed the acquisition added significant acreage in the Greater Anadarko Basin, with potential for increased production and lower lease operating expenses [38][39] Question: What is the strategy regarding the reinvestment rate and rig deployment? - Management clarified that they will adjust rig deployment based on maintaining a reinvestment rate below 50%, with plans to add rigs as cash flow allows [41][43] Question: How does the company view the oil to gas ratio moving forward? - Management indicated that the shift in development activity is driven by the current oil to gas price ratio, favoring natural gas drilling due to higher returns [50][51] Question: What are the expectations for natural gas prices and production in the coming year? - Management expressed a balanced outlook for natural gas prices, with expectations for significant growth in gas production in 2026 [84][85]