技术性超跌反弹
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午评:国内期货主力合约涨多跌少 沪银涨超7%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-04 03:35
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that domestic futures contracts showed a mixed performance, with precious metals experiencing a strong rebound, particularly silver and gold, which rose over 7% and 6% respectively [3][7] - The article highlights that coking coal and fuel oil also saw significant increases, with gains exceeding 5% and 4% respectively, while indices like the CSI 1000 and CSI 500 fell by over 1% [3][7] Group 2 - Analysts from Guotai Junan Futures suggest that the recent rebound in gold prices may be primarily due to short-term overselling, with speculative buying contributing to price recovery, indicating that the overall short-term driving force is not strong [5][9] - The article emphasizes the importance of monitoring the upcoming US ADP employment data to assess the latest changes in the private sector employment situation, which could impact market sentiment [5][9] - From a technical perspective, short-term support for gold is noted around the 1100 level, which aligns with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, while the previous significant bearish opening price around 1140 serves as a key resistance level [5][9]
国泰君安期货:今晨伦敦金强势拉升,5000大关失而复得
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-04 02:46
热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 国泰君安期货市场分析师 张驰宁 Z0020302 近期要闻整理: 一方面,美伊紧张局势出现升级迹象,伊朗炮艇在霍尔木兹海峡逼近美国油轮并威胁登船,同时美军F- 35战斗机在阿拉伯海击落了一架接近其航母的伊朗无人机。此类地缘政治冲突事件对金价构成一定上行 支撑,国际油价的应声上涨也是对该事件的反应; 另一方面,美联储理事斯蒂芬·米兰表态称今年需要降息"不止100个基点",并对潜在的新任主席沃什的 表现表示期待。这番言论有助于修复市场对未来货币宽松政策的预期,同样助力金价的反弹。 不过,近期美国众议院已经批准政府融资法案,标志着美政府局部停摆的结束,这一进展有助于稳定市 场风险偏好,可能在一定程度上抑制避险需求,对黄金的影响略微偏空。 责任编辑:朱赫楠 沪金表现: 沪金主力Au2604合约在经历前期快速回调后,于此前我们提及的历史拉涨起点——1000整数关口上方 止跌,随后便展开连续两日的反弹。目前价格已成功修复黄金分割线0.382分位点,显示短期弱势已近 乎衰竭。与此同时,近两日反弹过程中伴随持仓增加,显示多头资金正逐步回补,进一步强化了短期盘 ...