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铝产业链周度报告-20251010
Zhong Hang Qi Huo· 2025-10-10 11:42
铝产业链周度报告 范玲 期货从业资格号:F0272984 投资咨询资格号:Z0011970 2025-10-10 中航期货 目录 01 报告摘要 03 数据分析 02 多空焦点 04 后市研判 | 歧, | 好, | 迟 | 方 | 游 | 产 | 美 | 符 | 假 | 期 | 延 | 分 | 外 | 下 | 合PMI | 向 | 面, | 化。 | 预 | 现 | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 海 | 各 | 的 | 大 | 体 | 案, | 况, | 方 | 前 | 表 | 变 | 据 | 较 | 下 | 总 | 此 | 综 | 预 | 应 | 体 | 情 | | | | | | | | | | | 位。 | 绪 | 数 | 生 | ...
《有色》日报-20251010
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-10-10 01:12
| 铜产业期现日报 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 【2011】1292号 2025年10月10日 星期五 | | | 周敏波 | Z0015979 | | 价格及基差 | | | | | | 现值 | 前值 | 日涨跌 | 日涨跌幅 | 車位 | | SMM 1#电解铜 85740 | 83240 | +2500.00 | 3.00% | 元/吨 | | SMM 1#电解铜开贴水 15 | JE | 0.00 | | 元/吨 | | SMM 广东1#电解铜 85700 | 83362 | +2335.00 | 2.80% | 元/吨 | | SMM 广东1#电解铜升贴水 30 | 90 | -60.00 | - | 元/吨 | | SMM湿法铜 85650 | 83145 | +2505.00 | 3.01% | 元/吨 | | SMM湿法铜开贴水 -75 | -80 | +5.00 | - | 元/肥 | | 精废价差 3400 | 3149 | +350.42 | 11.13% | 元/吨 | | LME 0-3 -29 ...
半年暴涨1000美元!金价期现货双双突破4000美元,未来会否继续上行?
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-10-08 12:12
各路资金的强劲买盘让金价"超速"上行。 国庆假期接近尾声,黄金期货和现货价格先后突破4000美元/盎司。 10月8日,现货黄金价格首次突破4000美元,最高触及每盎司4049.6美元,年内上涨1413美元,累计涨 幅超53%。同时,COMEX黄金期货价格最高触及4071.5美元/盎司,截至北京时间10月8日18点44分,纽 约期金涨幅收窄至1.4%左右,报4061美元/盎司,年初至今涨超47%。 随着国际金价走高,10月8日,国内多个金饰品牌克价再创新高,多家站上1160元/克。老庙黄金金饰价 格达到1176元/克,周生生足金饰品标价达到1165元/克;周大福为1162元/克;老凤祥价格达到1160元/ 克。 分析人士认为,美国政府"停摆"引发的避险情绪升温,包括非农在内的重要经济数据未能按时公布,叠 加地缘冲突和全球宏观环境的不确定性,黄金配置需求再度被推高。 "各路"资金强劲买盘 资金面上,这轮金价大涨背后是各路资金的强劲买盘。 高盛在近期发布的报告中提到,近期金价上涨主要反映了三大"坚定买方"加大购买黄金:快速增长的西 方ETF仓位、各国央行可能重新加速购买,以及投机仓位的提升。尤其是西方黄金ETF的配 ...
铜价在美政府停摆期间走高 供应端扰动持续提供支撑
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-07 02:33
受美国政府停摆期间投资者聚焦美联储利率前景的影响,铜价出现上涨。伦敦金属交易所铜期货价格盘 中最高上涨0.6%,延续了本月以来的大幅反弹势头。此前,印尼某大型铜矿及其他地区的供应中断已 为铜价提供支撑。与此同时,尽管交易员仍押注美联储将进一步实施货币宽松政策,但美国政府停摆已 导致可能影响美联储政策前景的经济数据发布受阻。交易员同时关注自由港-麦克莫兰公司旗下格拉斯 伯格铜矿的生产前景——该铜矿自上月发生泥石流事故后,生产一直受阻。该公司周日表示,已找到事 故中遇难工人的遗体,但自此前下调产量指引后,尚未更新最新的产量预期。 来源:滚动播报 ...
