美国在历史上承认了中国在二战中的重要作用，同时也清楚台湾问题对中国的意义。所以一旦美方表达 了立场，这就决定了美国的战略走向。真要是冲突爆发，美国的做法很可能就是站在一旁当旁观者，维 持中立，不指望他们出手帮忙。美国其实有自己的小算盘，他们希望日本能成为第二个乌克兰，把战争 拖延几年。这样一来，中国的发展速度会被拖慢，实力会受到削弱，而美国则可以借此时间，重新振兴 自己的本土工业，特别是制造业。这个计划并不是什么秘密，全世界都能看得明白。 美国的"乌克兰剧本"：把日本当棋子 哈喽，大家好！我是你们的小陆。最近，中日关系的紧张形势越来越严重，大家都在关注，这场闹剧究 竟如何收尾还不清楚。不过，有一点可以确定，那就是日本之所以敢这么做，背后肯定有美国的一些影 子。而特朗普背后到底藏着什么样的算盘呢？我们来分析一下美国的亚洲战略，看看我们该如何应对。 美国的算盘与中国的底气 特朗普那句"盟友未必是朋友"，现在回头来看，越发有深意。从当前的各种迹象来看，特朗普早就察觉 到日本的动向，甚至可能是美国在幕后推波助澜。他的态度很简单——躲远一点，不想插手。前不久， 中美高层通过电话专门讨论了东北亚的局势，特朗普也在电话里明 ...

Core Points - The visit of Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi to India in August 2025 marks a significant shift in Sino-Indian relations, breaking a three-year diplomatic freeze and signaling a potential strategic partnership rather than rivalry [1][3] - The backdrop of this visit is the U.S. imposing punitive tariffs of up to 50% on key Indian exports, which has severely impacted India's economy, leading to a capital outflow of $25 billion and a stock market loss of $1.2 trillion [3][9] - India is facing its most severe economic challenges in a decade, with GDP growth plummeting from 7.8% to 6.1%, making the ambitious goal of a $5 trillion economy seem increasingly unattainable [3][9] Group 1: Diplomatic Developments - Modi's personal reception of Wang Yi indicates a strategic pivot in India's foreign policy, emphasizing partnership over competition with China [1][3] - The two countries agreed on 20 cooperation outcomes, including the reopening of border trade markets and commitments to supply chains in critical sectors like rare earths and fertilizers [3][5] - Despite these agreements, China remains firm on core issues, particularly regarding territorial sovereignty, and has avoided specific financial commitments, instead using vague terms like "providing convenience" [5][7] Group 2: Economic Context - The U.S. trade war has forced India to seek alternatives, with the Modi government viewing the engagement with China as a potential lifeline amid economic distress [3][8] - The lack of concrete agreements, such as on rare earths, suggests that the cooperation may be more about political maneuvering than substantial economic benefits [9] - The strategic calculus for both nations involves leveraging their positions against U.S. pressures, with India attempting to use concessions on border issues to gain economic relief [8][9] Group 3: Geopolitical Implications - The visit is interpreted as a response to U.S. unilateralism, with both countries expressing a commitment to oppose such actions in their joint statements [5][7] - India's acknowledgment of the "One China" principle indicates a significant diplomatic concession, potentially limiting its leverage in future negotiations [5][7] - The fragile nature of the agreements reached suggests that they could easily unravel under future U.S. policy shifts, highlighting the precarious balance of power in the region [9]