释放人质!哈马斯提交对特朗普“20点计划”回应;原油全周重挫7%;台风“麦德姆”5日将登陆华南沿海;小米回应“汽车突然自己开走”丨每经早参
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-10-03 22:46
每经编辑|陈鹏程 王晓波 1 隔夜市场 美股三大指数收盘涨跌不一,道指涨0.51%,纳指跌0.28%,标普500指数涨0.01%。热门科技股多数下跌,AMD跌近3%,Meta跌超2%,特斯拉跌超1%, 英伟达跌幅不足1%,苹果、微软小幅上涨。纳斯达克中国金龙指数跌1.15%,中概股多数下跌,万国数据跌超4%,理想汽车跌近4%,小鹏汽车跌超3%, 蔚来跌超2%,哔哩哔哩、京东跌超1%;涨幅方面,百度涨超1%。 国际贵金属期货普遍收涨,COMEX黄金期货涨1.14%,报3912.10美元/盎司,本周累计上涨2.71%。COMEX白银期货涨3.45%,报47.97美元/盎司,本周累 计上涨2.82%。 美油主力合约收涨0.35%,报60.69美元/桶,周跌7.65%;布伦特原油主力合约涨0.42%,报64.38美元/桶,周跌6.99%。 欧洲三大股指收盘涨跌不一,德国DAX指数跌0.18%报24378.8点,法国CAC40指数涨0.31%报8081.54点,英国富时100指数涨0.67%报9491.25点,创新历史 新高。 2 商务部就墨西哥近日连续对我发起多起反倾销调查答记者问 10月3日,商务部新闻发言人就墨西 ...
日本选战进入倒计时,日元、股市何去何从?
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-10-03 10:16
彭博Markets Live策略师马克·克兰菲尔德(MarkCranfield)表示 , 目前日元的看涨预期正迅速升温,因 日本央行即将开启加息、美联储计划再次降息,而自民党领袖选举还将为日本经济带来更多刺激政策。 全球资产管理公司Orbis Investment Management Ltd.则在观望:若高市早苗胜选,市场可能出现混乱, 而该公司将把这种混乱视为增持其所持资产(如内需导向型股票)的机会。 本周六,日本执政党将投票决定下任领袖人选,候选人为改革派的小泉进次郎(Shinjiro Koizumi)与右 翼倾向的高市早苗(Sanae Takaichi),当前民调结果呈现胶着状态。在此背景下,各类交易策略纷纷 浮出水面。鉴于两位候选人的政策主张存在差异,此次选举结果可能对这个亚洲第二大经济体产生长期 影响。 以对冲基金Epic Partners Investments Co.为例,该公司已做好准备:一旦尘埃落定,若股市出现任何可 能的上涨,便会趁机抛售。 "我的目标是在胜者确定后,利用市场暂时的定价偏差获利,"这家位于东京的杠杆基金首席执行官竹秀 松(Hidematsu Take)表示,"如果高市早苗 ...
和讯投顾申睿:周一市场怎么看?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-29 03:46
Core Viewpoint - The recent decline in the technology sector is attributed to market fluctuations, but there are expectations for a rebound, particularly for stocks related to Moer Thread, following positive developments and monetary easing policies from the central bank [1] Group 1: Market Analysis - The technology sector experienced a significant drop last Friday, raising questions about whether this is a market correction or a sign of major players offloading stocks [1] - The central bank has indicated a monetary easing policy for the fourth quarter, which could support a recovery in the technology sector [1] - There is an 88% expectation for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in October, which may further influence market dynamics [1] Group 2: Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to consider buying opportunities in the technology sector, particularly in Moer Thread-related stocks, as there is potential for further increases post-holiday [1] - The current market position is seen as a good entry point, provided that the 10-day moving average is not breached, indicating a potential for upward movement after the holiday [1] - The internal investment and valuation principles, driven by industrial and financial capital, suggest that there is still room for growth in the technology sector [1]
ETO Markets 外汇:美国数据密集时段前,英镑兑美元交易谨慎
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-25 10:55
Economic Data and Market Trends - The upcoming release of key economic data includes the US GDP for Q2, initial jobless claims, and durable goods orders [1][5] - The dollar index (DXY) has maintained its near two-week high at 97.80, indicating a strong dollar ahead of the US economic data release [4] - Initial jobless claims are expected to rise from 231,000 to 235,000, following a significant increase to 264,000, the highest in four years [4] - Durable goods orders are projected to decline by 0.5% in August, following a 2.8% decrease in July [4] UK Economic Outlook - The Bank of England (BoE) is under scrutiny regarding potential interest rate cuts for the remainder of the year, with recent comments suggesting a cautious approach [6] - BoE's Megan Greene indicated that inflation risks have shifted upwards, and the central bank expects economic growth to rebound without significant labor market risks [6] - The BoE maintained interest rates at 4% after a 25 basis point cut in August, reflecting a "gradual and cautious" monetary easing policy [6] Currency Performance - The GBP/USD exchange rate is trading cautiously around 1.3450, influenced by a stronger dollar ahead of US economic data [3][9] - The recent trend for GBP/USD remains bearish, with the 20-day EMA acting as a key resistance level at 1.3514 [9] - Key support for GBP/USD is identified at the August 1 low of 1.3140, while resistance is noted near the July 1 high of 1.3800 [11]
银价突破43.50关口,一度创2011年8月以来新高!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-22 05:55
Group 1 - Silver prices have risen for the third consecutive trading day, reaching a new high of $43.57 per ounce, the highest since August 2011, with current trading around $43.55, reflecting a daily increase of over 1.2% [1] - The Federal Reserve's initiation of monetary easing policies amid increasing economic uncertainty is a significant factor driving the strength of silver [1][3] - The recent interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, reducing rates by 25 basis points to a range of 4.00%-4.25%, is favorable for non-yielding assets like silver [3] Group 2 - Strong employment data has supported the US dollar, which may exert some pressure on the upward momentum of precious metals priced in dollars [4] - Technical analysis indicates that silver has broken through the upper boundary of an upward channel, suggesting an upgraded strength in the upward trend, although a slight overbought condition may lead to a period of consolidation [5] - If silver prices retreat below $43.00, new buyers may enter around $42.55, potentially limiting the downside to the $42.20-$42.15 range, with further support at $42.00 [7]
日本央行清仓ETF需"100年以上",前路艰难
日经中文网· 2025-09-22 05:01
"100年后我们已不在人世,但我们打算花费100年以上的时间来出售",在日本央行做出出售ETF和REIT 的决定后,总裁植田和男表达了这样的决心。日银目前持有的ETF达到70万亿日元规模,虽然确定了逐 步、长期抛售的方案,但前路依然艰难…… 从2010年至2024年,日本银行(央行,以下简称:日银)在超过13年里实施了购买交易所交易基金 (ETF)及房地产投资信托(REIT)的政策,如今终于进入了向市场出售的政策退出局面。简单计算, 要完成规模膨胀至约70万亿日元的ETF与REIT的出售,可能需要超过100年的时间,预计日银在未来的 道路上将充满艰险。 "100年后我们已不在人世,但我们打算花费100年以上的时间来出售"。日银总裁植田和男在9月19日的 记者会上表明了以较长的时间跨度来出售ETF和REIT的决心。他同时否定了在宽松货币政策时期重新开 始购买ETF的可能性,称"不在考虑范围内"。 日银自2010年起,作为货币宽松政策的一环,启动购买ETF与REIT。这是一项罕见的政策,通过由央行 主动购买风险性资产,来干预股票市场。2013年,日银在启动"异次元宽松"政策后,购买规模大幅扩 大。 日本银行总裁植 ...